Ji Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Zwyts/Bob Chill would prob know... but 24 hr QPF at hr 108 has DCA ~0.7how is that a shocked face. Same amount as op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Lol That's is the poster shot of winter 2014-2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 how is that a shocked face. Same amount as op GEFS looks better than the OP to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Zwyts/Bob Chill would prob know... but 24 hr QPF at hr 108 has DCA ~0.7 Big tick nw .50 line was 40+ miles s-e of dc with the 12-18z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Lol I do not know what this is.. but it is not tonight's GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It says GFS at the bottom in big bold letters. Not quite big, not big enough for me to easily see with my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 OK. So we've seen this event in the last several days go from too far N/W where we get maybe a bit of snow followed by a lot of rain. Then a good amount on the front end followed by sleet/ice/some rain. Followed by a great hit. Then late yesterday through this morning, a whiff to near-whiff. And back to a great hit in the last 2 GFS runs. So, now it's hard to say which "trend" to worry about at this range! Going back to too far north again, or heading back to a whiff? Hopefully neither, but man, it has been a wild ride following this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I do not know what this is.. but it is not tonight's GFS run.it'd for next weekend storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Now that would be one hell of a run if it were to happen. A large swath at warning criteria!! Personally, I'd love that to happen! A coastal runner, basically, where we're all good. If we get smacked really good here, I don't care if BOS gets a lot more on top of what they've already received. This would about save the winter if it happens, to be honest. (Oh, did you just say "hell"?? I'm shocked...shocked!...I tell ya, at such language! Just kidding! ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 it'd for next weekend storm Models are killing it with d6+ stuff. I'm terrified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Navgem keeps ticking nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 about 45 mins to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Models are killing it with d6+ stuff. I'm terrifiedIf this storm hits us we can take a whiff. Or maybe we'll be the new Boston. Late winter is the new winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 If this storm hits us we can take a whiff. Or maybe we'll be the new Boston. Late winter is the new winter. Just give me this weeks storm and I will be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 about 45 mins to go Yeah, I debated whether I should bother staying up, but now that it's 12:30 and we saw a good GFS run...I guess what the hell. Besides, I still have some wine left. Which reminds me...time for a refill! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 If this storm hits us we can take a whiff. Or maybe we'll be the new Boston. Late winter is the new winter. it will be like the red sox vs Yankees we'll come back at end and beat them....yeah I'm dreaming but so were the sox back then lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 If this storm hits us we can take a whiff. Or maybe we'll be the new Boston. Late winter is the new winter. Bullseyes move. Pattern is kinda stable for a couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GEFS with 8" mean from ROA - CHO - LYH - RIC - DCA. Pretty much all of VA except far SE and far NW portions of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I was only wanting a MA snow. Sorry, I was excluding NE in the wide swath of snow. LOL! Well, I usually don't pay much attention either outside this general area during an event. But someone had a link to the snow map and I saw how it ran from NC to Mass, looked pretty impressive! (Oh, and my comment about not caring if BOS gets more, as long as we score well was a reference to the fact that there's been some bitterness at how they've gotten hammered in the last 3 weeks while we've gotten whiffed or cold rain. Sorry if that context didn't make sense before!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 GEM is good for something...temp ensemble forecast, and it's cold baby! http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/tenday_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GEFS with 8" mean from ROA - CHO - LYH - RIC - DCA. Pretty much all of VA except far SE and far NW portions of the state. Any indication on spread or where individual members cluster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Some of the individ members smoke us and have MSLP in the low 990s Bombs away at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Some of the individ members smoke us and have MSLP in the low 990s Whoa! So the mean (which is pretty darned good) is not necessarily skewed by a couple of "big" ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Geez... I see 970s mb MSLP on a good amount of ensembles... at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 How many far NW tracks and ots ones? Hopefully we can start to get the goalposts to narrow. That's kind of what I'm wondering. Don't want those goal posts to start going so far north and west again. Narrowing to the ops track would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Big juicy red I hope. White is for early evening. Ha! Well actually, a nice chilled white to be honest! I like red, but with a good meal. I drink white wine just for sipping by itself. Of course, there's always some Scotch and Drambuie in the liquor cabinet, should they ever call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 That's kind of what I'm wondering. Don't want those goal posts to start going so far north and west again. Narrowing to the ops track would be nice. At 102, using RaleighWx ensembles... only 2 are no go's (as in a bit too far west) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ok guys...we have a banter thread. Let's get back on focus...Euro incoming shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 At 102, using RaleighWx ensembles... only 2 are no go's (as in a bit too far west) Thanks! Sounds pretty good. I can't believe there are some members getting down to the 970mb range like you mentioned above. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GEFS ensembles are Like half of the ones I see on RaleighWx at 102 have 975-985mb MSLP... and alot of them are good placements for us (as in off shore of ACY/Ocean City) and a few develop what looks to be a CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.