mitchnick Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 I didn't know porn was allowed here. the panel before and after are nice too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 GFS nice moderate hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 GFS nice moderate hit it decided to bring the second wave up instead of waiting for the 3rd. one day sooner and cold is still in place. with nao + we need timing help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 GFS nice moderate hit Boston though... Good hit for us too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Boston though... Good hit for us too. It hits western Mass better, and they've been relatively screwed this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Eh...not sure about that storm on the GFS. S/w's that take a negative tilt in New Mexico don't usually work out for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Euro is snow to ice to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Not liking 12z runs overall, really don't see how we get anything but an overrunning to rain event, -PNA patterns just suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Not liking 12z runs overall, really don't see how we get anything but an overrunning to rain event, -PNA patterns just suck. Yes, losing the +PNA at the wrong time, ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Euro is snow to ice to rain Your WTF storm is snow to ice to rain. Snow to ice to rain (just a little rain) is just fine. Besides, the GFS could be, could be, right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The euro has a monster gulf low before the overrunning disaster. That has to be the one that nails us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Maybe the one CMC/GFS shows will hit us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 18z GFS looks very improved @ 141 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Decent I guess at 171 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Nice hit....still way too far out there to believe it though, look at the incredible CAD though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 We're gonna end up doing this again next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Not liking 12z runs overall, really don't see how we get anything but an overrunning to rain event, -PNA patterns just suck. The PNA was predominantly negative prior to the Feb 5/6, 2010 storm and during PDII, but good call. 2003 02 10 -86.70 2003 02 11 -34.02 2003 02 12 6.36 2003 02 13 32.40 2003 02 14 2.92 2003 02 15 -33.39 2003 02 16 -46.39 2003 02 17 -27.59 2003 02 18 -70.75 2003 02 19 -91.73 2003 02 20 -62.63 2010 02 01 -13.59 2010 02 02 -72.22 2010 02 03 -91.68 2010 02 04 -121.77 2010 02 05 -73.37 2010 02 06 117.56 2010 02 07 197.42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 The PNA was predominantly negative prior to the Feb 5/6, 2010 storm and during PDII, but good call. 2003 02 10 -86.70 2003 02 11 -34.02 2003 02 12 6.36 2003 02 13 32.40 2003 02 14 2.92 2003 02 15 -33.39 2003 02 16 -46.39 2003 02 17 -27.59 2003 02 18 -70.75 2003 02 19 -91.73 2003 02 20 -62.63 2010 02 01 -13.59 2010 02 02 -72.22 2010 02 03 -91.68 2010 02 04 -121.77 2010 02 05 -73.37 2010 02 06 117.56 2010 02 07 197.42 -PNA combined with ++NAO/AO = crap pattern. Those other years had great blocking. The EPO ridge may help us but it sure as hell isn't reliable on its own when everything else looks awful. But I'm content with this winter after today's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 -PNA combined with ++NAO/AO = crap pattern. Those other years had great blocking. The EPO ridge may help us but it sure as hell isn't reliable on its own when everything else looks awful. But I'm content with this winter after today's storm. Today was a beast. It put me at average for the season and everything else from here on out is gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Today was a beast. It put me at average for the season and everything else from here on out is gravy. Yep, I'm very close to climo after today... anything else we get is a bonus. I'd like to hit 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 -PNA combined with ++NAO/AO = crap pattern. Those other years had great blocking. The EPO ridge may help us but it sure as hell isn't reliable on its own when everything else looks awful. But I'm content with this winter after today's storm. Yeah but you can't just throw out blanket statements without producing data to back it up. He didn't mention anything about the NAO/AO, wise guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Yep, I'm very close to climo after today... anything else we get is a bonus. I'd like to hit 30 I think we will looking at the upcoming chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Don't sleep on the d5+/- period. It's either a slider or a hit. Euro ensembles have enough scrapes and hits to keep an eye out. Beyond that is too far to worry about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Don't sleep on the d5+/- period. It's either a slider or a hit. Euro ensembles have enough scrapes and hits to keep an eye out. Beyond that is too far to worry about. Yeah, keeping an eye on late next week. GFS has been advertising some kind of snow to ice scenario next weekend, but those details are kind of silly to dig into very much at this point. But even before that, both the GFS and NAM hint at some light stuff on Monday (especially the NAM from what I saw). It's not a lot, but with cold temperatures, might be an interesting dusting or topper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Yeah, keeping an eye on late next week. GFS has been advertising some kind of snow to ice scenario next weekend, but those details are kind of silly to dig into very much at this point. But even before that, both the GFS and NAM hint at some light stuff on Monday (especially the NAM from what I saw). It's not a lot, but with cold temperatures, might be an interesting dusting or topper. It will probably trend to a 1-2" kinda deal. #snowtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 It will probably trend to a 1-2" kinda deal. #snowtown LOL!! You talking about Monday? #ratios (haha!). Would be a nice topper to whatever glacier we have left after tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Whoa. Monday 1-2ish? I love when we can freshen the white with more white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Yeah but you can't just throw out blanket statements without producing data to back it up. He didn't mention anything about the NAO/AO, wise guy. It's already well understood by everyone here that we've had just about zero blocking this winter... so of course a +PNA will be much more crucial for winter weather... learn a bit of context before barging in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 00z GFS pretty much shows nothing snow-wise to track for the next week or so at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 GGEM has something cooking on Day 9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.