yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 UKIE looks pretty nice. ETA: Ninja'd by cae Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:20 AM, allman15 said: you go GIRL Oh no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Scratch that..90 hours looks suppressed so far..my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:45 AM, stormtracker said: GGEM resembles GFS at 84 hours...looks wet down south Looks like it will be a miss seeing 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 So far tonight Hits are GFS/UKIE... miss is GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:27 AM, Ji said: when did it get fixed? The bias is still there I dunno.. supposedly a few years ago. This is the first southwest wave we've had in a while. That does seem like a wild card.. the Euro is usually better with Miller As though. It is an outlier at this pt as noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:26 AM, Ji said: Jb keeps talking about this triple phase and potential of a monster low at va capes if full phase For once, he's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:45 AM, Ian said: I was joking but it was probably harsh in retrospect. You are still sometimes a weenie though. Jealous.. it's not typical weather page. It's really meant for stupid people. And it shuts down for the summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 alright...crappy GGEM is down, now we wait for Major Leagues again at 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:47 AM, yoda said: So far tonight Hits are GFS/UKIE... miss is GGEM UKIE has been better lately than GGEM. I'll take solace in that for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Did the lady's question about Richmond get answered? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:46 AM, stormtracker said: Scratch that..90 hours looks suppressed so far..my bad let's hope ggem isn't right for the first time in 11 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Here is the QPF map for hr 72 on the UKIE... looks juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:50 AM, Ji said: let's hope ggem isn't right for the first time in 11 years Exactly. It's been wrong on almost every storm at this lead time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:28 AM, Ji said: they like sense of humor and teacher snow days That's neat I am happy you have such a following. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:16 AM, mitchnick said: RIC gets .70" qpf thru Thursday 1AM, but there's a warm layer so there's snow, then sleet, then back to snow I only have 6 hour intervals so it's hard to know exactly the changeover but you get some more qpf after 1AM Thursday and that would be snow I'll let you know in a sec Warm layer did not quite each the city this run according to the warmest sounding at hr 93. It's barely a snow sounding for the airport, but still all layers below 0°. Will it mix at the airport? If I had you guess from 90 hours out, I'd say yeh. But, this run of the gfs didn't. Yesterday's runs pushed the 0° c line to the NW of the city by 15 miles or so. Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:49 AM, Tenman Johnson said: Did the lady's question about Richmond get answered? Yes it did. Thank you by Mitch. All is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ukie is dead set on amplifying the lead wave. Outlier for 3 runs in row. In some ways it implies win-win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:54 AM, Bob Chill said: Ukie is dead set on amplifying the lead wave. Outlier for 3 runs in row. In some ways it implies win-win. I prefer that because it just about guarantees all snow.....yes, I've become paranoid in my old age Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 In 4 minutes we will officially be 3 days away from this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:45 AM, cae said: I don't know where yoda is, but here's the UKMET at 72 and 96. That could be a foot. Once in a very rare time it's worth going for hyperbole-I think Sunday to Saturday might be coldest week since twin Sundays week 1982 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Not sure who all attended the American WX Conference in Baltimore this past summer, but was one of the very few females to attend. And I am from the RIC area. That may give a few of idea of who I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:52 AM, WxWatcher007 said: I really don't want to stay up for the Euro, but how could I not? Yes, emphatically. Might have to change your avatar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:58 AM, Angela T said: Not sure who all attended the American WX Conference in Baltimore this past summer, but was one of the very few females to attend. And I am from the RIC area. That may give a few of idea of who I am. Sorry if this should have been in banter. Trying to place it in context. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:57 AM, Mikethemanatee said: In 4 minutes we will officially be 3 days away from this event. That's a good point not to overlook. As the timing before the event shortens, the models should make smaller shifts. From the GFS, it appears that first flakes would fall over D.C. mid day or so Tuesday. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_namer_087_10m_wnd_precip.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:49 AM, stormtracker said: alright...crappy GGEM is down, now we wait for Major Leagues again at 1. The same model that had a low in Atlanta after every model bailed on our last big bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Who's starting the thread? ::duck:: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 5:00 AM, nj2va said: Who's starting the thread? ::duck:: no, NO, NO!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:58 AM, Angela T said: Not sure who all attended the American WX Conference in Baltimore this past summer, but was one of the very few females to attend. And I am from the RIC area. That may give a few of idea of who I am. Oh. Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 5:00 AM, BTRWx said: That's a good point not to overlook. As the timing before the event shortens, the models should make smaller shifts. From the GFS, it appears that first flakes would fall over D.C. mid day or so Tuesday. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_namer_087_10m_wnd_precip.gif I'd rather it wait a little bit.... I like the storms that snow lightly in the late afternoon and then pick up as it get dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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