stormtracker Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 4:58 PM, Highzenberg said: Looks like inverted trough snows... Those usually work well for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 5:23 PM, NE Balti Zen said: I've even lost track of what the relevant fantasy snow timeframe to be looking at is at this point. I am interested in the lead shortwave Thurs-Fri, and the one most are keying on over the weekend. Both have some potential to trend better imo. I couldn't care less about anything beyond the weekend at this point. Futile to even go there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 5:24 PM, stormtracker said: Those usually work well for us. ive been checking our mountain/valley status. Here it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 5:36 PM, Ji said: ive been checking our mountain/valley status. Here it is Lower.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 Have faith in any thread I start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 2:43 PM, anotherman said: Epic cold is better than epic warmth - at least we have a chance for a big storm. Epic cold doesn't do jack for us in this pattern except for freeze our nards and leave us needing some cocoa butter. Damn...I'm gettin' ashy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 4:48 PM, yoda said: I will take GGEM at 132 and 138 please oh weather gods that didnt look that great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 5:49 PM, Ji said: that didnt look that great Better than 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Already this thread has become a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 5:44 PM, mitchnick said: Have faith in any thread I start. I have the faith! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 5:44 PM, mitchnick said: Have faith in any thread I start. #FITT #FaithInTheThread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 So from what I can read, looks like the Euro is a huge hit from Philly north for Sunday thingy? Just going by other forums. I'm shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Anyone have a 132-hr panel on the Euro? Looks like the vort passes north of us (of course), but the 850 temps might still just be acceptable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:35 PM, stormtracker said: So from what I can read, looks like the Euro is a huge hit from Philly north for Sunday thingy? Just going by other forums. I'm shocked Then we are in. No way the Euro or any other model is right 6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 EURO at least brings down frigid air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:36 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Then we are in. No way the Euro or any other model is right 6 days out When we are left out, it's a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:35 PM, stormtracker said: So from what I can read, looks like the Euro is a huge hit from Philly north for Sunday thingy? Just going by other forums. I'm shocked Yup looks that way from what i am reading but you know it will change 10 times, to our detriment of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:37 PM, yoda said: EURO at least brings down frigid air do we get any snow? pity flakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:36 PM, eurojosh said: Anyone have a 132-hr panel on the Euro? Looks like the vort passes north of us (of course), but the 850 temps might still just be acceptable... Problem is, even if that's true and it's "cold enough" at 850 and the surface, we get dry slotted with a vort pass like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:35 PM, stormtracker said: So from what I can read, looks like the Euro is a huge hit from Philly north for Sunday thingy? Just going by other forums. I'm shocked Yeah, no kidding, right? Not good if the upper energy is going off to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:36 PM, eurojosh said: Anyone have a 132-hr panel on the Euro? Looks like the vort passes north of us (of course), but the 850 temps might still just be acceptable... 850 temps are more than cold enough. Moisture availability is the bigger issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 models will change over the next 6 days, but our chances (and not guarantees) are starting 2/15-20 anything before that would be a fluke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 With the mean trough axis E of the coastline, there's no way we get in on an Miller B action. Only way we snow this weekend is if the vort/surface low pass south of us on the Detroit-Norfolk express line. I know where my expectations are lying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Anything on the Euro for middle of next week yet? GFS has been wavering between cold enough and not too bad to the low going well up to the north. Depends on the extent of the cold air I suppose, and how strongly it's pushing this way when that impulse and moisture get here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:42 PM, mitchnick said: models will change over the next 6 days, but our chances (and not guarantees) are starting 2/15-20 anything before that would be a fluke Yeah, I am watching that 1004mb SLP in S OK at 192 with the 1047 H nosing into the Plains with what looks like decent confluence out ahead of it (at least I think there is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:44 PM, WxUSAF said: With the mean trough axis E of the coastline, there's no way we get in on an Miller B action. Only way we snow this weekend is if the vort/surface low pass south of us on the Detroit-Norfolk express line. I know where my expectations are lying. Yeah, that's not the best thing to hang one's hat on. Might as well hope for the Chattanooga Choo-Choo (actually that would be a good location!)! We would really need that trough/vortex to dive almost due south in order for the surface reflection and dynamics to give us much hope. Oh well, we'll see I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:46 PM, yoda said: Yeah, I am watching that 1004mb SLP in S OK at 192 with the 1047 H nosing into the Plains with what looks like decent confluence out ahead of it (at least I think there is) Question is, does the high slightly outrun the low moving E-ENE? In the 12Z GFS, it appeared the high was a bit too slow, enabling the system to go well to our north, whereas earlier the GFS was more favorable in terms of that cold high getting in here in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Euro has a sub 980 low off the NE coast this weekend. My god......craziest winter pattern on the east coast I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 H5 is flat as a pancake until 198 then starts to amplify. By 204 there's a 1007slp over n AL/GA and precip (snow) starting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 On 2/9/2015 at 6:52 PM, Bob Chill said: H5 is flat as a pancake until 198 then starts to amplify. By 204 there's a 1007slp over n AL/GA and precip (snow) starting here. that seems like what we would want without blocking...timed with the HP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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