IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 and a good chunk of SWCT. NAM gives the above area more than Boston...LOL Yeah, looks like SWCT is right on the edge of the heaviest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The NAM continues to like its screw-job of epic proportions for most of central SNE, caught between the inverted trough and the incipient commahead structure. Verbatim, a corridor from central Suffolk through Danbury and up to Kingston receives significantly more precip than, say, Providence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Nam shows a closed 700mb low 10 miles east of Atlantic city. That track almost always produces a foot or more in NYC and EWR. But its the NAM so it's probably 50 miles off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Solid warning criteria snowfall for the Eastern Hudson Valley and the Eastern 2/3rds of Long Island.I'm getting the feeling that there is going to be a major screw zone on either side of where that norlun feature sets up tomorrow. Subsidence big time on either side of that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 2/13 12z Summary for Sat PM (2/14) - Sun AM (2/15) Storm QPF NYC (TTN - NYC- E) SREF: 0.15 - 0.30 NAM: 0.15 - 0.40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Solid warning criteria snowfall for the Eastern Hudson Valley and the Eastern 2/3rds of Long Island. Parts of that area need 7" in 12 hours or 9" in 24 hours for a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 QPF for KJFK and KNYC? 0.20-0.30 W-E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'm getting the feeling that there is going to be a major screw zone on either side of where that norlun feature sets up tomorrow. Subsidence big time on either side of that band with a norlun trough, that is always the case. Big winner and a big loser nearby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If only we could replicate the norlun from 1947 where NYC and surrounding got 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Solid warning criteria snowfall for the Eastern Hudson Valley and the Eastern 2/3rds of Long Island. I was just about to comment on this.... parts of the LHV and MHV do better than the majority of the SNE and Boston according to the NAM. The NAM is really beginning to hone in on the INV trough feature. Whomever gets in this band can easily pick up 6+ inches. It seems to be setting up over the Hudson Valley, Western CT and LI. We shall see. It will be interesting to see the short range models with this feature such as HRR, RAP and RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45711-valentines-day-weekend-storm-discussion-part-2/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.