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President's Day Weekend 2015 Storm Potential 2/14-2/15


bluewave

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Gotta love Upton......

They don't even include eastern Suffolk,though maybe there right not to .

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

500 PM EST THU FEB 12 2015

CTZ007-008-132200-

NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-

500 PM EST THU FEB 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND

INTENSIFIES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND

SUNDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WARNING LEVEL SNOWFALL.

ADDITIONALLY. WIND CHILLS COULD REACH 25 TO 30 BELOW ZERO LATE

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING

CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN

EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS

WARNING CRITERIA.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

500 PM EST THU FEB 12 2015

CTZ011-012-132200-

SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-

500 PM EST THU FEB 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND

INTENSIFIES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND

SUNDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WARNING LEVEL SNOWFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING

CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN

EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS

WARNING CRITERIA.

$$

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I think we should see some sort of consensus tonight.

I think it will take until 0z tomorrow night to resolve the differences. I'll take a blend of the gfs/euro/rgem as the final solution.

As of now: To me this looks like a 1-3" snowfall until you get to LI where it's 2-5"....then you reach eastern Suffolk where it's 6"+. Very windy conditions area wind with blowing snow and reduced visibilities.

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I think it will take until 0z tomorrow night to resolve the differences. I'll take a blend of the gfs/euro/rgem as the final solution.

As of now: To me this looks like a 1-3" snowfall until you get to LI where it's 2-5"....then you reach eastern Suffolk where it's 6"+. Very windy conditions area wind with blowing snow and reduced visibilities.

I agree, this has all the workings of a Long Island and New England special. In fact, this is a rare case where I think nyc itself sees maybe a 2-3 inch snowfall and the nw suburbs see a coating to an inch or 2.
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Thru 36hrs, positive trends continue. its digging more compared to 18z at the same time....and its more than just a tick. Upstream ridging better, downstream ridging better. This could end up a solid 50 to 75 miles south of 18z

What is making you think this is going to end up almost 75 miles south of 18z?
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