stlirish Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Man, some you guys should not be analyzing maps unless you understand them. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 1-1 1-1-1(nam) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Hr 81 heavy snow in the metro area..inv trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Everything was 20-30 miles further NE this run and that shifted the heaviest precip northeast with it. Still enough to keep NYC in the bullseye but a slight shift nevertheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Hr 81 heavy snow in the metro area..inv trough Same as 84. LI gets into a CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 H5 closes off and we get snows from the costal .50+ nyc .75+ long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 QPF is 0.50"+ all areas, more from EWR-------> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I cannot gauge much on the UKMET but it appears it may be closer to the ggem than the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 H5 closes off and we get snows from the costal .50+ nyc .75+ long island that would be close to a foot for Li with ratios, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Sounds like if we can get this to move just a bit SW from the Canadian depiction, and we could be in business. More interested in getting this coastal storm to blow up for us than the inverted trough. That's how we can get into big snows, and that's what I'm interested in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I cannot gauge much on the UKMET but it appears it may be closer to the ggem than the GFS You are correct. It looks like it is going that route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 that would be close to a foot for Li with ratios, correct?Yes, but with an H5 depiction like that, QPF would be markedly increased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 that would be close to a foot for Li with ratios, correct? No need to over analyze this run. Still a long way to go and other models to consider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I cannot gauge much on the UKMET but it appears it may be closer to the ggem than the GFS the ukie being north honestly wouldnt be a concern anyway...seems to have a north bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 No need to over analyze this run. Still a long way to go and other models to consider. completely agreed was just wondering verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 No need to over analyze this run. Still a long way to go and other models to consider. completely agreed was just wondering verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I cannot gauge much on the UKMET but it appears it may be closer to the ggem than the GFSThe ukmet looks more north than it did at 12z to me so far, maybe I'm wrong tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 6+ for NYC and 10+ for Eastern LI on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Qpf for coastal Monmouth county? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 The NAM being where it is leads me to believe the GFS is wrong for sure this timeu r not just a red tagger but you r a good 1 do I ask u this: bec Nam trended south , even outside of range, u feel that let's us ignore much improved GFS? The real question is what will drive the H5 south, answer is ridging out west and we won't really know till about tomorrow at this ttime. Yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Everything was 20-30 miles further NE this run and that shifted the heaviest precip northeast with it. Still enough to keep NYC in the bullseye but a slight shift nevertheless.Yes it did shift north, not a tremendous jump but it did go north of 12z and it looks like the ukmet went north as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Qpf for coastal Monmouth county? Stop the imby questions they already answered this .5+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Yes it did shift north, not a tremendous jump but it did go north of 12z and it looks like the ukmet went north as well Ukie didn't go north. It's basically similiar to the GGEM. I wish we can see inbetween hours but we can't. GGEM is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Yes it did shift north, not a tremendous jump but it did go north of 12z and it looks like the ukmet went north as wellYou said the same thing about the GFS, the UKIE doesn't look north of 12Z at all, it looks south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 You said the same thing about the GFS, the UKIE doesn't look north of 12Z at all, it looks south. Yes, it's slightly south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Yes, it's slightly south.It stayed the same if anything. The ggem is a hit though. The euro should be real interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 0 gfs seems the most logical. With all the upgrades to it, best to use it and stay away from poor performing models such as the euro and Canadian. Best The GFS is going to lose this one, too many nuances and typical biases depicted in many of the other models suggesting the GFS is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 0 gfs seems the most logical. With all the upgrades to it, best to use it and stay away from poor performing models such as the euro and Canadian. Best so what do you find to be the most logical weather-wise about the gfs solution? also, since the gfs upgrade, has it been verifying better than the euro and ggem? do you have the stats? i'm not sure, i'm guessing you must have the info given your conclusions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Another view of the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Is the GGEM the only model with the norlun? Interesting trend if it's been shown on more than one model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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