bluewave Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Tracking the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The gfs looks pretty meh on any storm threat right now but it's very cold. Not liking the +AO looking to stick around even though the PNA continues to rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The gfs looks pretty meh on any storm threat right now but it's very cold. Not liking the +AO looking to stick around even though the PNA continues to rise. I'm glad about the meh status this far out. It will no doubt change to at least a certain degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Euro likes this potential Monday next week...overrunning set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 The good thing about the potential next weekend is that any snow will be high ratio like we saw on 1/22/14 with the Arctic front. We just need the upper low to dig enough and close off so this doesn't end up another New England special that deepens too far east for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Euro likes this potential Monday next week...overrunning set up We need the models to show a big storm in NC/VA knowing how these things trend north, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I think we are going to get another storm 6" or more before all is said and done...NYC will end up over 30" if measured right...I picked nearly 8" in south west Brooklyn on 2/4/95... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 The 0z guidance all moved to closing the low off sooner with a track closer to the coast than 12z. Any snow will be higher ratio due to the storm forming on Arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Looks like we could have the PDIII storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Looks like we could have the PDIII storm.If the GGEM is right it'll be one to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Looks like Philly is currently the best place to be on this one. You can see the very sharp cut off once North of High Point, NJ as the arctic high will be pressing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Looks like Philly is currently the best place to be on this one. You can see the very sharp cut off once North of High Point, NJ as the arctic high will be pressing down. This is a good place to be at this time. We dot want to be to far north or we have another repeat. I would go with the trend of this winter and say it is 50-100 miles north. The other thing is it's going to be super high ratio. The last January storms snow practically disappeared as soon as the sun came out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 This is a good place to be at this time. We dot want to be to far north or we have another repeat. I would go with the trend of this winter and say it is 50-100 miles north. The other thing is it's going to be super high ratio. The last January storms snow practically disappeared as soon as the sun came out It's nice to have multiple threats to track, makes today's dud easier to swallow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 It's nice to have multiple threats to track, makes today's dud easier to swallow. A dud it was. A coating of sleet here...yawn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 A dud it was. A coating of sleet here...yawn... You're about to get into decent precip and it looks like snow on dual pol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 You're about to get into decent precip and it looks like snow on dual pol. maybe I can salvage an inch or two. - On this PD threat, is it a miller B redeveloper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 You're about to get into decent precip and it looks like snow on dual pol. It's still a dud for him. An inch at most when the forecast was for 4-6" is quite the bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 It's still a dud for him. An inch at most when the forecast was for 4-6" is quite the bust. yup, really fell apart last 24-36 hrs...no QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 The GFS still develops too late but we do get something as the transfer is occuring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Gfs is very close here also...snj gets pounded by a inv trough. 1-3 hours quicker this is a huge hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 theres also a storm on i think the 17th-18th the gfs has had for a couple runs now and the ggem shows it aswell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Huge hit on the Euro for this event. H5 closes off over the mid atlantic. Ccb cold run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Hour 132 boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 Hour 132 boom Beauty of a run with the PV dropping down and closing off. That would be some really sweet high ratio powder per this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Beauty of a run with the PV dropping down and closing off. That would be some really sweet high ratio powder per this run. I remember when you would look at a day 5 Euro and say ok that`s done . Now I just say ha , see you in 3 days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 I remember when you would look at a day 5 Euro and say ok that`s done . Now I just say ha , see you in 3 days . The 12z UKMET closes off over the GL but opens back up at 144 so it's a little more east. But it's really close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Where does the system for Tuesday/Wednesday go? Isn't this thread meant for that system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 This thread should be renamed Valentines Day storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Where does the system for Tuesday/Wednesday go? Isn't this thread meant for that system? I just made a new thread for threat #3 (overunning, early next week) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 The Euro has an inch of QPF for NYC (.99 to be exact) and temperatures falling through the teens during the heaviest snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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