ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Only have the black and white maps so far...but 36h on RGEM is definitely south with the boundary vs 48h on the 12z run. Can't compare 18z on those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Seriously, prob best is in NNE, but that run is obsurd. I do pray when I wake up that the ghost of climo past hasn't slapt me upside the weenie and the euro isn't "wagons north" "torch" "N trend continues" because then this euphoria of the last two weeks could be ova , In a N trend " set up" I will prob not enjoy the teens/20's with light E flow but instead 34-36 while somewhere from N Billerica and NW has a ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Only have the black and white maps so far...but 36h on RGEM is definitely south with the boundary vs 48h on the 12z run. Can't compare 18z on those maps. Do you mods have access to our models? It's a bit north of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I do pray when I wake up that the ghost of climo past hasn't slapt me upside the weenie and the euro isn't "wagons north" "torch" "N trend continues" because then this euphoria of the last two weeks could be ova , In a N trend " set up" I will prob not enjoy the teens/20's with light E flow but instead 34-36 while somewhere from N Billerica and NW has a ice storm Christian, I wouldn't worry about it....we'llbe fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Do you mods have access to our models? It's a bit north of 18z. No. Looks like the thickness field is actually pretty similar to the NAM, but one noticeable difference is th eheight field goes a bit more NW to SE than the NAM does over the east...it's not as flat as the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 If i jack, I know its wrong This is IT! I'm done with this 2 week winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I would actually say the opposite and that 00z RGEM is a bit south fo 18z with the boundary...the height field looks lower over the east on the 00z run...you can see it in the thickness line in N ME too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Agreed. Can clearly see it's a tick south of the 18z run when you look at them alternating like that on the GIF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Rgem gets the entire region outside of ME with round 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 At any rate, I'm not really drawing much from the RGEM...it's at the end of its line on those frames. It will be much more useful tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 There is hope stopping the north trend when rgem leads the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Not quite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Rgem gets the entire region outside of ME with round 1. Yep, much lighter amounts though than some of the other models. Nice to see it on the right trajectory regardless. Seeing the RGEM be in the south camp at this range makes me somewhat willing to throw out the NAM considering the RGEM is known to have a NW bias in it's LR, but let's say what the globals say first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Not quite I meant, most of ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I would actually say the opposite and that 00z RGEM is a bit south fo 18z with the boundary...the height field looks lower over the east on the 00z run...you can see it in the thickness line in N ME too: When I posted I was only out to 18hr and it was north...definitely south at 36hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GFS keeps the hope alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GFS keeps the hope alive So does RGEM, euro, everything but the nam. But who's counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 At 42 hr on GFS that high is pressing southeast from 18z @ 48 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GFS keeps the hope alive Looked a tick north to me through hour 57. Nothing like the NAM though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 At 42 hr on GFS that high is pressing southeast from 18z @ 48 hr. let us steal dryslot's snow please assuming you are interpreting the model correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I'm at hr 63 and its north of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 So does RGEM, euro, everything but the nam. But who's counting. Nam is otl but can't deny today's north trend so it's good to see rgem start the drift back south, let's see if other guidance follows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Looked a tick north to me through hour 57. Nothing like the NAM though. Yeah it's definitely a tick north...but pretty similar, probably like 15 miles or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 let us steal dryslot's snow please assuming you are interpreting the model correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Definitely a New England special on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 So we get overrunning and a little center jump low south of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 36 hours of snow and counting on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah the tick north on the GFS isn't anything like the tick north on the NAM/EURO/GGEM in the past 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Sharp cutoff right on the CT/MA border from warning totals(when ratios are factored) to near nothing with the overrunning, let's see if the coastal can produce some snows for the southern folks. Edit: Snow is able to push south by hour 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Everybody shares in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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