Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Couple more hours. Certainly didn't expect this lull since 7:00am yesterday Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 11m 11 minutes ago High res computer models show snow redeveloping across inland CT after 3 this afternoon. (h/t @WBAnalytics) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:39 PM, dryslot said: Trending more and more towards meh, For a lot that were expecting hefty totals, They key was the last wave and that is not looking very good atm Nobody is mentioning the rgem has definitely shifted that band slowly south and east each run. Compare the 0z/6z and now 12z where the jack is actually aiming towards Quincy and Randolph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:58 PM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Nobody is mentioning the rgem has definitely shifted that band slowly south and east each run. Compare the 0z/6z and now 12z where the jack is actually aiming towards Quincy and Randolph Its definitely tickling closer to this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm liking my spot here on the NW side of the CF. 28 here and great flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:00 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Its definitely tickling closer to this area. Rgem max from here on out is cape Anne and Quincy blue hills and Randolph etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:56 PM, Ginxy said: great snow growthIt's been OK...idk about great. Looking at Middlesex County CoCoRaHS obs the avg at about 7am was about 3.3"/0.27" or 12:1. That's better than my 10:1 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:58 PM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Nobody is mentioning the rgem has definitely shifted that band slowly south and east each run. Compare the 0z/6z and now 12z where the jack is actually aiming towards Quincy and RandolphWhat's you thoughts on the area? Not sure what to expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 definitely have to be careful if the GFS is on an island in terms of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:02 PM, dendrite said: It's been OK...idk about great. Looking at Middlesex County CoCoRaHS obs the avg at about 7am was about 3.3"/0.27" or 12:1. That's better than my 10:1 though. Light snow with tiny flakes here. The humidity has been steadily dropping... now down to 76%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 13km for the queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:04 PM, eekuasepinniW said: Light snow with tiny flakes here. The humidity has been steadily dropping... now down to 76%.I was down around that, but it went up into the 80s with this next burst. We have some low level CAA so it doesn't surprise me. Once that levels off we should be able to saturate it back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:01 PM, BostonWX said: I'm liking my spot here on the NW side of the CF. 28 here and great flakes. You will close in on 20" imo Primetime location. Im on the other side of the CF and its snowing nicely. Prob 5" and still snowing somehow...radar is weird lookin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Couple more hours. Certainly didn't expect this lull since 7:00am yesterday Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 11m 11 minutes ago High res computer models show snow redeveloping across inland CT after 3 this afternoon. (h/t @WBAnalytics) You didn't expect a lull? Didn't you get snow overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:06 PM, dendrite said: We're only talking QPF past 12z on both runs. Why do we need to add QPF already fallen to it?. This is my ? Too when comparing the same time periods I don't know why previous snow plays in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:58 PM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Nobody is mentioning the rgem has definitely shifted that band slowly south and east each run. Compare the 0z/6z and now 12z where the jack is actually aiming towards Quincy and Randolph Let the Messenger posts begin. 20.0/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:03 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: definitely have to be careful if the GFS is on an island in terms of QPF Yeah it's completely on its own now. Even the typically roid-loving models like the RPM and NAM are pretty tame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Couple more hours. Certainly didn't expect this lull since 7:00am yesterday Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 11m 11 minutes ago High res computer models show snow redeveloping across inland CT after 3 this afternoon. (h/t @WBAnalytics) 7am yesterday? Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:02 PM, CarverWX said: What's you thoughts on the area? Not sure what to expect. Tight call for you. I think just nw of you along rte 24 to 95 will get nailed. I think all models pretty clearly show the max jack is going to be Quincy Milton back to Easton foxboro etc, Sharon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 right on the line of 1'25 and 1 inch ill take it On 2/8/2015 at 4:05 PM, dendrite said: 13km for the queensimage.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:07 PM, Clinch Leatherwood said: . This is my ? Too when comparing the same time periods I don't know why previous snow plays in Admittedly i never looked at it like that. It is definitely a deviation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 No way we see the qpf gfs is showing in sw ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 7m7 minutes ago Our computer models are trending a bit less snowy this morning which is exactly in line with our forecast! AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:05 PM, dendrite said: 13km for the queens image.jpg Good-great for many. Ugly for northern ORH and eastern Franklin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Band is already setting up will slowly rotate as the day goes on and into the night. Meh elsewhere for several more hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 For all the, let's say anxiety, that I'm hearing about overrated expectations; why not keep in mind that the NWS has done a pretty good job with snowfall amounts this winter. I'm not sure that those maps aren't trustworthy with the caveat that there will be lots of variations (which is exactly what they are saying ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:07 PM, moneypitmike said: Let the Messenger posts begin. 20.0/18 Rgem and nam were both a bit south this run those are just the facts. The deviations are slight but I think the overall trend to slightly "less" future qpf cycle is clear in all models but crazy gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 yeap, GFS must be insane, yeap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:58 PM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Nobody is mentioning the rgem has definitely shifted that band slowly south and east each run. Compare the 0z/6z and now 12z where the jack is actually aiming towards Quincy and Randolph Have not been on here since yesterday but lol at some of these post, Just getting to go back and look at model runs and the axis of the heaviest precip does seem to have sagged a bit south but models also have been cutting back on the qpf since a day or so as well, These long duration events unless you're ripping SN or +SN they seem pedestrian over the long term Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It's just weird having the gfs spit out more qpf then the nam. Something is off with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 4:02 PM, CarverWX said: What's you thoughts on the area? Not sure what to expect. Thinking about it 5-10 additional. Will need to watch temps and also later the hook to the band to see if it can clip you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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