wxsniss Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I get the hesitation given lack of widespread synoptic forcing. On the other hand, really remarkable model consensus for a widespread 10"+ in eastern MA, with much more depicted Essex - Suffolk - Norfolk. Continuing the theme of the winter, NWS is more bullish than the board collective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I think the expectations have gotten too high in this event...there's going to be some people screaming bust if they get 11-12" of fluff that increases the depth by 5" by Tuesday morning. I can tell you I won't be screaming bust. For crying out loud I can't even see my neighbors truck that's how high the snow banks are. I am happy to see any bit of snow. Snowbanks (snowblowing/plows) are running around 6-8 feet high. Actual snowpack is 25-30". I say whatever we can add on lets do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 No....Dec '03 was kind of close, but different setup. That had some largescale synoptic forcing not really prevelant here. Theere will def be CF enhancement, there's no doubt, but it's probably not going to be in a 5 mile wide band for 40 consecutive hours. Dec '03 and PD II. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 0z rgem strokes se ma pretty hard. Big change from the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amc Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 GYX calling for another 10-14 for my area. I love snow but man this is wild! My father's the deputy director of Public Works in our town, going to be a long 3 days for him and his guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I dunno Ray. That could be the case. But to pin down an exhaust slot within 5-10 miles 36 hours out is asking a lot IMHO Not really. It's going to be 5-10 mi either side of rt 128....it's climo, Dave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 0z rgem strokes se ma pretty hard. Big change from the 12z. more details? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm so glad I don't get upset about getting 13 when I could get 22. All I want to see is smooth deep snow cover which is guaranteed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 How's it looking on the south coast of RI? I'm really hoping for 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm so glad I don't get upset about getting 13 when I could get 22. All I want to see is smooth deep snow cover which is guaranteed. Exactly. If we get enough down here in Taunton to cover up all the brown/black snow on the sides of the road I will be more than happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM doesn't look look like it changed much. Looking at 3/6 hour qpf it's still Boston to Quincy and up through northeast ma inside 495.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Rgem cut back on overrunning in CT. Coastal still good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm so glad I don't get upset about getting 13 when I could get 22. All I want to see is smooth deep snow cover which is guaranteed.it's practically pure insanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Was up in Merrimack, NH tonight at the outlets....hit the MA border on the way back, and ran into the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 pretty good rates here currently. nice flakes stacking up with light winds Looking at the Hi-Res Nam winds well out over the water (S of mid coast Maine to say East of Portsmouth, NH ) is the area where we will notice Winds shift NE first (2am) and increase. This area expands and begins to envelop N Essex county as early as say 4 am and by 6 -7am ALL of E MA has light NE winds (with Essex county more moderate) withwinds of 20-30 mph encompassing a wide area from Boston Harbor to Cape Ann NE several hundred miles toward eastern Maine covering a large swath. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_0z/wind12.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM doesn't look look like it changed much. Looking at 3/6 hour qpf it's still Boston to Quincy and up through northeast ma inside 495..12 hour maps tell the tale better vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 12 hour maps tell the tale better vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Rgem looks exactly the same in Ct. 8-12 and then more after 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The way Debbie is being thrown around in this thread I thought I would through this out there for someone to use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 More specifically: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm sweating. Notice the hole. Radar is blossoming everywhere yet is drying up over my head. Yup. Red flag here I think. Not looking for a jack, just hoping I don't get jack (like the "blizzard" that gave me a whopping 5"). Lol, you are not alone, all of W MA is in that hole. Cutting the BOX maps in half out here (including the Berks) is not unrealistic. Just enjoy whatever you get! I'm going to the Greenfield Winter Carnival tomorrow with the family and there will actually be enough snow to hold all of the events for the first time is 3 years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Not really. It's going to be 5-10 mi either side of rt 128....it's climo, Dave. If it was a regular coastal I think so, but this is a pretty long drawn out deal, I am not sure it makes as much difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 image.jpg Pretty fooking good dump for all. Not epic for most because it is spread out but I'll ride that map into the sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Rgem looks exactly the same in Ct. 8-12 and then more after 48 That would mean we're looking at 15:1 ratios if that were to be 8-12" for you. IDK if we'll see that considering relatively poor snow growth appears to be modeled and there's not a lot of lift to work with, but who knows. Ratios are one of the hardest things to forecast IMO which is also annoying because there one of the easiest ways that a forecast can get messed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 deff cut back a bit along the CT coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 image.jpg During the day Monday nobody gets even 10m this run...definitely a tick down in most other areas on intensity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 yeah it does! latest you ever stayed up? Rgem looks exactly the same in Ct. 8-12 and then more after 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 During the day Monday nobody gets even 10m this run...definitely a tick down in most other areas on intensity Well then that must be hellacious Sunday night because many of us have 40mm. FYI it's coming down pretty good at 48 hours...per 3 hours totals.... Look at other than those black and white maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Haven't seen this in my p n c in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Well then that must be hellacious Sunday night because many of us have 40mm. FYI it's coming down pretty good at 48 hours...per 3 hours totals.... Look at other than those black and white maps. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html I'll take my chances on what was a colder run this time down here, less of a severe band more general snow with a few hours of changeover. models probably aren't going to pin until go time and I do think the rpm type models are right in it being a very very narrow band with people on either side swinging from the rafters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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