powderfreak Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Question... Why the qpf max in Berks.. Is that all orographic? Yes. The difference between like your area and the east slope is upslope. You can see it again back towards ALB on the east slopes of the Catskills. Also the speed convergence As we've stated, the low level cold will enhance a low level inversion with WAA above that, and with veering in the profile, the best enhancement will certainly be on those east slopes, and wherever the coastal front is. The overrunning will produce a more general, widespread precipitation out of the mid-level cloud deck, but the ENE upslope flow will really take it to town with seeder feeder processes as that mid level precip falls into the low level orographics. Even up here, as you move north and out of the best mid-level overrunning, there's still fairly significant precipitation along the Spines and ridges due to orographics. But the mid-level lift is weaker, which is why the Hudson Valley to Champlain Valley sees decreasing precip as you move north. There's also the speed convergence and coastal front enhancement in eastern Mass as that faster moving air off the ocean starts to pile up and lift along the coastal plain like a big highway pile up, as it encounters land friction. Lots of meso-scale stuff going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Will this storm have the CF exhaust like a more wound up system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 IF ole Pony O was around, he is gonna see nice enhancement on the E Slope I think MPM if we really want to look at it will be a bit too far east to get in the meat of that E slope enhancement....he is not that far from 1-91 (I think like 8 miles west of greenfield/I 91) Besides the local posters you are one of the few that recognizes MPM is the far E slope of the Berks. Savoy the jackpot king of the Berks is 20mi W of Shelburne. Pete's location is well SW of here and is like the Worcester of the E slope because it rarely misses. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 IF ole Pony O was around, he is gonna see nice enhancement on the E Slope I think MPM if we really want to look at it will be a bit too far east to get in the meat of that E slope enhancement....he is not that far from 1-91 (I think like 8 miles west of greenfield/I 91) He is around, You just need to know how to find him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 He is around, You just need to know how to find himAny word on what he got on Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Besides the local posters you are one of the few that recognizes MPM is the far E slope of the Berks. Savoy the jackpot king of the Berks is 20mi W of Shelburne. Pete's location is well SW of here and is like the Worcester of the E slope because it rarely misses. lol Yeah, I'm 10 miles east of the Beast. And it's crazy how it's only 10 miles to being 1800-2k in Heath and Colrain. completely different worlds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 And it's crazy how it's only 10 miles to being 1800-2k in Heath and Colrain. completely different worlds. Yes, but your location is pretty good and you are actually near a big town. Heath is 30 minutes from anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RPM is obscene deathband and exhaust over about 10 miles in Essex CTY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I like this idea. Holy crap, that's a lot of liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Thanks For those stats Don, any stats where with a cut off half way into Jan or like the 20'th , I think Boston had 7 or so thru Jan 23'rd or so Which makes this come back even MORE impressive since it happened all within 2 weeks Statistics based on 10/1-1/20 snowfall. 2014-15 had 5.5". The following are all the seasons with less than 6" snowfall from 10/1 through 1/20 in Boston: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Besides the local posters you are one of the few that recognizes MPM is the far E slope of the Berks. Savoy the jackpot king of the Berks is 20mi W of Shelburne. Pete's location is well SW of here and is like the Worcester of the E slope because it rarely misses. lol Wow, MPM is 20 miles east of the Berkshire crest? I didn't know that. That's more than the difference between Burlington and the summit of Mount Mansfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 rgemqpf54.gif edit...for some reason these maps always save at a ****ty quality for me. Boston shutdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Both the NAM and GFS have a dry look in the DGZ through a lot of the period. Combined with such weak vertical motion I wonder if we see crappy flakes for a lot of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 That's pretty awesome Don Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 13km res GFS gfs13kqpf.PNG Pretty good consensus that Suffolk and Essex Counties jack with the coastal front. Pretty strong signal there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 So Don we've rocketed into first place about to leave to rest far behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Wow, MPM is 20 miles east of the Berkshire crest? I didn't know that. That's more than the difference between Burlington and the summit of Mount Mansfield. He is in a great location with some decent elevation but certainly misses some of those E NY/ Berks deform zones that people assume he is getting crushed by. Pete's location further SW and topography cashes in on events that graze us to the E. Misconceptions abound about W MA because most people assume nothing really exists W of Worcester anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RPM is obscene deathband and exhaust over about 10 miles in Essex CTY Can you post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Like i said last night. Can we just get the national guard in route to hull now...There are gonna be elderly trapped out here.This is gonna get ugly...boston is shutdown for half the week imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Boston shutdown Eh' they're resilient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 . Holy crap, that's a lot of liquid I think a max gets pulled into Bristol county and maybe western plymouth ....normal enhancement areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It's getting serious out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Yeah Clinch, I'm with you there, I think a part of Bristol and Plymouth counties get some amounts near 20"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Both the NAM and GFS have a dry look in the DGZ through a lot of the period. Combined with such weak vertical motion I wonder if we see crappy flakes for a lot of this.1.77 qpf equal 11 inches crappy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Man. RPM really shows how bad it might be around here. 4-6" total. Discouraging. Only 10-20 miles from a plastering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 @HinghamBoss. In reference to earlier. I felt it in my bones. I think you may just get that 2 feet in hingham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Eh' they're resilient.joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Post the rpm please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Post the rpm please. Still snowing, thru 51 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Both the NAM and GFS have a dry look in the DGZ through a lot of the period. Combined with such weak vertical motion I wonder if we see crappy flakes for a lot of this.It's a good point. This is why BOS area ocean enhancement is the jack. Boxing day esque but of a different style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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