RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Good lord at the 12z NAM. Good fooking lord. 3" QPF bullsye interior essex cnty on the 4k. Cut it down To 2" qpf and you have your 2ft jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowedin Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Man, Boston has to be almost maxed out on its snow removal budget by now. I suspect this next snow event will put them well over the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The snow has just started here in Marblehead, My toyota is at the back of the driveway covered in 5 feet of snow and I won't be seeing it until spring at the rate. We have had roof collapses in town as well at a small strip mall which has led to the building being condemned and ordered torn down. (One being Starbucks.... What are all the yuppies going to do????) I just don't know where we are going to put it anymore. From what I'm seeing, Coastal North Shore could be ground zero for this one... I that the one over by Vinin Sq that had the blockbuster in it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Take the Thursday stuff to the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duncanwxnh Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 This is starting to look like a storm that challenges criteria/definitions... One is supposed to garner 8" in 24 hours to verify a warning? Well, this may snow 6.8" every 24 hours until late Tuesday night for some, and they'll end up with boat load of snow below warning ... The other thing, for areas that have a huge snow removal problem, I think 3" comes with enhanced aggravation. Agreed - I was debating that this morning on FB when I saw that in the NWS discussion. May not fit criteria but does it still warrant a warning? Along the same lines as calling it an event rather then a storm. Ah the webs we weave! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Euro looks a tick south and colder. Great for SNE and CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Lunenburg jackpot, called it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 We tick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaryS Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I that the one over by Vinin Sq that had the blockbuster in it? The one here in Marblehead with a Starbucks, Salem Five Bank, 7-11 and a Walgreens. All are closed and are being torn down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 We tick.AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Spots just north and west of BOS are going to be buried. The RGEM is remarkably similar to the NAM really to 48hr. WOW. The GFS is even damn similar. Canadien HRDPS also similar. I hadn't looked at much modeling until now because of work. Crusher coming. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 In the end QPF ended up similar to the 00z run. 1"+ bounded by RUT-CON-DAW to the north and BDL-PVD to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 In the end QPF ended up similar to the 00z run. 1"+ bounded by RUT-CON-DAW to the north and BDL-PVD to the south.Yeah looks almost identical in 72-hour totals to 00z.But this is one of the few times I can ever remember BOS and up here having an incredible stretch of winter. We've had 3 separate days this week with 10" or more in a 24hr period on the mountain. Not counting the little stuff inbetween. I just added up 82" at 3000ft in the last three weeks, so Boston can grab all the snow it needs to shut down if we can keep rolling like this up here, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Euro doesn't shut it off until around noon Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Yeah looks almost identical in 72-hour totals to 00z.Locked and loaded. We consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Locked and loaded. We consensus. Have you done a map yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Looks like taint is confined to i95 in CT. I think a general 4-8" is a good call from 95 to merritt in SWCT, then 8"+ as you head north. Tight little gradient here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Maybe us in NH will be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Spots just north and west of BOS are going to be buried. The RGEM is remarkably similar to the NAM really to 48hr. WOW. The GFS is even damn similar. Canadien HRDPS also similar. I hadn't looked at much modeling until now because of work. Crusher coming. Wow. I wonder if it will work out like that or not. My gut says best is essex county. I'm not really partial or biased toward a particular location say BOS versus LWM anymore because I can sorta bounce between the two according to an event. I think jackpot essex this time around but the wealth will be spread considerably from Milton at least on north. I'm glad i'm at the east end of middlesex. Maybe Steve's Newburyport max depth will come to fruition after all Have a map for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Have you done a map yet?Later tonight. Have to work until 10:30. Expecting a solution close to the RGEM though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 When you look at the Euro QPF at hour 66, the shadow is actually displaced just east of the CT river valley, more like the Quabbin area down into Tolland county which looks a bit suspect to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'm glad i'm at the east end of middlesex. Maybe Steve's Newburyport max depth will come to fruition after all Have a map for that? The total precip maps are obscene. There is a ring around 128 surrounding BOS of ridiculous precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 NAM is colder now, and closest with the coastal storm. GFS is way south and east with the coastal after it hits the Eastern Seaboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The snow has just started here in Marblehead, My toyota is at the back of the driveway covered in 5 feet of snow and I won't be seeing it until spring at the rate. We have had roof collapses in town as well at a small strip mall which has led to the building being condemned and ordered torn down. (One being Starbucks.... What are all the yuppies going to do????) I just don't know where we are going to put it anymore. From what I'm seeing, Coastal North Shore could be ground zero for this one...please link all roof collapses in the thread for that to document,tia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The coastal moved what, about 700 mi south in the last 24hrs in the newly depicted deepening trough depiction on the american models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Man..this is just too good to be true. That high pressed and pressed and pressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 (mods) just wanted to give weenies a heads up if they haven't seen the contest thread for this event Weenies just wanted to mention the contest SR Airglow put in for this event. I think it's cool, nothing serious, just guess some amounts for stations and see who gets closest (w Jack as well) check out the thread and just throw some numbers down...why not http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45639-long-duration-overrunningcoastal-forecast-contest/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'm glad i'm at the east end of middlesex. Maybe Steve's Newburyport max depth will come to fruition after all Have a map for that? twisted twister Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Man..this is just too good to be true. That high pressed and pressed and pressed At this rate that low will be off the coast of Ga moving harmlessly ene. We don't want it being suppressed too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'm on the fence even down here along Rt 2 in Mass, which is supposed to plausibly jack-pot. Thing is, ...I can see arguments for this over-producing. Meso from banding... OE, etc.. But I can also nod to this busting too high for snow totals, due to dry air consumption off newly arriving arctic high (evaporation sink), and the fact that most synoptic charts struggle to make .25" in a single 3-hourly period pretty much everywhere.. Interesting... I am looking at both these options as well. I think the safe bet is to be mindful of the qpf output but to temper expectations as to what the new snow on the ground will look like when it's all wrapped up. Over this duration, there will be some settling taking place with light rates for a lot of time. On the other hand, the hefty qpf amounts will provide a good deal to settle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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