ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 This could be one of those cold tuck events too. I weak wave rides out east of ACK and puts eastern areas in the freezer. 17F FZDZ in EWB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Tony Petraca is honking the JMA on Twitter Oh the humanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Don't care type,how it falls,when it falls, who jacks, as long as it's snowing I couldn't care less. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 What r your thoughts about OES? Seems it would be a good setup. Well, only if the low doesn't track too close. earlier runs looked good for it, but the GFS is getting too far north. To me, this also looks like it will be an event that will have a CF band near BOS. It might oscillate on either side of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The southern edge of the jack zone on the EURO....that's all. Sorry....poor communication. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 17F FZDZ in EWB Yeah, somehow that would not shock me. That's probably only if the boundary gets hung up real close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I wish we could ban clown maps.or clowns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Screams naked twister to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Steve, it was just a point of reference to illustrate the n drift. That's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah, somehow that would not shock me. That's probably only if the boundary gets hung up real close. Yeah otherwise it's snow. I still think this is going to have a more organized precip shield at some point during the event than most guidance shows. The euro was probably closest to that. We will see if the Euro regains its mojo in this one. A very complex system where superior data assimilation is extra valuable is the type of storm I'd expect the euro to shine in. Maybe it's a slump buster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The angst amid people having received a full years snow in 10 days is comical. I miss would in some ways would be a relief to me but I don't think it happens that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I'm still waiting on my full years of snow in 10 days, was hoping this would do it. That's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah otherwise it's snow. I still think this is going to have a more organized precip shield at some point during the event than most guidance shows. The euro was probably closest to that. We will see if the Euro regains its mojo in this one. A very complex system where superior data assimilation is extra valuable is the type of storm I'd expect the euro to shine in. Maybe it's a slump buster. I said the same thing...it would be an awesome storm for it regain some composure again. Usually it shines when you have a convoluted setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 ... miss would in some ways would be a relief to me but I don't think it happens that way.old man crying for his Momma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Hey guys, is this tending north? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The members of the GEFS are still in disagreement. Some look too far to the north, others are just a mess. I know what you mean Ray, but I kind of buy a scenario where maybe it's more lighter snows pike north and then a more robust coastal like the euro was showing as Will outlined. Of course that low could be too close or out to sea...but I don't know if I agree with a measly 1012mb low sliding east of the BM on Monday. Two of those members are way north and are probably skewing the mean. Most have the 850mb line staying at the south coast or further offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Exactly. And the models might underestimate that band. That is why Gyx discussion was perplexing to me Yeah otherwise it's snow. I still think this is going to have a more organized precip shield at some point during the event than most guidance shows. The euro was probably closest to that. We will see if the Euro regains its mojo in this one. A very complex system where superior data assimilation is extra valuable is the type of storm I'd expect the euro to shine in. Maybe it's a slump buster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Two of those members are way north and are probably skewing the mean. Most have the 850mb line staying at the south coast or further offshore. Right, but what I like to look at is the trend and the trend was noticeable today. We'll see of that continues at 00z. Running out of time for bigger shifts either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Scoot, how big of a storm u thinking? MECS like potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Scoot, how big of a storm u thinking? MECS like potential? Well if the coastal got going and we got several inches of overrunning, potentially..yes. However, I wouldn't say that is likely at this stage. I almost feel like a 3-5 overrunning and a 4-6 Monday deal for you..but that is just a WAG before the 00z stuff comes out. It's one of those storms where I really don't have a good feel for, other than you ain't sniffing 32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Right, but what I like to look at is the trend and the trend was noticeable today. We'll see of that continues at 00z. Running out of time for bigger shifts either way. I did notice the thermal profiles at 850 and the surface trended quite a bit colder on the 18z 42hr RGEM vs the 12z 48hr. A bit early in the event, but just saying. Maybe that high will keep that push going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Well if the coastal got going and we got several inches of overrunning, potentially..yes. However, I wouldn't say that is likely at this stage. I almost feel like a 3-5 overrunning and a 4-6 Monday deal for you..but that is just a WAG before the 00z stuff comes out. It's one of those storms where I really don't have a good feel for, other than you ain't sniffing 32F. I agree....protracted 6-12" most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I agree....protracted 6-12" most likely. Yeah, I'd agree probably 72-hour totals of 6"+ (or at least 4"+) over a very large portion of New England between the warm air overrunning and any developing coastal low. Not a big impactor but keeps it very wintery and adds to the seasonal tally. I think the EURO is the way to go so far. I'd bet the EURO holds serve at 00z and the others swing slightly south. I'd put CNE in the crosshairs, from say like the Pike up to RUT-LEB-IZG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 old man crying for his Momma? Meh...she's been dead for nearly 20 years. The issue is the snow piles are worse than my grandmothers...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah, I'd agree probably 72-hour totals of 6"+ (or at least 4"+) over a very large portion of New England between the warm air overrunning and any developing coastal low. Not a big impactor but keeps it very wintery and adds to the seasonal tally. I think the EURO is the way to go so far. I'd bet the EURO holds serve at 00z and the others swing slightly south. I'd put CNE in the crosshairs, from say like the Pike up to RUT-LEB-IZG. You would hit the 21z SREFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 You would hit the 21z SREFS Useless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 OK, there is a lot of talk about CNE and pike north. Hate doing imby, but what are we looking at in central Ma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Useless They did tic south though from 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 OK, there is a lot of talk about CNE and pike north. Hate doing imby, but what are we looking at in central Ma? Isn't Worcester "pike north"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 OK, there is a lot of talk about CNE and pike north. Hate doing imby, but what are we looking at in central Ma?thats what I was saying this morning. It gets very Centric. So the idea comes across as others out if game . But we know Thats not true. And you are north of pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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