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Long duration overrunning to coastal disco 02/07-02/09


Damage In Tolland

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reasonably?, a month ago your above post would have read

Holy Fuk GGGEM very robust for coastal. I'm coming folks.

By the way you feeling any better?

Incrementally better day by day but this on lingers weeks.

We've discussed and read about these winters....cold and snow. Will this be the Grand daddy?

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It's hard to tell but the mslp and height fields as well as the most robust qpf being 60 to 72 hours suggests to me this lingers longer on the crazy uncle.

Yeah, we'll see in the morning when the extended range comes out on WxBell but I got that impression also from looking at it. Still not really to the end of the event on it either given that it only goes to 7 PM Monday.

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Wetter though at 48 and in an almost identical position to the 0z run so it's just slower in bringing in good QPF. Definitely a tick south with the total QPF fields overall. 

Through 7 PM Sunday night .3" line is on the MA/CT border and then from PWM-MWN-north of BTV on the northern end. 

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Light precip over the area at 78 but there's an area of moderate to our west over PA from the coastal which might slink in. 850s now borderline though for the SE half of CT at hour 78 and then from just south of PVD and south in RI/MA.

 

Light precip at hour 84 with 850s above 0 from BOS-HVN and SE, but the damage has been done. Will pull total numbers now.

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Total QPF through 84 is 1"+ in the Berkshires, west of ALB and roughly ORH east in the MA rectangle(Jackpot is BOS metro/inside 128 at 1.2"+ ) the .75" box is bounded by roughly POU/HFD/Ginx/ACK to the south and PWM-Lincoln, NH(just south of Franconia Notch)-BTV and the 0.5" box is from the south coast on the south side to far NW VT to BML to LEW.

 

Definitely drier than the 0z run and the GFS/GGEM but still a nice run overall. 

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