Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 I haven't seen any change in QPF output and distribution on either the GFS or the Euro for SNE in 2 days. North South East West consistently 1- 1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Trending towards an over running clipper type deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 I haven't seen any change in QPF output and distribution on either the GFS or the Euro for SNE in 2 days. North South East West consistently 1- 1.5 Dude, it's been trending north. That isn't debatable. There was room to spare, so a lot of the area hasn't decreased much, but that is about to change if it keep up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 I would just rather let go the Currier and Ives overrunning and grab a bigger coastal, even if it means some ptype issues. I feel like we should hope for that down this way. Might be playing with fire, but oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 I would just rather let go the Currier and Ives overrunning and grab a bigger coastal, even if it means some ptype issues. I feel like we should hope for that down this way. Might be playing with fire, but oh well. The coastal seems like a long shot in this one. IDK, just a feeling I have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Dude, it's been trending north. That isn't debatable. There was room to spare, so a lot of the area hasn't decreased much, but that is about to change if it keep up. QPF distribution and amounts have not changed, not sure if it makes sense to you. Nothing has changed with QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 I would just rather let go the Currier and Ives overrunning and grab a bigger coastal, even if it means some ptype issues. I feel like we should hope for that down this way. Might be playing with fire, but oh well.Burl Ives > Currier & Ives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Don't care type,how it falls,when it falls, who jacks, as long as it's snowing I couldn't care less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 QPF distribution and amounts have not changed, not sure if it makes sense to you. Nothing has changed with QPF Well, snowfall distribution has changed. I was on the northern edge of the heaviest amounts, not I'm on the southern edge. Area of CT and RI now have less. It shifted about 50 miles north, indesputable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Don't care type,how it falls,when it falls, who jacks, as long as it's snowing I couldn't care less. The rain type? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Yeah a bit further north with the prancing currier and Ives band allows the main show to be a bit more robust. Obviously you don't want things like 150 miles north of where they are now but I'm not overly concerned about that. I still think Tip has a valid point on these shortwaves. They are offshore and since the whole evolution is complex, it means more than normal to get some better data on that. I thought the euro really started keying in on that shortwave for Sunday night and I kind of envision that becoming more dominant with time. But...that's why they play the games. We will just have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Yeah a bit further north with the prancing currier and Ives band allows the main show to be a bit more robust. Obviously you don't want things like 150 miles north of where they are now but I'm not overly concerned about that. I still think Tip has a valid point on these shortwaves. They are offshore and since the whole evolution is complex, it means more than normal to get some better data on that. I thought the euro really started keying in on that shortwave for Sunday night and I kind of envision that becoming more dominant with time. But...that's why they play the games. We will just have to wait and see. Very true....may be reading too much into current trends. Let it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 After watching where today's boundary was modeled to be and where it ended up i wouldn't be writing anything off down in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Well, snowfall distribution has changed. I was on the northern edge of the heaviest amounts, not I'm on the southern edge. Area of CT and RI now have less. It shifted about 50 miles north, indesputable. really because the Euro GFS snow maps and distribution of QPF look like they place NE Mass in the crosshairs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 The members of the GEFS are still in disagreement. Some look too far to the north, others are just a mess. I know what you mean Ray, but I kind of buy a scenario where maybe it's more lighter snows pike north and then a more robust coastal like the euro was showing as Will outlined. Of course that low could be too close or out to sea...but I don't know if I agree with a measly 1012mb low sliding east of the BM on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 really because the Euro GFS snow maps and distribution of QPF look like they place NE Mass in the crosshairs Yes, I am in the crosshairs....because I was not on the northern edge of it before. Now I'm the southern edge Look, we're all going to snow...but be objective, it has been trending....does that mean we won't have an awesome winter weekend? Absolutely not. Does that mean it won't reverse? No. I'm just stating a fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 The members of the GEFS are still in disagreement. Some look too far to the north, others are just a mess. I know what you mean Ray, but I kind of buy a scenario where maybe it's more lighter snows pike north and then a more robust coastal like the euro was showing as Will outlined. Of course that low could be too close or out to see...but I don't know if I agree with a measly 1012mb low sliding east of the BM on Monday. I agree with you guys.....we'll probably see a more robust coastal consolidate. Higher stakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Yes, I am in the crosshairs....because I was not on the northern edge of it before. Now I'm the southern edge Look, we're all going to snow...but be objective, it has been trending....does that mean we won't have an awesome winter weekend? Absolutely not. Does that mean it won't reverse? No. I'm just stating a fact. ? and this is only 10-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 The EC and GEM shifted north UK, too, but it has always been south. Steve, it looks good..no argument there. Just saying it trended north on a lot of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 The coastal seems like a long shot in this one. IDK, just a feeling I have. I agree with you on this part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 The EC and GEM shifted north UK, too, but it has always been south. Steve, it looks good..no argument there. Just saying it trended north on a lot of guidance. couldn't understand you saying you are on the southern edge, and the Euro was even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 I would just rather let go the Currier and Ives overrunning and grab a bigger coastal, even if it means some ptype issues. I feel like we should hope for that down this way. Might be playing with fire, but oh well. I'll take my chances with it. This days and days of snow idea is weak, give me more bang for my buck instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 couldn't understand you saying you are on the southern edge, and the Euro was even better The southern edge of the jack zone on the EURO....that's all. Sorry....poor communication. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 ? and this is only 10-1 is this 18z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Looks like 18z...says it in the corner. But maybe I'm wrong. I'm rooting for the Coastal too. But I'd take the 1"+ of precip that the Euro is showing for Most of SNE this afternoon too. Hey, its Snow :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 is this 18z GFS?yeah we need to tranquilize you, strap you down until you scream 'im a weenie' again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 I wish we could ban clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 This could be one of those cold tuck events too. I weak wave rides out east of ACK and puts eastern areas in the freezer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I'm crying uncle on this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 This could be one of those cold tuck events too. I weak wave rides out east of ACK and puts eastern areas in the freezer.What r your thoughts about OES? Seems it would be a good setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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