Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Bufkit is going to be pretty crazy, the soundings look sweeeet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Panic is really going to set in. General public has had enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Winter may not be great there, but summer certainly has its compensations. Beautiful beaches, the occasional side swipe from an occluding hurricane, etc. Do you fish? Great spots for blues in Fishers Island Sound. Westerly is an absolute jewel in the summer, winters suck although he has more otg than they have had since 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Feet for all Pittsburgh, NH getting the shaft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Nelly Furtado or whatever her name is on NECN 9-12"+ Starts it off saying only light to moderate but long duration. Then contradicts herself and says likely heavy snow on monday. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Harv's all in despite not going crazy with the numbers, you can tell by the way he's presenting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 JB is bullish as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Feet for all I was looking at this. I am ****ing screwed. Like this is too much!!! I dont know where we will put it. Streets are absolutely clogged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 IMO, I sense that the models are underrating the power of the Quebec high. I am not usually an optimist, but I think coastal CT will surprise to the upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Westerly is an absolute jewel in the summer, winters suck although he has more otg than they have had since 2011 Agreed, but T Swift right down the beach can pet and console him... But I digress. GFS is pure frontal nudity. Wow if that plays out. Not a bad OES signal perhaps too. Ray may jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Gfs shows interior SE mass, Rhode island up to Boston and NE mass getting smoked. Berks too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Wow. Not convinced until the 0Z models come in though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Wow. Not convinced until the 0Z models come in though... We need fresh data profiles! Especially when the run came in so similar... My body is ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Meanwhile we are perfectly normal here..carrying on how all sane people do Favorite post of the season because it is So true. We just expect 60" in 18 days and have a 30" Snowpack with Zyons of cold in sight. We are Bad. Baaaaad bad Weenies. And that GFS map there seems much higher than the map on NCEP. I guess closer up is different? And I've never known that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Let's keep this about the storm disco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Let's keep this about the storm disco. Banter thread for those who want to talk general winter topics and how good this winter is: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45595-post-super-bowl-storm-banter/page-9? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 JB is bullish as usual. That's actually a very good map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMPhysicsTeacher Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 In terms of the initial events Saturday and Sunday, is there anything that could develop those days to cause a major shift in Sunday night through Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 GFS continues to show the shadowing in the valley. though I don't think anyone would complain with 12+. Close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Lets get some of that heavier qpf up to snh. Then I will feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Banter thread for those who want to talk general winter topics and how good this winter is: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45595-post-super-bowl-storm-banter/page-9? You mean how good the past 2 weeks have been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Lets get some of that heavier qpf up to snh. Then I will feel better.We'll be fine. I expect sloppy seconds again to Mass, but not as extreme as the previous events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Fascinated by how models handle this energy currently over the Pacific... and as I've posted earlier today, will not be surprised to see coastal low depiction change dramatically as this approaches the West Coast Saturday. We've seen the 18z GFS trend towards a more robust coastal, let's see what the 0z suite does. The impact of the "data-poor environment" sampling resulted in dramatic forecast changes for Monday storms 2 weeks in a row. Let's see how this unfolds... This is the vorticity that contributes to our coastal Monday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Panic is really going to set in. General public has had enough. I agree. I'm here in western CT where we may only end up with 6 to 8, but Home Depot looked like the rapture was upon us earlier today. People are at their end, and I can already see the beginnings of mass hysteria and mental breakdowns. Anyway, liking the GFS, it has that nice band almost touching me, coming down from the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GFS continues to show the shadowing in the valley. though I don't think anyone would complain with 12+. Close We've never seen you post so many maps of your hatred rival the GFS. Tossed? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Fascinated by how models handle this energy currently over the Pacific... and as I've posted earlier today, will not be surprised to see coastal low depiction change dramatically as this approaches the West Coast Saturday. We've seen the 18z GFS trend towards a more robust coastal, let's see what the 0z suite does. The impact of the "data-poor environment" sampling resulted in dramatic forecast changes for Monday storms 2 weeks in a row. Let's see how this unfolds... This is the vorticity that contributes to our coastal Monday: gfs_namer_015_500_vort_ht_18z_sat03z.gif I annotated that exact same thing the other day, too -- Not sure folks are really interested in understand "why" this stuff happens, though. There does seem to be more interest in the suppling from the epicosity teet, and admiring eye-popping modeled numbers. I say that not as a dig -- folks are into it for whatever fancies them. But the substantive analysis, I have found, tends to get ignored. What, think? American??! Just get 'em off. That's what it's all about. Annnyway, the other aspect that I covered a while ago and heard 0 acknowledgement that it was even read (go wonder), is that this system's peculiar structure of having very steep elevated frontal slope where the arctic air mass/ +PP abuts the pre-existing environment over the upper MA, means that inflow above the llvs will be directed very upright... That is an assist where we won't need wildly potent jet mechanics to force lift. I've seen system where weak profiling and modeled structure over performed; this just smacks of one of those times. I guess we'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Al Roker hasn't looked at a model since god knows when, he's even confused where Boston is : Al Roker @alroker 2h2 hours ago Boston:Winter Storm Watch starting Saturday on-Monday pm. Details on that and wicked western weather @NBCNightlyNews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I wouldn't expect "huge" changes in the data sampling. We are close to the event and remote sensing is very good. However, yiu still can have shifts obviously that are critical to the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 MPM plays serious catch up, but calming down, um GFS , happy hour, you know.... That GFS map sure it purdy, but I'm not going to take it seriously until it 3/4 of the way done. It's been a tough year. 12.0/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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