weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 thats sick and those have been dead nuts, whats it show for orh bdl ORH: Saturday: 2 Sunday: 6 Monday: 8 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday: 0 Thursday: 6 BDL: Saturday: 2 Sunday: 4 Monday: 8 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday: 0 Thursday: 1 PVD: Saturday: 1 Sunday: 2 Monday: 2 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday: 0 Thursday: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Tim Kelly at NECN not buying the GFS. He's talking rain even up to Fenway Park on Sunday night, Monday. His map showed the 6 inch line up to the Boston area for 3-day total. He must be riding the NAM, lol. I saw him, he relegated rain to south coast verbally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 MEX snow numbers for BOS: Saturday: 1 Sunday: 6 Monday: 6 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday:0 Thursday: 4 Have I moved to NNE? Or maybe les country? Which ranges do those numbers represent again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Which ranges do those numbers represent again? 1...1-2 2...2-4 4...4-6 6...6-8 8...8+ Its definitely excessive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I saw him, he relegated rain to south coast verbally. I saw him on live at noon and he said it could rain up to Fenway Park. If you see him at other times, it is a tape of an earlier report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah, I have a hard time believing them here, Its 1,8,8,8,0,8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I saw him on live at noon and he said it could rain up to Fenway Park. If you see him at other times, it is a tape of an earlier report. 12:40. It doesn't matter though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GEFS looked like they finally discarded those few rogue NAM-esque solutions that were driving the mean north...though there's still one that wants to pull a NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 ORH: Saturday: 2 Sunday: 6 Monday: 8 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday: 0 Thursday: 6 BDL: Saturday: 2 Sunday: 4 Monday: 8 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday: 0 Thursday: 1 PVD: Saturday: 1 Sunday: 2 Monday: 2 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday: 0 Thursday: 1 is that snowfall inches on each of those days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 1...1-2 2...2-4 4...4-6 6...6-8 8...8+ Its definitely excessive. Jesus, thanks. Another protracted 2'. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Gfs and euro have been pretty steady with this and cold. Cmc coming around as well as its ensembles. GEFS look great. This ones happening. Euro rolling through hour 12 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winging_it Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah, I have a hard time believing them here, Its 1,8,8,8,0,8 Yeah, something's not right - some of these values seem inflated. Here are the numbers for KFIT (near where I live): Saturday: 2 Sunday: 8 Monday: 8 Tuesday: 8 Wednesday:0 Thursday: 8 That would represent 34"+ inches of total snowfall (not!). The Q12 value for Thursday is "1" (.01 to .09 inches melted) which doesn't jibe with 8+" of snow that MOS has for Thursday. Below is the description of the GFS MOS output: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/mexcard.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Man that high is sliding in with perfect timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah, something's not right - some of these values seem inflated. Here are the numbers for KFIT (near where I live): Saturday: 2[/size]Sunday: 8[/size]Monday: 8[/size]Tuesday: 8[/size]Wednesday:0[/size]Thursday: 8[/size] That would represent 34"+ inches of total snowfall (not!). The Q12 value for Thursday is "1" (.01 to .09 inches melted) which doesn't jibe with 8+" of snow that MOS has for Thursday. Below is the description of the GFS MOS output: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/mexcard.php So we had ths discussion before and after the blizzard when the robust numbers 3-4 days out didn't jibe with paltry qpf output, what Will said was MOS is supposedly designed to recognize setups and potential with that setup which gets weighed in the output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Pretty nice snow event Sunday on euro for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 So we had ths discussion before and after the blizzard when the robust numbers 3-4 days out didn't jibe with paltry qpf output, what Will said was MOS is supposedly designed to recognize setups and potential with that setup which gets weighed in the output. Eh, I still don't quite see that Sunday figure being right. Monday maybe. Thursday? What's that even doing in the listings? Not part of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah, I have a hard time believing them here, Its 1,8,8,8,0,8Ditto at CON. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro is colder/south early on in New England...but it looks a bit north out to the west of us, so not sure what that means, but it could mean a more robust SWFE/redeveloper by the time we get to that battle on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yes, 12z Euro please, Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 What's it got for tomorrow round 1 and Sunday morning round 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yes, 12x Euro please, Thanks Must have shifted north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 My memory bank for this system harkens to a march event around 3/12-13 in 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Pretty nice snow event Sunday on euro for a lot of us.nice appetizer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Eh, I still don't quite see that Sunday figure being right. Monday maybe. Thursday? What's that even doing in the listings? Not part of this storm. I think the days go by Zulu so obviously they would be a bit different from expectations being 5 hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 My memory bank for this system harkens to a march event around 3/12-13 in 1996. I think we got a little over 1'? I remember that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 What's it got for tomorrow round 1 and Sunday morning round 2? Just light stuff tomorrow PM...maybe dusting to an inch...Sunday morning is good for pike region up to CNE...slightly south of 00z on that part, but its much more robust as it exits right which is why dryslot likes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The numbers are robust and we should use it as a signal, not literal interpretation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Just light stuff tomorrow PM...maybe dusting to an inch...Sunday morning is good for pike region up to CNE...slightly south of 00z on that part, but its much more robust as it exits right which is why dryslot likes it. Yes, It is, Looks like the low that becomes the coastal is digging a little further south as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Damn, I'm not liking our chances for this event along the South Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Just light stuff tomorrow PM...maybe dusting to an inch...Sunday morning is good for pike region up to CNE...slightly south of 00z on that part, but its much more robust as it exits right which is why dryslot likes it.So just verbatim it's got nothing pike south Sunday, but it did shift south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.