SnowMan Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Any deform bands for the coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Nice step in the right direction for down here, hopefully euro follows suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Still like the idea of a better coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Theres been a couple of us . You, me, Will, that were just waiting for models to sniff the high pressing. Even posted yesterday it would start at 00z. Let's see how the rest of the day goes Yeah, Mentioned it, Models always pick up on it as we get closer in, No different here for this one, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I could see Monday trending more robust with precip as we get closer. A more impressive "wave" that can start cranking up the advective processes would really give us a robust storm. Could definitely deal with icing though if that wave scoots any farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Still like the idea of a better coastal. More bang for the buck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I could see Monday trending more robust with precip as we get closer. I actually have been having trouble figuring out why it didn't have a little more going for it on previous depictions in that regard... the setup looks pretty nice right as it slides south of NE and squeezing out under the H in Quebec, it looks like a nice setup for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Yeah, Mentioned it, Models always pick up on it as we get closer in, No different here for this one,A few humped the Euro. We urged caution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 A few humped the Euro. We urged caution Euro was pretty cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 A few humped the Euro. We urged caution Lets stop with the MMQBing until the event happens...you also thought last Monday would stay all snow north of LI sound...we don't need that type of rhetoric as if the event has happened. There's a lot of uncertainty in this one. The tick south isn't a shock...but it could still go back north a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 1717 getting bored and wants to come out to play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GGEM is south of 00z too...it started on the northern envelope of guidance so it is still north of GFS/Euro, etc...but ticked south of the 00z run. Looks a lot better for at least the pike region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GGEM is south of 00z too...it started on the northern envelope of guidance so it is still north of GFS/Euro, etc...but ticked south of the 00z run. Looks a lot better for at least the pike region. I thought Ryan said EURO was really bad for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 1717 getting bored and wants to come out to play I read up a little on that one...5' depth on the level, followed by a series of events over the span of a few days that deposited another 3-4' Think about that for a moment.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I thought Ryan said EURO was really bad for SNE? It wasn't very good for CT, but it was pretty good for BOS-ORH verbatim, though a bit of a close call. It had the overrunning stuff mostly N of the MA/CT border and temps got a bit marginal during the "Coastal" phase down in CT...esp southern half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Harv never bought those north trends for a moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Harv never bought those north trends for a moment. Trajectory of the high makes it difficult to get too far north...it's not a retreating high, it's actually trying to build in to our north as the system is evolving, and a frigid airmass often wins out...there's still a lot of questions though in this system. I wouldn't be locking anything in yet except that we'll probably see some light snow late tomorrow. Beyond that is up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Harv never bought those north trends for a moment. I tried to listen to his weathercasts on wcvb.com but could only find his 5pm forecast. Someone here mentioned that and I wanted to hear it from him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 If you look at the last 24 hours of GFS runs, the op seemed to max out it's north nudge and get the South Trend™ going. Did you just Trademark South Trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Did you just Trademark South Trend? Yes. I'll invoice you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 UK should be out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 UK should be out soon. Through 72 it looks just like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I am by no means a met. I was an an avid reader/sometimes poster on easternuswx years ago. Over the years i have noticed when there is some serious cold entrenched the models just dont grasp it quite like they should. For me this is no different. I really dont think the models have a solid hold on this cold air. During the last storm i felt the cold was under-forecasted as well which it certainly was. GFS is really starting to back me up. I still think cold is gonna win out more heavily than depitcted! Boston harbor sitting at a warm 31 F (They've had cancel the commuter boat from hull/hingham as well as use ice cutters to help them out) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I tried to listen to his weathercasts on wcvb.com but could only find his 5pm forecast. Someone here mentioned that and I wanted to hear it from him.I had mentioned it. At 11 He said he thought the overrunning would be farther S and never said anything about mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Harv never bought those north trends for a moment. you did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I had mentioned it. At 11 He said he thought the overrunning would be farther S and never said anything about mixing For our area to get in the game for more significant snows, we'll need models to tick a bit further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Ukie looks slightly north of 00z...but given that it was the southern outlier, I'm not surprised. It does look quite a bit like the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 For our area to get in the game for more significant snows, we'll need models to tick a bit further south. I think that depends on your definition of significance.... also, there may be a bit of a taint issue with the coastal along the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I know OT, but snowing here and 16 degrees..pretty wintry right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 UK should be out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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