powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Only goes to 72 hrs We wouldn't toss that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 80%+ of the precip has fallen before that though for that region, just probably some sprinkles or light drizzle at that point. Damage has been done with warning level snows prior to that time. The GFS still had a slug of precip for that period. Shows .5 for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I didn't get a chance at the 72 hr progg, but that's dam good.How r things looking down here atm based on GFS? fwiw Harv tonite didn't mention p-type issues and flat out said that overrunning precip should be further S than as modeled. Again fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 How r things looking down here atm based on GFS? fwiw Harv tonite didn't mention p-type issues and flat out said that overrunning precip should be further S than as modeled. Again fwiw. good to hear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 good to hearWell u have less to worry about than down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 How r things looking down here atm based on GFS? fwiw Harv tonite didn't mention p-type issues and flat out said that overrunning precip should be further S than as modeled. Again fwiw. GFS was ok there. The better lift is north, but it would be some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The GGEM hasn't had a good handle on the storm for several runs now. Not NAM-like, but splits the energy between two surface lows, one over NY and one over Ohio. The low over NY dissipates as the low over Ohio dives SE into NE Georgia, then moves East then Southeast. The only coastal low is something weak that redevelops south of Nova Scotia. Seems whacky and disorganized IMO and probably not going to happen.It's also got some type of subtropical storm out in the Atlantic on Wednesday - no other models are showing that either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro appears north by 50 miles or so at hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Sunday morning(Hour 60) has nice overrunning for northern SNE SE into the BOS metro and SEMA as well as up into CNE, lesser amounts to the south and north of there. Slightly north of the 12z run but not nearly as much as the earlier panel would have suggested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 After a break for much of Sunfay, round 2 moving in Sunday night, light snow for all at hour 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro is ~100 miles north with the center of the overrunning(and hence the heaviest precip) at hour 78. Heaviest is over CVT/NH on this run at this hour, on the 12z run, it was over northern PA heading for central CT. This run is faster also with the timing it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Starting to transfer to a coastal now at hour 84, light snow for all in that panel and then moderate snow for all of SNE/CNE at hour 90 light snow NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Hour 96 moderate to heavy precip for EMA SENH SWME light precip everywhere else, 850s though are now above 0 from ~DXR-TOL-TAN and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 At 96 hr it looks much slower, with the low 200 mi. to the wsw of last night's 00z run @ 120 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Hour 102 light snow for all except light rain for a line SE of GON to Ginx to to TAN. Hour 108 light snow for all but James as the low exits. Total QPF through 114 is .25-.5 for far southern CT, .5 for DXR to just north of HVN to GON to ACK and north, .75 for HFD to TOL to just south of TAN to James and north, and 1"+ for all of MA north of the MA/CT border except the Pioneer valley, all of VT south of BTV, all of NH south of MWN, and all of ME south of PWM, with .5"+ north of that to the Canadian border. BOS is around 1.25" all snow, Ray jackpots again on the Euro with just under 1.5" all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 LOL at the EURO. At 120 hr the low is 500 mi SE of Hatteras. At 144 hr last night's EURO, the low is 400 mi E of Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 So is it less snowy than last run? Or the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 sounds kinda meh for my area and much of sne outside of areas that have been getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Well happy to see 1.25" at BOS. Guessed a foot for my plow buddies earlier. Gladly take the 1.5" at school. It'll be interesting to see how much shifting this one has left in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Doesn't sound good for coastal ct. Too far north with the overrunning then the coastal doesn't crank enough. My worries from yesterday still pop up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro was a good hit for most folks except maybe southern third of SNE. Definitely bumped northward. The Pike to RT 2 area of Mass in western areas over towards BOS and then up into central VT/NH look primed. 6z NAM is still congrats Montreal lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Big hit for all of SNe on the Euro. Those Ukie maps looked a bit farther south ,,but still nice hit. Looks like that move back south a bit with the overrunning that Freak expected also started on the 00z runs. I'd think today we really see that in earnest as models sense how strong that arctic high pressing in is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 6z GFS also is south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 6z GFS also is south It doesn't look too south compared to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 It doesn't look too south compared to 00z. It wasn't a huge jump, but it's another tick south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 OK...the models can stop going north now. C NH is looking pretty good on the EC/GFS/EPS. The extended drunk NAM is trying to give me an ice storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Here's BOX map just thru Sunday Close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Best overrunning as modeled now looks like from the Pike region to SNH and SVT with lighter to the south but the stronger wave/ coastal helps produce heavier precipitation further south into CT. Overall winner as modeled north of the pike near route 2 but everyone gets a decent storm.This could of course shift around a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Was def reassuring to see the RGEM /GGEM come south a bit last night and now GFS starting to follow. We'll see what Euro does this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 This DOES NOT include anything falling Sunday night and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.