40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:02 AM, N. OF PIKE said: Stop by pal. Hope I'm not 3 miles too Far East. 1.1" new as of 1am 26f I like this area, but the two things that bug me about it: 1) No elevation 2) I'm just close enough to the ocean to scrwed by it, but not close enough to benefit from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:54 AM, wxsniss said: Would not be surprised to see Euro trend drier, obviously hoping not. 0z NAM cut back as well. Again, my impression is feature placement hasn't changed as much as overall qpf outside of northshore/Boston metro band. Not sure if that's a result of diminished coastal strength or what... Indeed, Euro is drier like the rest of the 0z suite, except GFS. Actually looks very close to 0z RGEM. Feature placement not that much different from 12z Euro. Still 12"+ inside of 128, max north shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:06 AM, wxsniss said: Indeed, Euro is drier like the rest of the 0z suite, except GFS. Actually looks very close to 0z RGEM. Feature placement not that much different from 12z Euro. Still 12"+ inside of 128, max north shore. 12z EURO had max centered right over me, so if its inside of rt 128 now, it shifted. I suspect it did. Hopefully someone has that clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:06 AM, wxsniss said: Indeed, Euro is drier like the rest of the 0z suite, except GFS. Actually looks very close to 0z RGEM. Feature placement not that much different from 12z Euro. Still 12"+ inside of 128, max north shore. It's actually not drier. Subtract the 0.1 that fell,12z-0z and it's identical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Maybe 0.1 drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:06 AM, wxsniss said: Indeed, Euro is drier like the rest of the 0z suite, except GFS. Actually looks very close to 0z RGEM. Feature placement not that much different from 12z Euro. Still 12"+ inside of 128, max north shore. drier? Hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:13 AM, wxsniss said: I stand corrected, about 0.1 drier accounting for what's already fallen, otherwise same qpf. And same placement. I'll take these down after we discuss: 12z ecmwf_tprecip_boston_14.png 0z ecmwf_tprecip_boston_13_0z.png It's dry. I didn't get .3" today. It cut back as well but is still a good hit in the same General area. Also seems colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:13 AM, wxsniss said: I stand corrected, about 0.1 drier accounting for what's already fallen, otherwise same qpf. And same placement. I'll take these down after we discuss: 12z ecmwf_tprecip_boston_14.png 0z ecmwf_tprecip_boston_13_0z.png nah it's slightly drier to significantly drier (over the Berks/E slope) unless a 20% reduction doesn't count as drier then gee someone needs to look closer Thru 7pm today we didn't have .1 qpf fall. That has fallen from 7pm to 1am (6z) The deeper yellow shadings are 1.4 to 1.6 they are now 1.2 to 1.4 Some people will never see a trend that Is less snowier or less bullish for snow, don't let that fool you. It still does look good. However it should be ok to mention something looks drier without the legion of snow lobbyists calling you insane lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I also don't thibk western ma got .4" today but maybe they did. In short it looks like it's cut back in a lot of areas like many other models. Boston still does well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 it cut back alot imo On 2/8/2015 at 6:19 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: I also don't thibk western ma got .4" today but maybe they did. In short it looks like it's cut back in a lot of areas like many other models. Boston still does well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Lol at quibbling over tenths, wth is going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:22 AM, Ginxy said: Lol at quibbling over tenths, wth is going on. dude it's discussion if it was pro snow you'd be cheering it. .35 of 1.3 in berks is significant cut back , W ma didn't see more than .08 fall by 7pm tonight. c'mon , You have a comment without fail on every single post that is not pro snow, even if it is deemed a great post by 2 mets later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Does anyone have that snow map for the 00z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:23 AM, N. OF PIKE said: dude it's discussion if it was pro snow you'd be cheering it. You have a comment without fail on every single post that is not pro snow, even if it is deemed a great post by 2 mets later. over 2 tenths of an inch? You realise that happens every storm positive or negative? JHC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Yep 10% cutback is a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 almost a half inch back this way On 2/8/2015 at 6:22 AM, Ginxy said: Lol at quibbling over tenths, wth is going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I don't think the QPF cut backs are a big deal out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:22 AM, Ginxy said: Lol at quibbling over tenths, wth is going on.We whine. Have to stop and ask yourself: WWWDD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:26 AM, ineedsnow said: almost a half inch back this way Aside of the coastal banding a lot of snow maps are going to need to be chopped imo. This storm just isn't going to do it for most for a widespread 12/15+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:22 AM, weathafella said: OT but nice hit late week. W new Gfs seemingly locked in and now Euro getting on board, things getting really serious, things are going to get very problematic over Bos Metro over next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:26 AM, ineedsnow said: almost a half inch back this waywut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Well BOS 0.9 to midnight. 17.1 to reach the bottom of the box map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:26 AM, Amped said: Yep 10% cutback is a bust. No one calling bust... we're just discussing guidance. NWS map still has 18-24 on it, 14-18 for almost all of Mass... Right now that is supported by GFS but the rest of the 0z suite seems to have stepped down from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 1.3 to 0.9 On 2/8/2015 at 6:31 AM, Ginxy said: wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 And people bust MPM about being a QPF queen? Watch it stack Boston,watch it stack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:36 AM, Ginxy said: And people bust MPM about being a QPF queen? Watch it stack Boston,watch it stack. Euro is 1.2" ish qpf...there are forecasts all over for 18 or 24 plus. Seems overly aggressive JMHO. Small steps before the big leap at 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:36 AM, Ginxy said: And people bust MPM about being a QPF queen? Watch it stack Boston,watch it stack. it is stacking quite nicely at the moment. By the end of the week, should have all time pack (if Thur N holds) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:33 AM, ineedsnow said: 1.3 to 0.9you said half inch close but no cigar. Notice how the great majority is one to two tenths with a couple of 3-4 s, that to me is model noise. GFS was wetter, blended it's a 1 to 1.25 for a large chunk of SNE with down slope screw zones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:38 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Euro is 1.2" ish qpf...there are forecasts all over for 18 or 24 plus. Seems overly aggressive JMHO. Small steps before the big leap at 12z?blended plus ratios, salt nuclei good snow growth, showing up already up there. This is a Berkshire NE Mass JP but good snowstorm for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 6:36 AM, Ginxy said: And people bust MPM about being a QPF queen? Watch it stack Boston,watch it stack. Hope you're right Ginxy. Boston / north shore very well could stack Buffalo-style with the coastal front and ocean enhancement, but the more widespread 14-18 painted over most of MA seems to me at risk right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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