HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:18 AM, N. OF PIKE said: I was most impressed with the blizzard's huge range of 25"+ coverage. Nearly all of SE NH out to 495 and over to ORH then over toward Garth /Ginxy then over to Bob and then Messenger and most of cape. Dramatic snow growth and qpf cutoff though with the blizzard. Nemo and this past Monday's storm were better for larger area and more people. Let's face it, it's an inside I-495 winter for MA. I saw indisputable evidence of that driving from Greenfield to Cambridge the past two weeks. The snow amounts once past Leominster/Fitchburg are astounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:18 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I wish we hadn't lost the coastal component of this. The thing that I am honestly confused about is how we lost the coastal component (which was the big wildcard) but totals didn't go down when in doubt I go with Harv's map, box and esp gyx IMO look inflated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:15 AM, Ginxy said: RPM is and remains garbage. I never put much stock into it. Either way, most of us bang. Winter rages on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:38 AM, ineedsnow said: yeah it does! latest you ever stayed up? This storm has disaster written all over it for much of w mass and n ct, could easily be 4 to 6 with a net gain of a few inches..... those qpf cutbacks like have some merit. I'm not gonna ride gfs like I didn't ride the euro with the blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:17 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: I just have the feeling this one will wiggle around right until the end. Ehh, most of the snow starved south of you guys would beg for a wiggling snow band over 2+ days that could drop 20" where it favors. Good luck up there-NYC will have to settle with sleet and zones of ZR, maybe an inch or two of snow at the very end. What a discriminating winter thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:20 AM, PeabodyFlood said: Agreed. Still, assuming guidance has the right idea in continually showing our areas as the favored lands, I think we've got much less to 'worry' about than others. "Our"? You mean your I could see you getting 3', and me 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:24 AM, N. OF PIKE said: The thing that I am honestly confused about is how we lost the coastal component (which was the big wildcard) but totals didn't go down when in doubt I go with Harv's map, box and esp gyx IMO look inflated Totals didn't go down because of that band....they put a board range of 1-2' because they aren' going to guess who gets 30", and who gets 3". They smooth it out. The implications of losing the coastal are that there will be a much greater disparity between the few haves, and the far more plentiful have nots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Not gonna lie, for me, this storm has an annoying factor that is off the charts......looking forward to getting this one in the rear view..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The 9:45 AFD from BOX still talks about a coastal low developing near the benchmark. Are they not seeing something that this forum is, or vice versa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 My only shot is if that 4km NAM that parked the cf over N Reading is right because that is primo for me. I need that low level convergence because otherwise I'm SOL. I'm not getting a pure oes band up here. Never happens...I'm too far nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 3:57 AM, N. OF PIKE said: Where in monads are you? Compared to say Bennington/Francestown. Pretty much right there with Bennington and Francestown; about 800 feet in elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 S- 1" New 24.7/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Every model has an increase in rates when the low emerges under us. That's the coastal. One euro run had it more robust but it hasn't changed other than to be more amorphous within a regime of decent lift wringing the moisture out. This event has been mind fukked to death by people. It's snowing out fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:43 AM, bristolri_wx said: The 9:45 AFD from BOX still talks about a coastal low developing near the benchmark. Are they not seeing something that this forum is, or vice versa? If Im not mistaken, the update portion of this afd was just the beginning; the part youre referring to was likely part of this afternoon's AFD before the latest runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:39 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Totals didn't go down because of that band....they put a board range of 1-2' because they aren' going to guess who gets 30", and who gets 3". They smooth it out. The implications of losing the coastal are that there will be a much greater disparity between the few haves, and the far more plentiful have nots. Correct and there is no good way to convey that to the doe-eyed masses. There is currently a huge dryslot triangle from Montpelier VT to Concord NH to Pittsfield MA and there goes some of the potential of whatever tonight's expected totals for those areas were which could be 20% of your 3 day forecast. Big bust potential but that's why meteorologist is not and enviable job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Just getting a chance to review this thread since about noon. Where r we? Can someone offer where we stand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Humpity Thumpity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:49 AM, CTWeatherFreak said: If Im not mistaken, the update portion of this afd was just the beginning; the part youre referring to was likely part of this afternoon's AFD before the latest runs. You are correct, looks like that part of the discussion was posted at around 4PM... argh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:51 AM, BostonWX said: Humpity Thumpity. Band got wider this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 i would love to lock that in On 2/8/2015 at 5:51 AM, BostonWX said: Humpity Thumpity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Would not be surprised to see Euro trend drier, obviously hoping not. 0z NAM cut back as well. Again, my impression is feature placement hasn't changed as much as overall qpf outside of northshore/Boston metro band. Not sure if that's a result of diminished coastal strength or what... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:51 AM, BostonWX said: Humpity Thumpity. That is terrible. Dec 2003 all over again. God. Painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 BTV WRF is a similar jack zone. We might be nearing a consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 There's a coastal. I don't know what people are seeing here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:54 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is terrible. Dec 2003 all over again. God. Painful. How far NW are you in wilmington? It looks good for town center at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:56 AM, BostonWX said: How far NW are you in wilmington? It looks good for town center at least. The western tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I should call out of work and drive the damn 10 miles to 40" snow dephs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Euro looks a tick south, but no real changes in precip totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 On 2/8/2015 at 5:58 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I should call out of work and drive the damn 10 miles to 40" snow dephs.Stop by pal. Hope I'm not 3-5 miles too Far East. 1.1" new as of 1am 26f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Yeah Quincy euro looks good. Snowing into Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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