blizzardof96 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Congrats YGK. Looking fairly certain that wave 2 will whiff the TO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The 6z GFS actually didn't look too bad for the GTA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Is it even still snowing in Toronto? MTO cams show somewhat reduced visibility, but it may be -FZDZ or mist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 The 6z GFS actually didn't look too bad for the GTA. And it was schooled hard with wave 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Is it even still snowing in Toronto? MTO cams show somewhat reduced visibility, but it may be -FZDZ or mist. Ya it is. -SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 And it was schooled hard with wave 1. So what's your call? 2-4 " in total through Monday am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Starting to suspect wave 3 may not be speculator either. Need some consistency with the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 So what's your call? 2-4 " in total through Monday am? Cannot expect more than 1-2" or so from the first two waves combined. So it all comes down to wave three. And I have no idea right now how that's going to play out because there's absolutely no consistency with the models. Could end up being a dud, could end up being 4-6". Really, I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I would go back to London. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I would go back to London. He's already there I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 He's already there I believe. Correct. Superstition FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Latest nam looks good for wave 3. Here's hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Looks like a 1-3"+ event for SEMI. overnight Sunday into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Returns starting blossom and curl to the SE near the Bruce Peninsula. Maybe we can go into salvage mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Latest nam looks good for wave 3. Here's hoping. It shows ~10-15cm with Wave 3. Lets see! The Nam has been right on a more northern track so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Needles galore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 FWIW, 12z 4km NAM total run QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Looks great. 0.5 to 0.7 qpf generally across the GTA. Thanks Chicagowx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 12z RGEM looking great for the GTA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Snow picking up again. Amazing how it just blossomed almost out of the blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 GFS rotates between hit and whiff with round 3 every 6 hours. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 12z RGEM looking great for the GTA. RGEM does look pretty decent for wave 3. Really riding the line there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Southerly wind at Hamilton, easterly at Markham, calm at YYZ. Looks like the boundary has sagged south a touch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Snow picking up again. Amazing how it just blossomed almost out of the blue. Beauty of these types of systems. Also the curse. Can pass by moistureless, or can really amp up under the right conditions. I've got about 1 cm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Steady snow falling at my place. Flakes are bigger too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Beauty of these types of systems. Also the curse. Can pass by moistureless, or can really amp up under the right conditions. I've got about 1 cm down. Even the frequently updated, highest of high res HRRR is not picking up on this uptick of snow. A radar/sfc obs only for forecasting kind of weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Southerly wind at Hamilton, easterly at Markham, calm at YYZ. Looks like the boundary has sagged south a touch. Good eye. The boundary is definitely South of where it was earlier this morning. ~11z RAP OBS ~16z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Spitting pixie dust IMBY. Going to need to pick up soon or else I'm calling these bands a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The 12z RGEM really does look good for the GTA tomorrow with wave 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Getting some nice snow in my area currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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