Allsnow Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think some folks were exaggerating their responses to forky's post. hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Last summer was just endless beautiful weather,I'd sign up for that again ,whoever wants 90-100 with high humidity should move to Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 guam has a nice climate For sure as long as you don't mind the occasional cat 5. I think they once had 10 tc impacts in a single season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Did we even have a heat wave last summer? All i remember was beautiful days and cool nights…. We had one late in the summer, kinda like we got most of our snow late this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Last summer was just endless beautiful weather,I'd sign up for that again ,whoever wants 90-100 with high humidity should move to Florida It was a great summer with amazing sunsets and plenty of waves. I feel a repeat weather wise minus the waves as another lackluster hurricane season is on the way we just lucked out where they were lat year. To much surfing related I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Last summer was just endless beautiful weather,I'd sign up for that again ,whoever wants 90-100 with high humidity should move to Florida Agree! The grass never died out and it seemed like we got a good drink of water every couple of weeks. I can't recall one humid or hot day last summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 For sure as long as you don't mind the occasional cat 5. I think they once had 10 tc impacts in a single season. Meh... FL had 10 landfalls between 2004 and 2005. As far as I'm aware, Guam has gone mostly unscathed by typhoons since Pongsona in 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 i like hot over cold, humid over dry. luckily our climate is warming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Last summer was just endless beautiful weather,I'd sign up for that again ,whoever wants 90-100 with high humidity should move to Florida And whoever wants feet and feet of snow should move to Maine. ..Come on, all weather extremes are interesting. If we are going to have winter- let it be extreme. If its going to be summer- same thing. That's just me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 i like hot over cold, humid over dry. luckily our climate is warming Mostly sunny, 75 degrees, Rh 50%, winds W at 5-10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 How much more does Boston need to break the record? They are forecasted to get 3-5 inches overnight from the little storm. Radar looks good for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Mostly sunny, 75 degrees, Rh 50%, winds W at 5-10 mph. hate downsloping winds. 68F RH 70% winds NE 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Last summer was a tad too cool for me, 2009 was worse, so I didn't really complain. But I'd like another 2010 or 2012. Agreed. The consistent snowcover diminishes the need for there to be blockbuster event imo. I don't get the clamoring for spring on 2/24 at all... Why not? Meteorological spring begins in five days. It really isn't any different than people clamoring for winter on 11/26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Why not? Meteorological spring begins in five days. It really isn't any different than people clamoring for winter on 11/26. Yes but not the official start of spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 hate downsloping winds. 68F RH 70% winds NE 10 mph. 60s with low humidity =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 hate downsloping winds. 68F RH 70% winds NE 10 mph.I'll take one of those late august early September days with straight north winds (waves) and mid 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yes but not the official start of spring. December is officially an autumn month in that case lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Mostly sunny, 75 degrees, Rh 50%, winds W at 5-10 mph. That's basically the perfect conditions for humans. And also the daily weather in b-e-a-utiful San Diego, California. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 How much more does Boston need to break the record? They are forecasted to get 3-5 inches overnight from the little storm. Radar looks good for them. Seriously they have had all the luck this winter with everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 That's basically the perfect conditions for humans. And also the daily weather in b-e-a-utiful San Diego, California.Yeah but they have earthquakes. Went through one in San Luis Obispo (sp?).. 6.8 magnitude. No thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Still on your game I see. Nice one. How's life over the rainbow these days? I get by nicely enough...though the cost of living is a good deal higher than what I dealt with residing on the outskirts of Wichita. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Who gives a crap Isentropic, I just want to take a moment to wish you good luck in your quest to literally be the most annoying person I've ever met, you're almost there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 We better start watching next Wednesday colder SWFE. This will trend to another non cutter and become another coastal redeveloper. Looks like substantial snow and ice for NYC / LI and points north. Look at the 6Z GFS 174 hour panel and say very promising trends. I am going to say warning event a week from now. I would almost bet on this. What are your thoughts ? Pattern says 0.0000000000001 percent chance of any cutter and likely no plain rain at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 We better start watching next Wednesday colder SWFE. This will trend to another non cutter and become another coastal redeveloper. Looks like substantial snow and ice for NYC / LI and points north. Look at the 6Z GFS 174 hour panel and say very promising trends. I am going to say warning event a week from now. I would almost bet on this. What are your thoughts ? Pattern says 0.0000000000001 percent chance of any cutter and likely no plain rain at all. We've learned the pattern doesn't always matter. Wait until 48 hours then let's talk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Isentropic, I just want to take a moment to wish you good luck in your quest to literally be the most annoying person I've ever met, you're almost there! And here I thought we were friends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 How much more does Boston need to break the record? They are forecasted to get 3-5 inches overnight from the little storm. Radar looks good for them.They were at 99.9 yesterday. Their record is 107.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Boston officially joins the 100" club and is more impressive than 95-96 since about 90" of that fell over the last month. https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/570473816952053760 ...THE BOSTON MA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JANUARY 25 2015... SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 MONTH TO DATE 7.7 SINCE DEC 1 8.0 SINCE JUL 1 10.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 They were at 99.9 yesterday. Their record is 107.6.Sounds more like a high fever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm from Atlanta so been following this storm closely. What a fantastic write up by there NWS forecast office! I wish Upton could put this much detail and passion in their AFD. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 643 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 426 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015/ ..4 TO 6+ INCHES SNOW LIKELY NORTH OF CEDARTOWN TO GAINESVILLE LINE TODAY/TONIGHT... SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... WE ARE SHAPING UP FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY HIGH IN THE GENERAL TREND OF THE EVENT...BUT THERE IS DEFINITELY UNCERTAINTY ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF SNOW AS WELL AS SOME OF THE ACCUMULATIONS ESPECIALLY IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS /INCLUDING GAINESVILLE AND ATHENS/ BASED ON EARLY- TO MID-DAY DOWNSLOPING POTENTIAL KEEPING SURFACE TEMPERATURES A TAD WARMER AND LIMITING ACCUMULATIONS EARLY ON. BUT I/M GETTING AHEAD OF MYSELF HERE. CLASSIC MILLER-A PATTERN SETTING UP WITH STRONG SHORTWAVE DIGGING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND GULF MOISTURE OVERSPREADING THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS MORNING. SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF PROGGED TO WORK ITS WAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA FROM 00Z-06Z THURSDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. SO LET US JUST START WITH THE OVERALL NUTSHELL...AND THEN WE WILL GO INTO SOME OF THE UNCERTAINTIES /BUST-POTENTIAL/ AND LIMITATIONS. OVERALL...VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED FORECAST AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN PLACE BUT PLAN TO SEGMENT THE PRODUCT TO INCLUDE THE LOWER AMOUNTS AND LOWER CONFIDENCE ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE WARNING...AND HIGHER AMOUNTS/HIGHER CONFIDENCE ELSEWHERE. SO FIRST...PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND QPF. MODELS IN INCREDIBLE AGREEMENT WITH BAND OF PRECIPITATION PUSHING INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF METRO ATLANTA LATE THIS MORNING AND SPREADING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONFIDENCE VERY HIGH ON OVERALL PRECIPITATION AND CONTINUED TO CARRY TREND OF 100 POPS FOR A GOOD CHUNK OF THE EVENING. QPF IS OF COURSE HIGHEST CLOSER TO THE SURFACE LOW AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA MAY SEE UP TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN. A GOOD HALF INCH LIQUID EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA BUT THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY THERE THAT WE WILL GET INTO BELOW. PRECIPITATION BEGINS MOVING OUT BETWEEN 00Z-06Z WITH DRY SLOTTING PUSHING INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTH OF THE DEFORMATION ZONES SETTING UP ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA /MORE ON THAT BELOW AS WELL/...WITH ONLY SOME LINGERING WRAPAROUND PRECIPITATION IN NORTHERN ZONES THROUGH THURSDAY. ONTO TEMPERATURES VS. DEWPOINTS. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IN PLACE AT AFD TIME THAN ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED AND THE RESULT IS QUITE A BIT OF FOG OUT THERE THIS MORNING. HAVE ISSUED A FREEZING FOG ADVISORY FOR APPROXIMATELY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH ABOUT 9AM TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. BIGGER UNCERTAINTIES COME IN LATER THIS MORNING. NORTHERLY SURFACE FLOW...ALBEIT WEAK...NORTH OF THE APPROACHING LOW MAY LEAD TO SOME DOWNSLOPING IN THE WARM BELT THAT TYPICALLY RUNS FROM ATHENS TO GAINESVILLE AND INTO UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. THIS MAY LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS AT LEAST INITIALLY IN THAT AREA. NAM AND GFS BOTH STUBBORNLY KEEP THE WET BULB ZERO CLOSE TO THE TENNESSEE BORDER FOR MUCH OF THE DAY /AFTER THE MORNING WARMUP OF COURSE/ WITH LOW LEVEL WAA AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW...BUT WITH DEWPOINTS THIS MORNING RUNNING COOLER/DRIER THAN MODEL PROGS...HAVE MADE SOME MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPS/DEWPOINTS TO ACCOUNT FOR THAT TREND. IN REALITY IT COULD EASILY GO EITHER WAY. SURFACE WAA MAY WIN OUT... BUT THEN AGAIN EVAPORATIONAL COOLING INTO THE DRIER SURFACE LAYER MAY WIN OUT AND...LIKE YESTERDAY...KEEP TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER. OF COURSE...ONCE SNOW STARTS ACCUMULATING ALL BETS ARE OFF BECAUSE MODELS AND STATISTICAL GUIDANCE DO NOT HANDLE SNOW ON THE GROUND WELL AT ALL...SO FORECAST LOWS TONIGHT MAY DEFINITELY BE ON THE WARM SIDE. AND ONTO WINTRY PRECIPITATION. NAM AND GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS PLUS THICKNESSES AND OTHER PARAMETERS CONTINUE TO POINT TO A FINE LINE ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH METRO OF RAIN VS. SNOW. SEE VERY LITTLE TO INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF ANY OTHER P-TYPE EXCEPT PERHAPS SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AT THE END OF THE EVENT AS WE LOSE SATURATION IN THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE. THE QUESTION THEN BECOMES LOCATION OF ACCUMULATION AND HOW MUCH. THERMAL PROFILES ALL POINT TO A HEAVY WET SNOW /GOOD FOR SNOWBALLS AND SNOW MEN IF THAT IS YOUR THING/ WITH MORE OF OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL 8:1 SNOW RATIO. WITH 0.5 INCHES LIQUID EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA...WIDESPREAD 4 INCHES OF SNOW DEFINITELY SEEMS REASONABLE. HOWEVER...AND THIS IS ONE AREA OF POTENTIAL BUSTING...A VARIETY OF SIGNS POINT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MESOSCALE BANDING. DEFORMATION ZONE WITH SYNOPTIC LIFT NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW AND JUST AHEAD OF THE MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE...700MB FRONTOGENESIS NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW...DUAL JET COUPLING... POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLANTWISE CONVECTION AND NEGATIVE SATURATED GEOSTROPHIC POTENTIAL VORTICITY...ALL SORTS OF GEEKY TERMS...AND WE COULD DEFINITELY SEE BANDING POTENTIAL LEADING TO MUCH MORE IMPRESSIVE /VERY LOCALIZED/ SNOW AMOUNTS. SEEING AS HOW FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE BASED PRIMARILY ON BASIN-AVERAGE QPF...PARTNERS /AND RESIDENTS/ NEED TO KEEP IN MIND THAT THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO WAY WE CAN FORECAST THE MESOSCALE NATURE OF BANDING WITH 100 PERCENT ACCURACY. FINAL SNOW ACCUM GRID DOES TRY TO TAKE THIS INTO ACCOUNT WITH SOME AREAS OF 6+ INCHES...EVEN APPROACHING 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SO WITH THIS...HAVE ADDED HEAVY SNOW WORDING TO THE GRIDS GENERALLY BETWEEN 21Z-05Z TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POTENTIAL. ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WARNING...THINGS NOT SO CERTAIN. ALREADY TALKED A LITTLE ABOUT TEMPERATURES BUT BUFR SOUNDINGS FOR ATL AND AHN SHOW A DEEP NEAR FREEZING ISOTHERMAL LAYER WITH SURFACE TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY. DEFINITELY SEEMS MORE LIKE A RAIN/SNOW MIX WITH THIS SOUNDING /IN THE ABSENCE OF CONVECTION THAT WOULD RESULT IN SNOWBURSTS/ THAT WOULD DEFINITELY LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS INITIALLY. FOR THIS REASON...HAVE PULLED THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS JUST A TAD NORTH BUT NOT MUCH CHANGE OVERALL AS IT SHOULD ALL CHANGE TO SNOW SOMETIME AFTER AROUND 03Z. OF COURSE...BY THEN WE ARE STARTING TO LOSE THE DEEP MOISTURE FEED WHICH WOULD LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS ANYWAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE OF THESE UNCERTAINTIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE...HAVE OPTED TO SEGMENT THE WARNING TO PROVIDE A LITTLE MORE DELINEATION BETWEEN THIS AREA OF LOWER CONFIDENCE AND THE MORE SIGNIFICANT EVENT EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH. AS IF THAT IS ALL NOT ENOUGH...WITH ANY SURFACE LOW PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. SEE NO MUCAPE TO SPEAK OF BUT SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK HAS ROUGHLY THE SOUTHERN HALF TO 2/3 OF THE AREA IN GENERAL THUNDER. THINK THIS WILL BE MORE MESOSCALE/FRONTOGENETICALLY DRIVEN THAN ANYTHING AND DEFINITELY NOT ENOUGH TO ADD THUNDER TO THE GRIDS...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT SOME ISOLATED RUMBLES ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA IN THE HEAVIER RAIN. OF COURSE...WITH ANY MESOSCALE BANDS THAT SET UP THERE IS ALWAYS THE POTENTIAL FOR /DRUM ROLL/ THUNDERSNOW. IMPOSSIBLE TO REFLECT SOMETHING THAT UNPREDICTABLE IN THE GRIDS HOWEVER. I SURE HOPE THAT/S EVERYTHING. IF YOU/VE MADE IT THIS FAR...THANKS FOR STICKING WITH ME. MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS THIS MORNING TO AVOID THE NEED TO TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE PRIORITY SHOULD BE TO STAY SAFE AND WARM. TDP Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 And here I thought we were friends <Asks agent if I have any friends> "Nope..." I could fit in another frenemy...I'm pretty sure I have a few of those... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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