bluewave Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 which winter had the second strongest? I can't really find a close analog for the strength of each of the indices in that mode during one season. But when February is over, I will do a 500 mb and index comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It will rain? It will trend rainier... Why not? We will also argue over hundredths of an inch in precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 A great actor...terrible how in the middle of life just ends like that...I mean if it were someone elderly, you could understand...but it shows nothing is guaranteed in this life; including our next breath. He went to Rutgers at the same time as me, as did Mario Batali, but I never ran into either one ( but Mario might have made a sub for me at Stuff Yer Face ) but I wouldn't have known it as JG had hair and an athletic build and was voted best looking in his high school. Me, OTOH, the hair left the station at 21... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I grew up with real mobsters and wannabees...I thought the sopranos was lame...Vinny Ocean Palermo head of the DeCalavante crime family who turned states evidence and became a rat was glorified... The best depictions of the mob are from Scorcese. Goodfellas and Casino, and an early Mean Streets. These folks are not depicted as role models that's for sure. but rather as dangerous sociopaths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Big snowstorm to close out winter coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Big snowstorm to close out winter coming What would be nice is to completely rid the current dirty, hard snow pack (starting to look possible) and have one final major snowstorm to finish out the winter. Then spring could do as it pleases and warm up us nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Big snowstorm to close out winter coming I would love to see a huge snow bomb the first week of March, then flip over to above average temps by March 10th and enjoy a warm sunny spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I think people are misunderstanding pattern change to mean warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I think people are misunderstanding pattern change to mean warmup. I think ANY pattern change would have to result in at least some warmup with the current pattern we are in lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 What would be nice is to completely rid the current dirty, hard snow pack (starting to look possible) and have one final major snowstorm to finish out the winter. Then spring could do as it pleases and warm up us nicely. I had a thick layer of crusty snow under the snow that I had yesterday. It was hard to use my snowblower in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I think ANY pattern change would have to result in at least some warmup with the current pattern we are in lol Thats fair. I should clarify. PNA looks to go negative, I buy that, does it stay like that or is it transient? I don't think we really know for sure yet. That doesn't automatically mean torch. I see people talking about busting out the shorts and t-shirts. I'm not sold on a flip to a raging positive EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The weekend storm looks to be a mostly rain event. If anything it'll be more like a cold front more than anything else. I don't think we should worry about flooding unless the future model runs show a more robust and east storm. If it cuts that west there's not going to be a big event here for rain or snow IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Thats fair. I should clarify. PNA looks to go negative, I buy that, does it stay like that or is it transient? I don't think we really know for sure yet. That doesn't automatically mean torch. I see people talking about busting out the shorts and t-shirts. I'm not sold on a flip to a raging positive EPO Exactly...pattern change could just mean average temps and not a torch, which at this point would still be one hell of a warmup lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The best depictions of the mob are from Scorcese. Goodfellas and Casino, and an early Mean Streets. These folks are not depicted as role models that's for sure. but rather as dangerous sociopaths. the loan shark that was portrayed in mean streets might as well have been the guy around the block from me...I thought it was based on him...his uncle who was in jail for years was rubbed out after he was released...I remember walking home from the subway and the street was blocked off with yellow tape and his body was still lying on the sidewalk... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Exactly...pattern change could just mean average temps and not a torch, which at this point would still be one hell of a warmup lol. It could, but I'm not seeing normal yet on the ensembles. Could also be below, just not as below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Thats fair. I should clarify. PNA looks to go negative, I buy that, does it stay like that or is it transient? I don't think we really know for sure yet. That doesn't automatically mean torch. I see people talking about busting out the shorts and t-shirts. I'm not sold on a flip to a raging positive EPOHere's the thing, the teleconnections are forecasted to take a dump (+epo/wpo, -pna, +ao, +nao) the first week of March and go significantly into "bad" territory. For arguments sake even if it's transient, that would mean at least a week or two of bad teleconnections, now we are into mid-March. How much time at that point do we honestly have left to go back into deep winter? Climo will be taking over and time will be running out very, very fast at that point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's the thing, the teleconnections are forecasted to take a dump (+epo/wpo, -pna, +ao, +nao) the first week of March and go significantly into "bad" territory. For arguments sake even if it's transient, that would mean at least a week or two of bad teleconnections, now we are into mid-March. How much time at that point do we honestly have left to go back into deep winter? Climo will be taking over and time will be running out very, very fast at that point Who said anything about deep winter? Also, I guess you missed my last sentence there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Who said anything about deep winter? Also, I guess you missed my last sentence there. I don't know how anyone can expect deep winter in March, depending on what one considers 'deep winter' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I don't know how anyone can expect deep winter in March, depending on what one considers 'deep winter'No one here said it but apparently some people think a simple "thaw" and reload back to the extreme cold pattern we've been in is coming for early March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 No one here said it but apparently some people think a simple "thaw" and reload back to the extreme cold pattern we've been in is coming for early March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 No one in the nyc forum let's just say lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I don't know how anyone can expect deep winter in March, depending on what one considers 'deep winter' Right, agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's the thing, the teleconnections are forecasted to take a dump (+epo/wpo, -pna, +ao, +nao) the first week of March and go significantly into "bad" territory. For arguments sake even if it's transient, that would mean at least a week or two of bad teleconnections, now we are into mid-March. How much time at that point do we honestly have left to go back into deep winter? Climo will be taking over and time will be running out very, very fast at that point Are your ctrl and v buttons worn out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 There's an interesting mindset around here. If we are in the bullseye of a snow storm 4-5 days out, most of the talk centers around how it could possibly miss us. Take the same time frame but a cutter or rain storm, and the talk centers on how it can't possibly miss us. Obviously it goes beyond meteorology, perhaps it's partly human nature, but just something I've noticed over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Every winter we get a rash of high-schoolers that come in here and talk about how they hope it snows so that they don't have to go to school the next day, but this year we seem to have reached all new lows, with people pretending to have met degrees from different countries and people that just post whatever thoughts enters their minds. It's funny and highly annoying at the same time. I almost get the impression that it's people from Accuweather forums that were sent over here to make people crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 We need one of these emoticons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Does anyone know how to show your Temperature, Wind under your location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The cars kicking up all the salt on the main roads today created a foggy appearance lowering the visibility a bit. It looked like driving on a country dirt road here on Long Island today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Every winter we get a rash of high-schoolers that come in here and talk about how they hope it snows so that they don't have to go to school the next day, but this year we seem to have reached all new lows, with people pretending to have met degrees from different countries and people that just post whatever thoughts enters their minds. It's funny and highly annoying at the same time. I almost get the impression that it's people from Accuweather forums that were sent over here to make people crazy. What I find most fascinating is the alternate universe here. But that's what drew me here; imagine not kids, but adults, some of whom are highly educated, getting excited about the prospect of snow. And I admit I'm a bit of a weenie myself. And I have come to respect just how complicated weather is; as complicated as anything in medicine. Most of the time I have little idea what you or the pros are talking about, and yet from being here I know far more than the average Joe, who frankly, wants only to know if it will snow, and clings to the hope that we will have dry mild winters and the snow will miss ( well, this is the wrong part of the country for that, but this is how people think ). Many people in central NJ would say this is a bad winter, not as bad as last, but it is cold and has snowed. That it has snowed at all is a source of irritation for many people. I also get a kick out of how irritated some of the folks here become when a topic veers off. But even I have to admit that Winter20142015 Tony guy was bizarre even for this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJCowboy Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 All I have to say after following this forum for a few years is this: most, not all, of the posters here are the kind of people who would have, if cast in the movie "Braveheart", raised the horse-piercing poles WAY too early on the charging Brits. Despite Mel's discouragement. Just sayin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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