pazzo83 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:14 PM, danstorm said: I see you're back on the pipe... good man. How did your feelings/hallucinations work out last year? Because I recall you having a "real feeling" we'd have a snowpack through Memorial Day. I was going to ask him his projected "leaf out" date. I'm guessing mid June this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm just waiting for the warm weather already. The roads were awful last night people getting stuck left and right. I can't wait for the first period of warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:14 PM, pazzo83 said: I was going to ask him his projected "leaf out" date. I'm guessing mid June this year? July 4th, brah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 OKX took another social media beating for this latest bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I have a feeling NYC will not go below 10* tonight because the temps are just torching right now under that high and bright sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:45 PM, Hailstorm said: I have a feeling NYC will not go below 10* tonight because the temps are just torching right now under that high and bright sun. 21 degrees is not torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:45 PM, Hailstorm said: I have a feeling NYC will not go below 10* tonight because the temps are just torching right now under that high and bright sun. They are over 20 degrees below average and they'll easily go under 10F once the sun goes down. However temps have been a bit higher than forecast for the past several days which is why they won't hit 0. The sun angle is starting to play a role now in elevating temperatures slightly but it's certainly not torching by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:29 PM, eyewall said: OKX took another social media beating for this latest bust. This time justified. There wasn't even a model to back up those dreams of totals forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:48 PM, Mophstymeo said: 21 degrees is not torching. We were supposed to be in the low-mid teens. The wind direction isn't entirely ideal (NW vs due N), so we'll have to see how much temps drop tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:52 PM, SnoSki14 said: They are over 20 degrees below average and they'll easily go under 10F once the sun goes down. However temps have been a bit higher than forecast for the past several days which is why they won't hit 0. The sun angle is starting to play a role now in elevating temperatures slightly but it's certainly not torching by any means. I don't think well hit 0, but single-digits are possible. We were originally forecast to be at 19 degrees; 21or 22 is not that far off and is certainly not torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 3:52 PM, snywx said: You either have no idea how to read a model or just here to troll.. Which is it?Have you looked at the euro weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Euro weeklies: https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2015/02/12/ecmwf-monthly-run-a-bit-cooler/. Attention Irishrob and snywx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:54 PM, pazzo83 said: We were supposed to be in the low-mid teens. The wind direction isn't entirely ideal (NW vs due N), so we'll have to see how much temps drop tonight. Really? As of yesterday, the lowest forecast temp I saw (on AW) was 19. Maybe the NWS had lower, but I find AW is pretty good with temps a day or so out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 So who really thinks 0.9" was what actually fell in NYC?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:05 PM, TwcMan said: So who really thinks 0.9" was what actually fell in NYC?!? I'd say it was close is SW Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:02 PM, Mophstymeo said: Really? As of yesterday, the lowest forecast temp I saw (on AW) was 19. Maybe the NWS had lower, but I find AW is pretty good with temps a day or so out. This is from 9:30pm last night (zone forecast): https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=ZFPOKX&e=201502150230 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:08 PM, pazzo83 said: This is from 9:30pm last night (zone forecast): https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=ZFPOKX&e=201502150230 NWS it is. I don't know why, but they always seem to go low with the temps. TWC tends to go high. AW is often in the middle. On Sat, TWC predicted 37, NWS 30, and AW 34. My temp hit 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:00 PM, snowman19 said: Euro weeklies: https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2015/02/12/ecmwf-monthly-run-a-bit-cooler/. Attention Irishrob and snywx Wow, and the Euro weeklies never change that far out. Stick a fork in this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:14 PM, IrishRob17 said: Wow, and the Euro weeklies never change that far out. Stick a fork in this winter. Umm, not sure you were aware of how the whole calendar/season thing works, but winter is pretty much over by mid March regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Models can't predict more than 6hrs right now let alone several weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:14 PM, IrishRob17 said: Wow, and the Euro weeklies never change that far out. Stick a fork in this winter.Can you show me where I said that? Please show me where I said that? Someone gave incorrect info about what they were showing so I posted it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:15 PM, pazzo83 said: Umm, not sure you were aware of how the whole calendar/season thing works, but winter is pretty much over by mid March regardless.He seems to have a hard time grasping reality.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:18 PM, snowman19 said: Can you show me where I said that? Please show me where I said that? Someone gave incorrect info about what they were showing so I posted itI thought that's what you wanted to hear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:15 PM, pazzo83 said: Umm, not sure you were aware of how the whole calendar/season thing works, but winter is pretty much over by mid March regardless.You serious Clark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:19 PM, IrishRob17 said: I thought that's what you wanted to hearThought thought he was gonna s*** but he farted instead.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:16 PM, F5TornadoF5 said: Models can't predict more than 6hrs right now let alone several weeks. Now there's something I can agree with... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:20 PM, snowman19 said: Thought thought he was gonna s*** but he farted instead.... Que? Someone is special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:20 PM, IrishRob17 said: You serious Clark? Spring training is in full force by then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:22 PM, pazzo83 said: Spring training is in full force by then! St Pattys Day is right around the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:24 PM, IrishRob17 said: St Pattys Day is right around the cornerSo is warmer weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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