MJO812 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RPM shows 4+ for NYC lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RPM shows 4+ for NYC lolPost it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Its right around 060 on the GFS, thats the cutoff usually, anything from that and east changes over but I've seen the GFS show an 060 wind many times that verifies at 030 I've lived here 26 years at least 15 times, snow change to train setups have failed to materialize or rain no snow,etc...not saying your wrong but just saying so far this year, I've been respectfully co lder then forecast.. last Monday saw 3/4 inch of ice alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RPM shows 4+ for NYC lol After 2/8/13 I'll never trust that again, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Upton snow mapsweere. Updated but they look the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 After 2/8/13 I'll never trust that again, lol It showed over 40 inches for the area lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It showed over 40 inches for the area lol And then NBC 4 decided to show it on the air, haha. It would be even funnier if all of us weren't still on a hair trigger post-Sandy 4 months before. Seeing the gas lines reassemble for what turned out to be fairly pedestrian west of the Sagtikos wasn't cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I don't even wanna know what the GGEM says for tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I don't even wanna know what the GGEM says for tonight Not useful anymore, the RGEM should be used at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 And then NBC 4 decided to show it on the air, haha. It would be even funnier if all of us weren't still on a hair trigger post-Sandy 4 months before. Seeing the gas lines reassemble for what turned out to be fairly pedestrian west of the Sagtikos wasn't cool. What'd NYC-area get in that storm anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 What'd NYC-area get in that storm anyway? Around 10-12 inches or so but it all fell from 8pm-1am or so and developed out of nowhere as the system got captured, it appeared an hour or two prior that it was going to be an epic bust for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 What'd NYC-area get in that storm anyway? Central Park had 11.4", I had about 12". 30 miles east of me was where the huge totals started ramping up, especially towards the North Shore. I drove out there the day after and the scenes out by Huntington (Nassau/Suffolk border on the north shore) and east were incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Some icing occuring in NNJ atm. Looking at the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Snowgoose69. What do you think will be the ultimate outcome in western Long Island you think Upton goes with a winter weather advisory or a winter storm warning for ice!! Obviously were not getting 6" of snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Snowgoose69. What do you think will be the ultimate outcome in western Long Island you think Upton goes with a winter weather advisory or a winter storm warning for ice!! Obviously were not getting 6" of snow.... I think it's mostly sleet with a few hours of freezing rain but not enough to be damaging. Given the low confidence on sleet vs freezing rain I don't Upton will go ice storm warning. Very tricky call for them on winter weather advisory vs warning, don't be surprised if they go with a watch and decide at 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 UKMET is further south and colder than its 12z run. FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Blizz,details? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Central Park had 11.4", I had about 12". 30 miles east of me was where the huge totals started ramping up, especially towards the North Shore. I drove out there the day after and the scenes out by Huntington (Nassau/Suffolk border on the north shore) and east were incredible. 2 year anniversary today...time marches on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Blizz,details? really need to stress that the GFS had a huge upgrade the past year. if it fails under 48rs, its on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 2 year anniversary today...time marches on. Yup, what a storm. Once it finally got going for me in Nassau County, it was amazing. But still irresponsible for the local media to show 24"+ totals from the outlier models for NYC. 2 days before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 There is soo much blocking with this system that everything will have the appearance of going in slow motion...with the boundary between snow and ice so very close to the CWA...it is an absolute forecast nightmare for Upton...and the whole thing may still be lingering on Tuesday...very complex situation developing...as I am watching the factors gather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 What does the Euro show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Barely 0.25" areawide on the Euro. Ice to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Barely 0.25" areawide on the Euro. Ice to snow.Thanks.For total qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Thanks. For total qpf? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 6z gfs wetter with the 0.50-0.75" line running from cnj up thru the city increasing north of there...nam considerably drier though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 http://preview.weather.gov/graphical/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Rap shows everyone from Northern orange South at plain rain at 2100 tonight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I have the feeling this storm is gonna disappoint anyone not 100+ north of NYC, and Even that may be generous, GFS is the only robust model yet that's a warning flag for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I have the feeling this storm is gonna disappoint anyone not 100+ north of NYC, and Even that may be generous, GFS is the only robust model yet that's a warning flag for meI dont know who would want an ice storm anyway. so if people where excited for ice they better get checked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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