IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 The precip is just really light uniless you're North of the snow/ice line and into the LHV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Icey right along I-95 from Philly to NYC but very light precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Jma still has the low really far south. More precip than the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Euro is usually last when it acts stubborn, we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Low goes off the Carolina coast. Light precip lingers into Tuesday morning. Just a big mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'm not going to believe anything until 12z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 SV has 2-4" over CNJ, NYC and LI. 4-6" NW of there and much higher once you get 75 miles North of the city. I'm not really seeing how that would be snow. Looks like mostly sleet and freezing rain to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Precip? About 0.25"+ LE most areas, more well NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 SV has 2-4" over CNJ, NYC and LI. 4-6" NW of there and much higher once you get 75 miles North of the city. I'm not really seeing how that would be snow. Looks like mostly sleet and freezing rain to me.2-4" of sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 The coastal ends up SW of Bermuda. It's certainly possible that it will take over and rob the initial system of moisture. Theoretically we could end up high and dry with just some occasional freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 2-4" of sleet? No, it's spitting out snow where I think it should be sleet or freezing rain. The 850mb freezing line hangs North of the city for most of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 No, it's spitting out snow where I think it should be sleet or freezing rain. The 850mb freezing line hangs North of the city for most of the run. Just the point you think - you are not a model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Doesn't the low going off the Carolina coast, argue for a colder solution? Confused a bit haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Just the point you think - you are not a model I'm using my knowledge to correct what I believe to be an error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Doesn't the low going off the Carolina coast, argue for a colder solution? Confused a bit haha The initial system cuts through PA which torches the mid-levels. And then the transfer occurs but it's now so far Southeast that we barely get any precip once the coastal takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Weenie map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 For everyone rooting for the system to track south, once the coastal takes over, it will drag all of the moisutre with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The initial system cuts through PA which torches the mid-levels. And then the transfer occurs but it's now so far Southeast that we barely get any precip once the coastal takes over. Ah alright. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Looks like 850mb temps however right at 0C to +1C which is probably why those maps are saying snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 I don't understand the 0.50"+ over LI sound. Why wouldn't that be carried further West? Unless they are thinking mostly sleet/rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Map looks good well north and west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Looking like an icy mess for the area monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 This makes very little sense to me at the moment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Look at what the JMA does with the trailing energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I don't understand the 0.50"+ over LI sound. Why wouldn't that be carried further West? Unless they are thinking mostly sleet/rain. That's liquid equivalent dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 How does Boston get crushed if this Low is tracking further south..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 The NAVGEM looks similar to the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 How does Boston get crushed if this Low is tracking further south..... Mostly from the initial overrunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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