famartin Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 What kind of qpf is that showing? Looked like GFS for Abe was like .30" freezing rain, with front end and back end rain showers Sent from my iPhone Euro is about 0.30" total at ABE. That far north there's a little actual snow, maybe 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 ECM also is lacking for qpf must be around .30" for Allentown Nuisance system now Unless it's ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro is about 0.30" total at ABE. That far north there's a little actual snow, maybe 1-3 inches. Now is that Sunday night or Monday night? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Unless it's ice. Yeah .30 ice really isn't nuisance Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Now is that Sunday night or Monday night? Sent from my iPhone Monday afternoon/evening. Before then its sleet/freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Monday afternoon/evening. Before then its sleet/freezing rain. Ok thanks ray Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro so far south surface low passes DC, 2-4" northern burbs and 1-2" Philly + ice city north. Reminds me of the fisherman state farm commercial now "ooh you almost have it" LOL exactly and the models will dangle that $1.00 bill until 0z tonight and say.... ahhhh Got Ya!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 LOL exactly and the models will dangle that $1.00 bill until 0z tonight and say.... ahhhh Got Ya!! Just hope that they don't include .25" of ice or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Just hope that they don't include .25" of ice or more. yes this would be bad.... but with temps forecast to be in the upper 40's and they could be even higher than this not sure how serious the ice threat is in and around the I-95 corridor maybe north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 12Z GFS has me at or below 32 while precip.. falls for hours. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 18Z GFS virtually erases any worries about freezing rain. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015020618&fh=72&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 18Z GFS virtually erases any worries about freezing rain. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015020618&fh=72&xpos=0&ypos=0 Looks like a straight forward rain snow line and this makes better sense with all the warmth coming in over Sat and Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Latest Wxsim for NW Chester County PA with 18z data has some light sleet/rain mix arriving by 1am Monday becoming all rain by 6am (.02" falling as mix) then all rain with 0.22" before ending as some snow flurries by 10pm Monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 0z NAM is drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 through monday/tuesday am? 0z NAM is drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 0z GFS resembles 12z euro, less snow 1-2" and same ice for northern burbs. Low tracks over DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 0z GFS resembles 12z euro, less snow 1-2" and same ice for northern burbs. Low tracks over DCThanks again for your summaries…Tough to get play-by-play model information for this area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Thanks again for your summaries… Tough to get play-by-play model information for this area! We need more action, we went from 1.5" qpf mostly frozen three days ago to .25" at borderline temps. Amusing how the low is ending up exiting the Delmarva where we wanted it but the detour to Erie kills us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Great reading the New England threads.. I suppose we can live vicariously (for now)... Daughter in college up in NH is lovin' it.. I just might have to enroll!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 anyone have early access to the euro? tried to get info in the new york thread but they're useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 anyone have early access to the euro? tried to get info in the new york thread but they're useless. I don't but this seems to be a recurring issue lately...can't get good ECM PBP anywhere it seems. MA? Nope, given up on basically everything Here? Nope, written off NYC? Nope, no one around C PA? Nope, no one seems to have it You'd have to go New England forum where you'd probably rage up in jealousy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Euro has maybe an inch of snow around TTN, its a little bit colder than previous run, but otherwise still weak with limited moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Hmmmm.......just got up and my notifications all say winter storm watch for the Poconos. Sounds like something changed a bit.....would have to be some combo of GFS nam because the euro has been late to the dance with the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Yup that snow map looks about right, on the plus side maybe this time the amounts will go up its a change rather that having the amounts high and dropping with every update cause they cant go much lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Wxsim with 6z NAM/GFS data for NW Chester County Pa trending a bit colder and wetter than yesterday - it now has 0.42" of precip with 0.26" falling as ZR. Precip that falls between 1 and 7am Monday morning with temps just below freezing then temps rise a little above with just rain the rest of the day before ending as some flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 12z NAM low crosses Virginia and exits hatteras, yet same results for us. Lol only this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 12z NAM low crosses Virginia and exits hatteras, yet same results for us. Lol only this winter As a met just stated in the NYC forum that aspect of the storm is still 60+ hours out. If previous storms are any indication this S trend is not done and some correcting in the precip field could happen as well. It just looks so funky that the SLP exits the coast where it does and doesn't have much effect at the surface. But like you said it probably will verify this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Yo yo continues must have been a change in sampling on the west coast. 12z GFS colder and doubles it's qpf this run has a decent snow/ice event for some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Yo yo continues must have been a change in sampling on the west coast. 12z GFS colder and doubles it's qpf this run has a decent snow/ice event for some of us.hopefully its model catch up time with colder and qpf trends...Nice to see this reverse in the "good way" this time around! Euro should be interesting/telling?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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