SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I don't know why people want to anoint the Euro as King again the only thing that went wrong yesterday were the surface temps. The Gfs has been doing very well lately and it's going to get the end of the week snows right too barring major changes in the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I don't know why people want to anoint the Euro as King again the only thing that went wrong yesterday were the surface temps. The Gfs has been doing very well lately and it's going to get the end of the week snows right too barring major changes in the next few runs. Well honestly statistically speaking the EURO is the superior model. Agreed the GFS is better after the upgrades. Regarding the end of the week snow its really not that hard to get a dusting to 2 or maybe 3 inches correct. Just saying! We will see how to does with the Sunday into Monday threat, but that is not for this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GFS is more amplified than previous runs.Just light snow showers on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 This one does look like too little too late but of course eastern NE has a decent shot at a moderate event especially if it trends a bit more amplified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Through 24hrs on the Euro the ridge out West is a tad stronger and the southern stream vort is a bit slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Through 39hrs the southern stream is slower and the northern stream is faster, and in better sync as a result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Heights are lower, going to be offshore, snow squall from the arctic front, could drop an inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 For those that were tired of New England cleaning up, this will miss them as well, just some activity from the Arctic front, the Cape just gets clipped by the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Light snow on the Euro for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 So, an inch or 2 or if we are lucky. the earlier promising 2 runs have become a mirage. Ok, onwards to the weekend we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The 18z NAM has 0.10"+ NW of the city. Less for the immediate coast. Nothing East of JFK. Should be good enough for 1-3" over the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 1" would be nice, as a replacement rate snowfall for the pack... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Nice little interior JP. Great to see. LHV is 0.25"+ with high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Temps in the teens with the snow, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Temps in the teens with the snow, eh? 20's while the snow is falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 nam just misses the coastal. Hopefully the ocean storm doesn't rob the front of any moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Upton WED NIGHT-THU... AS AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THEAREA EARLY THU...A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS FCST TO DEVELOP OFF THESE COAST AND MOVE NORTHEAST. 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE NW OFNYC WED NIGHT-EARLY THU WITH THIS FRONT. 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW ISPOSSIBLE EAST OF NYC WHERE MOISTURE FROM BOTH SYSTEMS CONVERGEDURING THE DAY THU. IN BETWEEN...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AROUND1 INCH IS POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
middlesea Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Some media hype for the Weds-Thurs system. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/snow-storm-boston-new-england/41680393 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongIslandWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This is going to be 1-3" with the passage of the arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This is going to be 1-3" with the passage of the arctic front. Yup...new nam a little more bullish with widespread 0.1"+... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 An interesting note as the models move the southern storm further south and east, the QPF forecast increases slightly for our region. If this trend continue NYC may see up to two inches instead of less than one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 An interesting note as the models move the southern storm further south and east, the QPF forecast increases slightly for our region. If this trend continue NYC may see up to two inches instead of less than one.why would that increase the QPF. Wouldn't we normally need the southern system to be more north and west to give us more QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 A stronger southern system steals the energy of the northern system. Since the southern system is not going in any way phase up in time any consideration of this is out. So it will leaves more energy with the northern system until the phase up happen later on. Just look at the QPF forecast before the northern system weakens there is a good .25"-.50" of QPF. Once the southern system starts robbing the northern systems energy the QPF quickly decreases. Delay and push the weaker southern east and more QPF would work into our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 A stronger southern system steals the energy of the northern system. Since the southern system is not going in any way phase up in time any consideration of this is out. So it will leaves more energy with the northern system until the phase up happen later on. Just look at the QPF forecast before the northern system weakens there is a good .25"-.50" of QPF. Once the southern system starts robbing the northern systems energy the QPF quickly decreases. Delay and push the weaker southern east and more QPF would work into our region. excellent. Much clearer. Many Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 why would that increase the QPF. Wouldn't we normally need the southern system to be more north and west to give us more QPF? The southern storm being closer may sap energy from the incoming post-frontal snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 18z NAM is a CT, NYC and LI special again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 18z NAM is a CT, NYC and LI special again. Also, SE Hudson Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Also, SE Hudson Valley.hopefully we can squeeze 2-3 inches out of this. It looks good on nam 18z and also the ground is cold and it shouldn't have a problem accumulating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.