Mitchel Volk Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 It is looking that a possible light to moderate snow event may occur. The ECMWF and the out of range NAM are hinting of it. A digging trough with a new supply of arctic air may supply the energy and support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Doesn't look like 0z NAM is going to get it done. Southern vort out running the trough not allowing amplification thus the heights along to coast are not as pronounced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Hmmm hope it turns out to something in next day or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 It is looking that a possible light to moderate snow event may occur. The ECMWF and the out of range NAM are hinting of it. A digging trough with a new supply of arctic air may supply the energy and support. It is looking that a possible light to moderate snow event may occur. The ECMWF and the out of range NAM are hinting of it. A digging trough with a new supply of arctic air may supply the energy and support.what's the good word on tonight's run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Nam is mostly a miss. Light event, maybe 1-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Arctic snow on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Nam is mostly a miss. Light event, maybe 1-3.Nam ..out..of range..let's see gfs and euro .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The RGEM appears to me to be headed for a Euro like solution through 48, that could mean the GGEM will come west. The NAM is impossible to predict so there is no way to know if that solution at all portrays what the GFS may do, the NAM is inside its amped range for this event now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The RGEM appears to me to be headed for a Euro like solution through 48, that could mean the GGEM will come west. The NAM is impossible to predict so there is no way to know if that solution at all portrays what the GFS may do, the NAM is inside its amped range for this event now. The NAM and GFS seem to be polar opposites lately, one moves East, the other West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Nam ..out..of range..let's see gfs and euro ..He asked what it showed. I didn't say that's what would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GFS has light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I thought the 12z ggem had us as a 4-6 event too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GFS has light snow And looks nothing like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GGEM is SE of the benchmark. Looks like a good hit for SNE. Much more amplified than the 12z run. http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/492_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Looks like a good hit for SNE. I, for one, am shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Euro still has Thursdays storm. Develops slightly late for our area but it's right just east of the benchmark. SNE does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Euro looks just like the Nam and GFS. 1-3, maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Euro looks just like the Nam and GFS. 1-3, maybe. Yep, 1-3/2-4. It's going to come down to the timing of the cold front and how fast it can phase with the precip down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Yep, 1-3/2-4. It's going to come down to the timing of the cold front and how fast it can phase with the precip down south. 6z nam looks a bit closer to a phase but no cigar. still bears watching for a light to moderate even for coastal areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Sref more amplified but still a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Sref more amplified but still a miss Like I said yesterday this is a very progressivd flow, I doubt this has time to phase quick enough for us, SNE much more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The NAM was more progressive this run with the Northern stream which brings the arctic front through quicker and kills any chance of the surface low coming up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Nam just has snow squalls from a cold front. 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Nam just has snow squalls from a cold front. Dusting -2 inches. Still something... our attention should be for the last weekend storm threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The NAM was more progressive this run with the Northern stream which brings the arctic front through quicker and kills any chance of the surface low coming up the coast. yea,,,,its looking like game over for a moderate event. its getting too close now for any likely major changes. at least there could be some descent snow squalls with the arctic front espescially north of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Progressive has to be the most overused word this season. The entire winter has been "progressive" as the NAO/AO have been mostly positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Progressive has to be the most overused word this season. The entire winter has been "progressive" as the NAO/AO have been mostly positive. This. If progressive means that I already have 30" of snow, then I hope it's progressive every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 This threat looks like a general 1"-2" for NJ and NYC. Then a bit more on LI, CT and SNE. Perhaps 2"-4" in those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 This threat looks like a general 1"-2" for NJ and NYC. Then a bit more on LI, CT and SNE. Perhaps 2"-4" in those areas. Reason for more on the immediate coast is because of the OTS coastal storm. The arctic fronts interacts with it as it departs to our North and East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 C-1" in most of the area...really nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.