40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 You just get the feeling that southern moisture is going to link up with the northern branch in the "nick of time" to blossom the snow. You can envision it happening I think from my area points ne will get 3-6"/4-8"...high end advisory, low-end warning type deal. Leaning towards advisory right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2015 Author Share Posted February 3, 2015 0.50" would yield at least advisory to low end warning snow up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 1.5 mm qpf..we take. Do you mean 1.5cm? The 1.5mm is more likely to be the case out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I think from my area points ne will get 3-6"/4-8"...high end advisory, low-end warning type deal. Leaning towards advisory right now. I think 3-6 probably I-91 east and 2-4 west of 91 and 4-8+ from ORH north and east makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1422944481.586759.jpg Man, that is some 40"+ in New Brunswick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Do you mean 1.5cm? The 1.5mm is more likely to be the case out here. No. mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I'm interested in the 12z GFS today the most today as it's the most progressive eastern outlier. It's been trending back over the last 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 No. mm 1.5mm = 1/16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I think this has room to trend back west still. I wouldn't rule out a bigger storm especially in e coastal mass and especially maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 0z GGEM is a decent hit for many, Eastport Maine gets croaked again They've got to have the most snow otg then anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I loved the look of this system up to the point where models started pulling back on the strength of the system coming ashore in BC. Without that coming east towards the trough there's nothing to help tilt the whole thing in time. It doesn't look impressive on any of the models now, and it doesn't look very impressive on the w/v loop either. Hopefully the deep southern spin can help out, but this will take some work now to be much more than a scraper. Hoping todays full ingest of just about all the systems involved (but still not quite the Mexican s/w)...will provide the final solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 1.5mm = 1/16". No, 15mm was the accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I'm interested in the 12z GFS today the most today as it's the most progressive eastern outlier. It's been trending back over the last 2 runs. We are coming to a consensus on a 3-6/4-8" east, imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 No, 15mm was the accumulation Your original post said 1.5mm, not 15mm. Regardless, more fun for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Man, this is a Miller B-East season if I have ever seen one. Just a classic, text book weak el Nino year.....though a bit slow out of the gate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Your original post said 1.5mm, not 15mm. Ah...my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I loved the look of this system up to the point where models started pulling back on the strength of the system coming ashore in BC. Without that coming east towards the trough there's nothing to help tilt the whole thing in time. It doesn't look impressive on any of the models now, and it doesn't look very impressive on the w/v loop either. Hopefully the deep southern spin can help out, but this will take some work now to be much more than a scraper. Hoping todays full ingest of just about all the systems involved (but still not quite the Mexican s/w)...will provide the final solution. I'm certainly not looking at anything "impressive" as far a outcome. Right now I'd favor a glancing blow system on or just outside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Actually, that is closer to 20mm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Just frosting on the cake...although to have yet another snow day would kind of blow at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Actually, that is closer to 20mm here. Don't rub it in, Ray. This is certainly one for the ages for the central-eastern areas of SNE. An awesome one for Maine as well, though not as extreme departure-wise. Mud season, anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Just frosting on the cake...although to have yet another snow day would kind of blow at this point How many have you had so far? When is the last day now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 UK is 4", GEM is 8" here. I like that for a starting range. EURO is more like 10"...tad too amped, imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 How many have you had so far? When is the last day now?Today is my 4th, wife's 6thI would be done on 6/20 now. Just hard to build momentum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Don't rub it in, Ray. This is certainly one for the ages for the central-eastern areas of SNE. An awesome one for Maine as well, though not as extreme departure-wise. Mud season, anyone? Not a whole lot of moisture in the pack, though...that is one aspect in which this season trails 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 flood season How many have you had so far? When is the last day now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 UK is 4", GEM is 8" here. I like that for a starting range. EURO is more like 10"...tad too amped, imho. I would shave 25% off of each of those for my hood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I would shave 25% off of each of those for my hood Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Not a whole lot of moisture in the pack, though...that is one aspect in which this season trails 2011. Quite true. You could practically walk on top of the pack in 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Quite true. You could practically walk on top of the pack in 2011This is more akin to 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 NAM looks better with that/those features at least to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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