RyanDe680 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Its a clipper... GFS has 2-2.5 for Chi metro... NAM is further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Its a clipper... GFS has 2-2.5 for Chi metro... NAM is further northLooks like a quick hitter to cover up the dirty snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Probably eek out a couple inches on this one. Nothing too major but enough to make the roads fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 There's a follow up system right after this that looks to get areas farther south...how much is a bit of question with the GGEM seeming to be most bullish. I think I will bump Joe's short range thread since there's a bit of uncertainty and to avoid confusion with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 System is pretty moisture starved and a quick hit, but could lay a swath of a few inches. NAM looks good here, with GFS south. I just want enough to cover the ground at this point. It is dry and ugly brown here in the TC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I say a nice 2-4" with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'd say probably a bit further south than the NAM is the way go with this one. Just because of the cold air dome in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 System is pretty moisture starved and a quick hit, but could lay a swath of a few inches. NAM looks good here, with GFS south. I just want enough to cover the ground at this point. It is dry and ugly brown here in the TC. The 12z WRF's had a "decent" hit, but I think I'd rather be in Rochester for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 18z NAM came in with more juice than 12 z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 12Z 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 LOTs thoughts thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 SREFs are 1-3" IMBY ... I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Freshen up the snowpack a bit. Let's do it. ARW and NMM are both north of the NAM, which is a good sign that the NAM is probably a little too far south. The ECMWF is a little on the northerly side as well. But I think it's a solid 1-3" no matter how you slice it. Maybe 2-4 per 18z NAM. Let's not forget we'll have to make another thread once all the models come into agreement with today's 12z Euro for Wednesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Lake Enhancements are in the talks here. This could be a nice W/SW flow lake enhanced event for my area. GRR is saying 3 to 7 inches with possibly more if convergence sets up for the lakeshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Just got 16-17" yesterday, why not add another couple? Kind of burned out from model madness, but I welcome anything to add onto the historic snowpack for a second year in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 LOTs thoughts thus far Also saw this graphic. Which ever it is, it won't be a big deal! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 7 days ago this thread would have been rockin. Funny, how fast perspective changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Looking like a good 2" event (forecast 1-3"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 1.5 final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Looking like a good 3" event (forecast 2-4") fYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 FWIW the cautious izzi hinted at 4-5" over performer potential in Geos land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 12Z RGEM brought the better swath south a bit...but not much of the other short range guidance agrees this morning...I only bring it up because RGEM seemed to be doing pretty well with the NW flow...but it seems to be alone this morning thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The RGEM is right, radar returns in Minnesota and Iowa look south of guidance, especially the 12z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The RGEM is right, radar returns in Minnesota and Iowa look south of guidance, especially the 12z NAM. NAM looks more or less on point to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Some places are ripping in W MN. MVE down to a 1/4 mile with +SN, many other locations at 1/2 mile. The RST to MSN to ENW corridor looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Really not sure why but MPX just bumped up the grids to 1-3" here. Not much forcing, little moisture to work with. Trend is a little south just looking at the radar. I say 0.3" imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Liking a solid 2-3" with some isolated 4" totals with this one. With another 1-3 coming tomorrow afternoon/night south of M59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 20" depth here we come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 5.5" report in Montevideo... band is probably putting down 2" an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 some nice 30 dbz training there, heading for wisconsinwx's backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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