RU848789 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Upton woke up, now Mt. Holly nees to, as they still have my high being 40F on the point/click. We're at 30F with a mix of freezing rain and snow now and a glaze on everything... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY1008 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE PASSES SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TODAY AND INTENSIFIES ASIT TRACKS TOWARDS NOVA SCOTIA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THEREGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW. AN ARCTIC FRONT APPROACHES FROMTHE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSSES THE TRI-STATE WEDNESDAYNIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS INTHROUGH FRIDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST. THEHIGHS SLIDES TO THE SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONTAPPROACHES FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY...THEN PUSHES TO THE SOUTHSATURDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY.&&.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/......SIGNIFICANT ICING THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE NJ METRO AREAEAST ACROSS NYC AND LONG ISLAND...AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE DELMARVA...THE COASTALFRONT CONTINUES MOVING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND MOVES ACROSS THISBOUNDARY TOWARD THE GREATEST PRES FALLS...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD.THIS ALLOWS COLDER AIR TO DRAIN SOUTH...THAT WILL CAUSE A ROUND OFSIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN...1/4 TO 1/3 OF AN INCH MAINLY ACROSSTHE ADVISORY AREA.MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO REFLECT MUCH COLDER TEMPS ALONG THECOAST...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S ALONG WITH INCREASING ICING. ROADCREWS SHOULD PREPARE FOR SIGNIFICANT ICING THROUGH THIS EVENING.OTHERWISE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING...MAINLY FOR SNOW MIXED WITHFREEZING RAIN AND SLEET EARLY...LOOKS ON TARGET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'll say this, I've lived in NYC for 30 years, and this is the first real ice storm setup that I can remember. Hopefully it flips to sleet. G'luck everybody - underground power is a real advantage for us in the City. That didn't help us with Sandy Toasty 850s . We are plus 3 The BL on its way to 25 . I THINK THIS IS A $%^& SHOW INCOMING The models a few days ago had the surface line below NYC throughout the whole storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 changing back to snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 They have Winter Storm Warnings still up for the interior where the snow portion has already exceeded the criteria. If things don't cool enough over the next few hours you might see certain counties flip that are currently under an advisory. I think Union and Eastern Essex should go under a WSW imo just looking at the radar and temperature trends. They're under a WWA for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I-95 starting to report accidents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I think Union and Eastern Essex should go under a WSW imo just looking at the radar and temperature trends. They're under a WWA for now How are they only under a WWA while Middlesex is under a WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Upton woke up, now Mt. Holly nees to, as they still have my high being 40F on the point/click. We're at 30F with a mix of freezing rain and snow now and a glaze on everything... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1008 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE PASSES SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TODAY AND INTENSIFIES AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS NOVA SCOTIA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW. AN ARCTIC FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSSES THE TRI-STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH FRIDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE HIGHS SLIDES TO THE SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY...THEN PUSHES TO THE SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... ...SIGNIFICANT ICING THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE NJ METRO AREA EAST ACROSS NYC AND LONG ISLAND... AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE DELMARVA...THE COASTAL FRONT CONTINUES MOVING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND MOVES ACROSS THIS BOUNDARY TOWARD THE GREATEST PRES FALLS...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD. THIS ALLOWS COLDER AIR TO DRAIN SOUTH...THAT WILL CAUSE A ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN...1/4 TO 1/3 OF AN INCH MAINLY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO REFLECT MUCH COLDER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S ALONG WITH INCREASING ICING. ROAD CREWS SHOULD PREPARE FOR SIGNIFICANT ICING THROUGH THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING...MAINLY FOR SNOW MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET EARLY...LOOKS ON TARGET. . 25"-.33" of ice is going to give the area tremendous issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 How are they only under a WWA while Middlesex is under a WSW? They're covered by Upton, Middlesex by Mt. Holly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 The ZR really picked up in the last 5 min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'll say this, I've lived in NYC for 30 years, and this is the first real ice storm setup that I can remember. Hopefully it flips to sleet. G'luck everybody - underground power is a real advantage for us in the City. 1994 had several crippling ice storms. This is nothing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 dropping quick. now down to 32.4 winds now NNE ...i'm @ 34.5..temps here actually ticking upward..plain rain has ended for now..flooding is a concern here in eastport..montauk hwy locally has major flooding in spots..it will be interesting once temps start to drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 central nj got an inch of ice in 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 1994 had several crippling ice storms. This is nothing yet. There was a very bad one in January 1999 in NYC and north Queens and Nassau, it was very localized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 There was a very bad one in January 1999 in NYC and north Queens and Nassau, it was very localized.Didn't parts of Northern Suffolk get that as well? I remember when I was 9 or 10 a nasty ice storm in Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Just started and my whole door is iced up. Stay safe. Looks around 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 changing back to snow here I'm kind of hoping that I hang onto ZR longer here, from a weather enthusiast standpoint it's far more interesting than another inch or two of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 ...i'm @ 34.5..temps here actually ticking upward..plain rain has ended for now..flooding is a concern here in eastport..montauk hwy locally has major flooding in spots..it will be interesting once temps start to drop. I'm in Southampton right now temp here is 34* , 31.2 in Sag Harbor (my house). Spoke to a few people there and its getting really slippery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Transitioning back to snow. 20 / 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Flipped to 100% snow now, looks like we escaped the freezing rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Most of the area is below freezing. Kind of shocked you're above. Rjay- sorry for kind of off topic but I am following your observations to make a decision if I should leave the city early and head back to island. I'm at the north end of seaford fairly close to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'm kind of hoping that I hang onto ZR longer here, from a weather enthusiast standpoint it's far more interesting than another inch or two of snow. For me, snow + daytime is good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 That heavy band has arrived here, it's 50% sleet, 40% freezing rain and 10% snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 850mb temps are starting to fall, the city has gone from +3.5C to +3.0C. Still have a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 850mb temps are starting to fall, the city has gone from +3.5C to +3.0C. Still have a long way to go. Thats really helpful info, thx. are you doing PbP GFS for the Tursady storm in the Feb. thread ISO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 1994 had several crippling ice storms. This is nothing yet. FWIW, not in Manhattan proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Thats really helpful info, thx. are you doing PbP GFS for the Tursady storm in the Feb. thread ISO? Not really, but I just made a comment about last night's Euro. FWIW the GFS doesn't get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This is exceedingly common with models. The models always have trouble seeing the low level cold air and it creates such tricky forecasts with this type of set up. Yep. The problem is models only have so many vertical levels. Even with higher vertical resolution near the surface, global models often can't "see" the very shallow 2 meter surface temperatures adequately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 FWIW, not in Manhattan proper. Manhattan is in the upper 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 FWIW, not in Manhattan proper. Sort of off topic but most of the general public doesn't know the difference between sleet, hail or freezing rain. Most assume it's all the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 29 in EWR, 46 at Atlantic City. Climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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