PB GFI Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This is one of those situations where I'm upset that I was correct. Major ice storm on the north shore of LI right now. Yeh once you get N of Jericho TPK the BL does not like to erode . The hills save you and then when the CAD sags it does there first . This will work out well ( bad ) up there . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 10 am observations winds are from NE from Central NJ north temps dropping as storm is probably trying to redevelop off NJ coast expect a change back to snow and ice sooner then later IMO http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.asus41.OKX.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Going off the latest WWA it looks like this event will most likely get a 2 on the ice damage index. If someone exceeds 0.50" then it becomes a lot worse. Right now it looks like we should stay just below that threashold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 What a mess already. The sidewalks are completely icy and slushy and the temperatures keep slowly dropping as I'm at 31F now. The models really overdid the low level warming and that'll be costly especially just further north where temps are in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Yeh once you get N of Jericho TPK the BL does not like to erode . The hills save you and then when the CAD sags it does there first . This will work out well ( bad ) up there . yea its starting to get really nasty up here...im hoping we can at least flip to snow soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 My god temps keep dropping. 30 in EWR, 29 at my house. It's going to get nasty. Good call from the school board to cancel school today. I bet a lot of kids think this is rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This is one of those situations where I'm upset that I was correct. Major ice storm on the north shore of LI right now. Yup, you and Snow88 were both singing the same tune and I was right there with ya singing in the background as well. Experience one out in this one... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Bit of a dry slot here for the moment as the next wave advances NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Wasn't the park measurement from 5:00am? I doubt it will remain that low once the next report comes out. They need a new arrangement for snowfall measurements there. SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 852 AM EST MON FEB 02 2015 ...NEW YORK COUNTY... NEW YORK 4.7 545 AM 2/02 TRAINED SPOTTER CENTRAL PARK 2.5 546 AM 2/02 CENTRAL PARK ZOO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 The mid-levels still remain warm as the 850mb low still remains to our northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Bit of a dry slot here for the moment as the next wave advances NE. Let's not butcher what a dry slot is, OK? This is not a dry slot. This is a gap between areas of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 26 degrees here now. light freezing rain. Hope the moisture coming in from central Jersey falls as sleet or snow not rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 35dbz incoming:http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/nj/long-hill/dix/?lat=40.679100&lon=-74.498100&label=Long%20Hill%2c%20NJTemps dropped 1 degree since they started and now its sleeting again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 What a mess already. The sidewalks are completely icy and slushy and the temperatures keep slowly dropping as I'm at 31F now. The models really overdid the low level warming and that'll be costly especially just further north where temps are in the 20s. Northern Queens is down to 27 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Although geographically not part of the area covered in this forum… thought my ob might be of interest to those on E LI - since I'm only a few miles to the NE... After being close at 26.6 at 8:50… my temp quickly fell back to 24.7 at 9:10 where it stayed - however in the last 15 minutes, I've had a very quick up tick in temps… jumping .1 to .2 every 3 minutes. Winds have switched from NE to ENE. Not sure how this will translate further to the west - if at all… 27.6 now… edit 27.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 They need a new arrangement for snowfall measurements there. ...NEW YORK COUNTY... NEW YORK 4.7 545 AM 2/02 TRAINED SPOTTER CENTRAL PARK 2.5 546 AM 2/02 CENTRAL PARK ZOO At least KLGA is accurately measuring this. 5.2"+ there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Let's not butcher what a dry slot is, OK? This is not a dry slot. This is a gap between areas of precipitation. I didn't realize that I needed to be technical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYStorm Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Eyeballing it there was about 6" in Tarrytown. Also just did my driveway because I suspect later it's gonna be much more difficult. Was sleeting until around 8AM, seemed to be rain from then until around 10AM, and now nothing (although the temp at White Plains is 24). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Oh god, its getting really heavy. Heading nowards NYC. Any advice during an ice storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 My god temps keep dropping. 30 in EWR, 29 at my house. It's going to get nasty. Good call from the school board to cancel school today. I bet a lot of kids think this is rain. many schools had delayed openings today here in central NJ - could be a mistake - as temps are already below freezing and plenty of standing water and slush in the roadway - rain should begin mixing with sleet and change to all snow this afternoon as temps keep dropping throught he 20's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This area of heavy precip that's building over NJ was well handeled by the modeling, low level temps just busted so horribly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Yup, you and Snow88 were both singing the same tune and I was right there with ya singing in the background as well. Experience one out in this one... Sent from my iPhone Unfortunately it did. I say unfortunately because ice is horrific and I hate being correct with stuff like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Going off the latest WWA it looks like this event will most likely get a 2 on the ice damage index. If someone exceeds 0.50" then it becomes a lot worse. Right now it looks like we should stay just below that threashold. I don't know, there's some heavy precip incoming and precip extends all the way down to NC. Of course, not all precip will accrete as ice but even immediate n & w suburbs will easily reach ice storm warning criteria imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Oh god, its getting really heavy. Heading nowards NYC. Any advice during an ice storm? Loaves of bread and gallons of milk. Steady light snow here, approaching 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This area of heavy precip that's building over NJ was well handeled by the modeling, low level temps just busted so horribly.This is exceedingly common with models. The models always have trouble seeing the low level cold air and it creates such tricky forecasts with this type of set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Oh god, its getting really heavy. Heading nowards NYC. Any advice during an ice storm? Stay inside and you'll be fine We will likely remain below the threashold for serious issues, but it's always a good idea to have the flashlights ready just in case. I'm not entirely sure how the ice ontop of the snow is going to impact things. My first guess is that it will add to even more weight on the tree limbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'll say this, I've lived in NYC for 30 years, and this is the first real ice storm setup that I can remember. Hopefully it flips to sleet. G'luck everybody - underground power is a real advantage for us in the City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 yea its starting to get really nasty up here...im hoping we can at least flip to snow soon Toasty 850s . We are plus 3 The BL on its way to 25 . I THINK THIS IS A $%^& SHOW INCOMING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 The mid-levels still remain warm as the 850mb low still remains to our northwest. 50/50 mix of sleet and snow now, matches up pretty nice with that 0 deg line at 850. Expecting to fully transition back to snow in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I don't know, there's some heavy precip incoming and precip extends all the way down to NC. Of course, not all precip will accrete as ice but even immediate n & w suburbs will easily reach ice storm warning criteria imo. They have Winter Storm Warnings still up for the interior where the snow portion has already exceeded the criteria. If things don't cool enough over the next few hours you might see certain counties flip that are currently under an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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