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SuperBowl Storm Observations


sferic

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I mentioned about this yesterday but got pounced on by some posters for wishcasting. I said a few inches for NYC before turning to sleet and freezing rain. No plain rain.

And I admit that I was wrong. The modeling yesterday had the city in the mid-30's right now. Clearly that was way too warm.

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Looks like almost 4 inches of snow fell here with some sleet falling after 5am. I'm not sure if it ever turned into plain rain here.

 

29 degrees and freezing rain now. 

 

I don't recall ever having plain rain flip over to freezing rain if that's what happened. 

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And I admit that I was wrong. The modeling yesterday had the city in the mid-30's right now. Clearly that was way too warm.

The models kept showing the surface line right near the city despite the 850s being warm. A little wobble with this storm will do the trick and that's what is happening. The low level cold air is being stubborn to leave.

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If you were thinking about waiting until later to clear your driveway or sidewalk, don't wait. This sleet and freezing rain will add a lot of weight and make it very difficult on your snowblower if you own one. I had to go into work today so I'll have to deal with it tonight once everything freezes up solid.

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I mentioned about this yesterday but got pounced on by some posters for wishcasting. I said a few inches for NYC before turning to sleet and freezing rain. No plain rain.

. Right there with ya buddy. I got called a liar a weenie and a wishcaster for not model hugging. I had my posts deleted. It's all good. The CAD and 50/50 won out. Models blew.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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If you were thinking about waiting until later to clear your driveway or sidewalk, don't wait. This sleet and freezing rain will add a lot of weight and make it very difficult on your snowblower if you own one. I had to go into work today so I'll have to deal with it tonight once everything freezes up solid.

 

Yeah. I used my snowblower right before the ice began.

Smart decision it looks like.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
959 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION CONTINUES INTO THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND MUCH NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

NJZ013-014-022300-
/O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK
959 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1 INCH...ALONG WITH
AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW... SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 1 INCH.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND A TRACE.

* TIMING...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE SNOW SQUALLS AFFECT THE AREA LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.

 

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
952 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER STORM IMPACTS THE AREA TODAY...
...SIGNIFICANT ICING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

NJZ006-106>108-NYZ072-074-075-078>081-176>179-022300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
952 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

...SIGNIFICANT ICING DEVELOPING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...BROOKLYN...QUEENS...MANHATTAN...STATEN ISLAND...
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...AND NORTHERN LONG
ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...ALONG WITH ONE
QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AND SLEET
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF AS SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE MID 20S.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO ICY AND LEFTOVER SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BECOME
ICY FOR THE EVENING COMMUTE.

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