dan123 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Man the water vapour imagery for this storm is just a thing of beauty. Moisture feed right from the eastern pacific. Wouldn't surprise me that these higher snow totals verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Man the water vapour imagery for this storm is just a thing of beauty. Moisture feed right from the eastern pacific. Wouldn't surprise me that these higher snow totals verify. Snowshield from Kansas to Syracuse. Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 1cm down and counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 NAM looks to be about 0.7"; essentially the same as the 18Z, perhaps 0.03" more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Man the water vapour imagery for this storm is just a thing of beauty. Moisture feed right from the eastern pacific. Wouldn't surprise me that these higher snow totals verify. Moisture feed from the tropical Pacific (STJ confluence) and the Gulf. You can see it just by looking at the radar as the line of thunderstorms in the SE extends right down into the GOM. The strong polar jet stream along with the great dynamics of this system, will make way for some good ratios and fast accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 South Mississauga seems to be getting some really good LES. Kind of surprised about that. Getting some steady light snow currently. Just a dusting on the road/cars. I wasn't anticipating getting much lake enhancement so I will gladly take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Moisture feed from the tropical Pacific (STJ confluence) and the Gulf. You can see it just by looking at the radar as the line of thunderstorms in the SE extends right down into the GOM. The strong polar jet stream along with the great dynamics of this system, will make way for some good ratios and fast accumulations.It also looks very similar to the GHD storm four years ago ironically to the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Blowing Snow Advisory now for Northumberland, southern Hastings, Prince Edward, southern Lennox & Addington, and southern Frontenac Counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 18z HRRR has that downsloping effect outlined pretty clearly once you get West of the escarpment. YYZ getting hit hard with 1/2" of QPF down already by 4am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 It also looks very similar to the GHD storm four years ago ironically to the day. Chances of us being dryslotted this time: 0%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Looks like light accumulating snow has gotten into western Mississauga per MTO cams on the QEW. Hopefully in the city within the next 1-2 hrs. Looks unlikely now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Looks unlikely now. I was hoping the LES would aid in saturating the column more quickly, but the dry air is likely further up in the atmosphere. Kind of frustrating because there's already light accums. from KW over to Mississauga. So close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I was hoping the LES would aid in saturating the column more quickly, but the dry air is likely further up in the atmosphere. Kind of frustrating because there's already light accums. from KW over to Mississauga. So close. I was thinking the same too. Bah. I just want to see more than mood flakes... everyone else is enjoying this but us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 I was thinking the same too. Bah. I just want to see more than mood flakes... everyone else is enjoying this but us I think we should get underway by 5-6pm at the latest, which is right on target with what the models were indicating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I was hoping the LES would aid in saturating the column more quickly, but the dry air is likely further up in the atmosphere. Kind of frustrating because there's already light accums. from KW over to Mississauga. So close. I don't think saturation is the problem, the LE plume just didn't get far enough N as the LL flow is unfavourable for most of the GTA. RAP Simulated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 I don't think saturation is the problem, the LE plume just didn't get far enough N as the LL flow is unfavourable for most of the GTA. RAP Simulated Screen Shot 2015-02-01 at 3.42.03 PM.png Yeah, sounding looks moist enough. But that snow that's struggling to our south is not purely, or even predominantly LES (snowing in Guelph, KW, and west of there). So we should see a push to the north shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Yeah, sounding looks moist enough. But that snow that's struggling to our south is not purely, or even predominantly LES (snowing in Guelph, KW, and west of there). So we should see a push to the north shortly. Ya... you can see the true TROWAL beginning to crawl into London as we speak. Not expecting anything more than -SN until 7-8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Snowing quite decently here in Hamilton, roads are awful. It's too cold and the snow is too heavy for salting to be effective, so even main roads are now completely snow covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Been snowing about 2 hours but only about 1cm down so far. Flakes are pretty grainy. Wind picking up though. 18Z NAM gets almost a foot up to Guelph. North trend not stopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Still just overcast here. Hopefully, as Canuck said, we'll get going by 6 pm. Looks like TWN has me in the 20cm range now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Moncton recorded 153.0cm for January, lol. One storm dropped 45cm and they got 36cm yesterday. They also had a 23cm and 12cm snowstorm earlier in the month, wow! Here's the best part. There going to get 35-45cm with this system too, lol http://climate.weather.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?StationID=50309&Month=1&Day=31&Year=2015&timeframe=2 I can only imagine the snow weenies there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Speak of the devil...last few frames KC radar looks like it's filling in to our west. Should get going shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Another thing to consider... this snow is going to sting. Heavy powder with windchill values between -20 and -25c for the duration of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Moncton recorded 153.0cm for January, lol. One storm dropped 45cm and they got 36cm yesterday. They also had a 23cm and 12cm snowstorm earlier in the month, wow! Here's the best part. There going to get 35-45cm with this system too, lol http://climate.weather.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?StationID=50309&Month=1&Day=31&Year=2015&timeframe=2 I can only imagine the snow weenies there. Meh.. They're used to it. If that happened here we would all be in heaven lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Detroit brought their WSW north to Sanilac County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 BTW here is the text output for the 18z NAM at yyz if anyone is wondering. Shows 0.66 qpf. YYZ Date/hour FHr Wind SfcT Ptype SR |Snow||Sleet|| FZRA|| QPF CumSR|TotSN| TQPF============================================================150201/2000Z 2 06008KT 13.9F SNOW 16:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.004 16:1| 0.1| 0.00150201/2100Z 3 06009KT 13.7F SNOW 16:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008 16:1| 0.2| 0.01 150201/2200Z 4 07010KT 12.6F SNOW 16:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 16:1| 0.4| 0.03 150201/2300Z 5 07011KT 11.4F SNOW 16:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 16:1| 0.7| 0.04 150202/0000Z 6 07012KT 9.9F SNOW 18:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 16:1| 1.1| 0.07 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++150202/0100Z 7 07012KT 9.0F SNOW 18:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.021 17:1| 1.5| 0.09 150202/0200Z 8 06012KT 8.1F SNOW 14:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.030 16:1| 1.9| 0.12 150202/0300Z 9 06013KT 7.1F SNOW 18:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.032 17:1| 2.5| 0.15 150202/0400Z 10 05013KT 6.2F SNOW 16:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.037 16:1| 3.1| 0.19 150202/0500Z 11 05013KT 5.6F SNOW 14:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.048 16:1| 3.7| 0.23 150202/0600Z 12 04014KT 5.4F SNOW 17:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.046 16:1| 4.5| 0.28 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-150202/0700Z 13 03013KT 4.9F SNOW 19:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.044 16:1| 5.3| 0.32 150202/0800Z 14 03014KT 4.0F SNOW 21:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.052 17:1| 6.4| 0.38 150202/0900Z 15 02015KT 3.3F SNOW 19:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.060 17:1| 7.6| 0.44 150202/1000Z 16 01015KT 2.7F SNOW 20:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.048 18:1| 8.5/ 0.48 150202/1100Z 17 01015KT 2.2F SNOW 18:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.054 18:1| 9.5 | 0.54150202/1200Z 18 01015KT 1.7F SNOW 14:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.043 17:1| 10.1| 0.58 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-150202/1300Z 19 36016KT 1.3F SNOW 17:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 17:1| 10.8| 0.62 150202/1400Z 20 36016KT 1.5F SNOW 19:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.023 17:1| 11.2| 0.64 150202/1500Z 21 35016KT 2.6F SNOW 17:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 17:1| 11.4| 0.65150202/1600Z 22 35016KT 3.8F SNOW 18:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.004 17:1| 11.5| 0.66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 -SN here now starting to dust cars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I can't believe how quickly things have dusted it has barely been snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I can't believe how quickly things have dusted it has barely been snowing High snow ratios FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Approaching 10cm here, verified by multiple reports across the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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