Torchageddon Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Link: http://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/march-a-month-of-contrasts-from-coast-to-coast/48493/ If anyone caught the link URL early or saw the title, it said "March was a memorable one" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 NAM/EC bringing the ZR threat Wed morning. Shades of April 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 NAM/EC bringing the ZR threat Wed morning. Shades of April 2013. What do you think the likelihood of this actually verifying is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 What do you think the likelihood of this actually verifying is? I think theres a decent chance NW of the city but a much lower chance in the GTA. Right now the only model with sig accums is the euro which has 5-10mm of ZR depending on runoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Today had the largest temperature difference I have ever seen in the geographic scope of this image. A 1.5 hour drive yields a 13ºC difference. Both Hanover and Kincardine were 10ºC with Tobermory at -2ºC at 4:30 pm. I think theres a decent chance NW of the city but a much lower chance in the GTA. Right now the only model with sig accums is the euro which has 5-10mm of ZR depending on runoff. I'm...NW of Toronto . TWN is showing 10 mm of freezing rain overnight Wednesday; this could be very similar to April 2013 for me too where the ceiling for that was 2 cm of ice but got a tad over 1 cm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Wasn't really expecting it, but Rainfall Warnings have been issued across Southern Ontario. Assume this must be in preparation for tomorrow's thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Wasn't really expecting it, but Rainfall Warnings have been issued across Southern Ontario. Assume this must be in preparation for tomorrow's thunderstorms. It likely also has to do with the fact that the ground is still partially frozen, thus enhancing the flooding risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 13, 2015 Author Share Posted April 13, 2015 Winters like the one we just had make me sort of understand why people on the Prairies think they average 200-300 cm/year. Amazing how persistent, deep snowpack can warp your perception regarding how much snow actually fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Hope everyone enjoyed the warm temperatures of the past couple of days. It's not looking good for the next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 There was a heavy downpour yesterday afternoon between 4-5 which dumped almost 20 mm in downtown Toronto and points northeast. Areas to the west got less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted June 7, 2015 Author Share Posted June 7, 2015 There was a heavy downpour yesterday afternoon between 4-5 which dumped almost 20 mm in downtown Toronto and points northeast. Areas to the west got less. I drove home through that. Had water gushing up from some of the sewer grates it was coming down so hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Has anyone in Ontario noticed how bad the forecasts have been short term and long term? I don't look at EC forecasts much but The Weather Network ones I routinely follow and for the past 12-16 months I've noticed a steep decline in accuracy at least for my part of Ontario. This Spring and now first day of summer has been especially horrible and my confidence in TWN is going down rather fast. I've noticed certain patterns that have been predictable with the PMX engine like flip-flopping which goes back many years. There are broad cases of temperature busts where the warm front fails to move as far north as modeled which happened multiple times 2 weeks ago but here are two stunning examples that just happened: On Wednesday or Thursday there was some storms that were thought to move into Midwestern Ontario and Mark Robinson was in Goderich doing bits. During one he grabbed his sensor and said it was currently 28ºC in Goderich at his location...all the while on the bottom of my screen it said it was 21ºC in Goderich. I wish I had captured that one. The latest and most stunning example is yesterday and Friday, today was going to be rainy and it showed that for overnight, morning, and afternoon so mostly a rain day. Not just one town, but a broad area of southern Ontario like Kitchener-Waterloo extending north and west. It even had rain for Saturday evening but just blue sky everywhere. There was a cell of rain overnight that wasn't too big that tracked through and then cleared by 5:00 am. Not only was there not a drop of rain after that, but it was clear blue skies all day after!! This forecast of all day rain was less than 12 hours before the time and instead there aren't even clouds around, WTF is going on? This is not the 1870s. They quickly changed it to sunny conditions later on and bumped the temp. up 6ºC (which didn't materialize). Its been said that summer showers is the hardest to forecast for, but this is far beyond what I've seen in my time. It wasn't an isolated shower icon. Anyone else catch this? Now with that out of the way, Tuesday overnight intrigues me since right next door is going to be a show of force. I think something will happen here thunderstorm wise but I wonder how bad. My mind is blown at the SREF showing SigTor values in the middle of the night for us and a 60 near Sarnia and London! Never seen that. I just want a good severe storm and if by some insane chance there is an overnight supercell, I'll take that but outside my town. I bet my bottom dollar TWN will change the forecast for this period from nothing to stormy. I think they are talking about severe Tuesday morning but with the way they have been going, I don't trust they are conveying the threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Southwestern Ontario should watch out for a possible derecho/mcs this evening currently tracking through northeastern Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 Need 80.0mm exactly in the next 4 days to tie the June rainfall record at YYZ set back in 2010. I think we'll fall short by a fair bit but should be interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted August 16, 2015 Share Posted August 16, 2015 Has anyone heard from Blizzardof96? He hasn't had an online presence in almost two months and he posted to twitter almost daily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted August 16, 2015 Share Posted August 16, 2015 Has anyone heard from Blizzardof96? He hasn't had an online presence in almost two months and he posted to twitter almost daily Ive been up north for the last 8 weeks-- away from technology so only had time for very brief glances at the wx. Now that I'm back in TO, I'll start tweeting/posting more frequently. Hope y'all are having a nice summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 Ive been up north for the last 8 weeks-- away from technology so only had time for very brief glances at the wx. Now that I'm back in TO, I'll start tweeting/posting more frequently. Hope y'all are having a nice summer. Welcome back! We had no idea where you went haha. Hope the trip was fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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