WestCoaster Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I think what kills me is the snowflake size this storm. If we lost out on accumulations due to lack of QPF, I could deal. Temperatures too warm? I could deal. However, we had ideal temperatures for snow ratios and hit the higher modelled QPF projections. What screwed us? The damn snowflake type of all things. Plates, plates, plates, dust and glitter. What makes a storm fun to watch are those big fat white flakes. This is why wet snow storms will always be my favourite. That cement snow is just crippling and so gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Twitter photo from Richmond Hill: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B82UxJpIEAE1Jg2.jpg:large Definitely more than the 17-18 cm for Thornhill and Buttonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I think what kills me is the snowflake size this storm. If we lost out on accumulations due to lack of QPF, I could deal. Temperatures too warm? I could deal. However, we had ideal temperatures for snow ratios and hit the higher modelled QPF projections. What screwed us? The damn snowflake type of all things. Plates, plates, plates, dust and glitter. What makes a storm fun to watch are those big fat white flakes. This is why wet snow storms will always be my favourite. That cement snow is just crippling and so gorgeous. Did cold temps reduce flake size? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Did cold temps reduce flake size? My guess is that due to the continual dropping of temperatures, the cold air winning over was much more stable and inhibited vertical motions which are essentially for fatter flake growth. Hence why we only saw those big flakes during the highest radar returns this morning where motions permitted great flake growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Looks like my parade of 1 cm/hr rates since the morning is finally coming to an end. Don't think the other stuff on this back edge is going to produce much. Will go out and measure shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Surprise, surprise. My storm total is likely 25 cm. North and eastern sides of my property averaging 22 cm, south and west sides with 33 cm. Given there was 3 cm on the ground prior to this event, this averages out to about 24.5 cm. I also noticed that most of my wind sheltered spots had 25 cm, and essentially every elevated flat surface seemed to have 25 or 26 cm. My snowboard was a total joke for this event so I didn't bother with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Measured 22-24 cm here in downtown Toronto. There are now peeks of sunshine outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Congrats on the 8-12" never really thought u Guys had a chance for amounts approaching 12". Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Final storm total in Mississauga: 26cm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This is us. 10-12" easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Great storm in my opinion. I'm at work, but would estimate I got around 20 cm. Amazing snow band this morning. EC really dropped the ball on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Great storm in my opinion. I'm at work, but would estimate I got around 20 cm. Amazing snow band this morning. EC really dropped the ball on this one. As usual EC screwed up lol. But yes a great storm. Certainly not epic but it's nice to have big snow banks again to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 So the Euro shows another EC special later this week, lol. SONT does get some snow though from the northern stream. Widespread 8-10cm. Great storm. Had to go to school to do my test. Took me 1.5 hours to get there but got there in the nick of time. Just finished my test like 10 mins ago. Now to head home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 So the Euro shows another EC special later this week, lol. SONT does get some snow though from the northern stream. Widespread 8-10cm. Great storm. Had to go to school to do my test. Took me 1.5 hours to get there but got there in the nick of time. Just finished my test like 10 mins ago. Now to head home. Hope you did well on your test. What school do you go to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Final storm total in Mississauga: 26cm Nice, pretty close to what I got. I got 28cm here along the lakeshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Hope you did well on your test. What school do you go to?Ryerson. And I did good, thanks for asking. I studied while I tracked the storm haha.Euro has a potential storm next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I know some people seem a bit down about the storm but I think its rare to have widespread 20-30cm across such a large area of southern ontario. Personally this is the biggest storm I've seen in years. (I was away for a majority of 2013) so I give this storm an A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I know some people seem a bit down about the storm but I think its rare to have widespread 20-30cm across such a large area of southern ontario. Personally this is the biggest storm I've seen in years. (I was away for a majority of 2013) so I give this storm an A. Agree. Hopefully this storm (along with the clipper from last Thursday) ushers in a snowier pattern. Based on today's 12z guidance, it looks like we may have more opportunities to add to the snowpack with very little melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Ryerson. And I did good, thanks for asking. I studied while I tracked the storm haha. Euro has a potential storm next week. York and ryerson were opened today for some reason. I had a test as well but I have a snow day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 Looks like 22cm will be my final number here. Little bit of a screwhole but measuring is so tough to do I could be lowballing a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 I think what kills me is the snowflake size this storm. If we lost out on accumulations due to lack of QPF, I could deal. Temperatures too warm? I could deal. However, we had ideal temperatures for snow ratios and hit the higher modelled QPF projections. What screwed us? The damn snowflake type of all things. Plates, plates, plates, dust and glitter. What makes a storm fun to watch are those big fat white flakes. This is why wet snow storms will always be my favourite. That cement snow is just crippling and so gorgeous. Yeah, looks like the heftier QPF verified, but we couldn't lose the pixie dust. I thought we'd start out like that but when I woke up a 5am and it was still spitting those grains, I knew any notion of anything approaching the SREFs was lost. I thought anything north of 20cm was lost too, but we managed to pull it out. The death band stuff was 20:1, but if you averaged this storm out I'm guess the SLR is something like 12-13:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 I noticed YYZ is being left out of EC's summary. Anyone catch twitter for where they stand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Just got home. Alot of roads are empty as people decided to stay home. Here's the text output for the 12z Euro for the storm potentials later this week. It shows about 1-2cm generally Tuesday night-Wednesday and then shows an additional 8-15cm come Thursday. The second wave will need to be monitored. 12z UKMET also showed about 10cm for the GTA. ECMWF FORECAST FOR: YYZ LAT= 43.67 LON= -79.63 ELE= 568 12Z FEB02 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK WED 06Z 04-FEB -9.7 -13.6 1020 84 100 0.02 535 519 WED 12Z 04-FEB -9.7 -13.0 1018 86 91 0.03 534 520 WED 18Z 04-FEB -4.6 -12.0 1018 67 60 0.00 537 523 THU 00Z 05-FEB -5.1 -12.5 1018 83 100 0.02 538 524 THU 06Z 05-FEB -8.4 -14.2 1017 84 96 0.13 534 521 THU 12Z 05-FEB -9.9 -16.5 1016 81 99 0.10 528 515 THU 18Z 05-FEB -10.3 -19.0 1018 62 99 0.05 523 509 FRI 00Z 06-FEB -15.0 -19.8 1021 74 11 0.00 521 505 0.05 qpf for the clipper and 0.30 qpf for the Thursday potential. The 12z GGEM is also decent. It shows ~5cm. With the cold temperatures in place, ratios could be in our favour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 New update to the summary. The YHM 20cm has been removed and no YYZ LOCATION SNOW AMOUNT IN CENTIMETRES WINDSOR AIRPORT 37 BLENHEIM 33 LONDON AIRPORT 21 DORCHESTER 25 CAMBRIDGE 18 KITCHENER 20-30 WATERLOO 20-30 GUELPH 28 FERGUS 25 TILLSONBURG 31 BUTTONVILLE AIRPORT 17 MISSISSAUGA 20-25 BRAMPTON 20-25 WOODBRIDGE 22 TORONTO MIDTOWN 22 THORNHILL 19 YORK UNIVERSITY 19 EAST YORK 18 GRIMSBY 25 ST CATHARINES 32 HAMILTON MOUNTAIN 25-40 OAKVILLE 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 York and ryerson were opened today for some reason. I had a test as well but I have a snow day. You're lucky . Oh well. You win some, you lose some right? Alot of schools/universities/colleges in Toronto specifically don't close very often anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 New update to the summary. The YHM 20cm has been removed and no YYZ LOCATION SNOW AMOUNT IN CENTIMETRES WINDSOR AIRPORT 37 BLENHEIM 33 LONDON AIRPORT 21 DORCHESTER 25 CAMBRIDGE 18 KITCHENER 20-30 WATERLOO 20-30 GUELPH 28 FERGUS 25 TILLSONBURG 31 BUTTONVILLE AIRPORT 17 MISSISSAUGA 20-25 BRAMPTON 20-25 WOODBRIDGE 22 TORONTO MIDTOWN 22 THORNHILL 19 YORK UNIVERSITY 19 EAST YORK 18 GRIMSBY 25 ST CATHARINES 32 HAMILTON MOUNTAIN 25-40 OAKVILLE 30 I'm guessing YHM uses a nipher too. And I'm guessing YYZ comes in around 15cm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 postmortem awards for the models: NAM + UKMET get my gold medal. razzie goes to the EURO. Was one of the last holdouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 postmortem awards for the models: NAM + UKMET get my gold medal. razzie goes to the EURO. Was one of the last holdouts. UKMET nailed the New England blizzard last week too. Noticing a trend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 postmortem awards for the models: NAM + UKMET get my gold medal. razzie goes to the EURO. Was one of the last holdouts. Forgot to mention the GEFS. They were the first model suite to have widespread 0.5"+ amounts throughout the GTA besides the UKIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Definitely enjoyed this storm more than 12/11/14. Peak rates were more impressive, drifts are more impressive and overall tracking more enjoyable IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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