chietanen Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Dropped to -6 last night, coldest night of the year for my backyard. Currently at -3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Dropped to -6 last night, coldest night of the year for my backyard. Currently at -3.Nice! Only got down to 5 above here. The snowpack at my stake is down to about 13" from 15" yesterday already due to mostly settling guessing but maybe a little wind too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Nice! Only got down to 5 above here. The snowpack at my stake is down to about 13" from 15" yesterday already due to mostly settling guessing but maybe a little wind too. Glens Falls got down to -27 I had to laugh reading some of the posts in the snowpack thread. Seems very similar to our discussion yesterday about inflated snowfall totals. Some mood flakes possible tomorrow morning? Meso models show some scattered snow showers moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Glens Falls got down to -27 I had to laugh reading some of the posts in the snowpack thread. Seems very similar to our discussion yesterday about inflated snowfall totals. Some mood flakes possible tomorrow morning? Meso models show some scattered snow showers moving through. People think for example that if they had 6" on the ground and then got a foot of snow that they have a snowpack of 18"...if folks actually measured it they realized it never happens like that due to settling and sublimation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 People think for example that if they had 6" on the ground and then got a foot of snow that they have a snowpack of 18"...if folks actually measured it they realized it never happens like that due to settling and sublimation. Yeah, it's usually a "three steps forward and two steps back" kind of thing. That's why a little sleet and torching is good from time to time... fortifies the pack. The multiple layers of powder I have out there now are just too submissive... -9.2F this am, not bad at all considering how far north the baroclinic zone got ripped yesterday, and how cloudy it was overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Hopefully this event on Sunday can hang together and produce a decent snow fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Hopefully this event on Sunday can hang together and produce a decent snow fall.I don't think we are done just yet Are you going to Key West this week? I thought I saw that posted at one point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I don't think we are done just yet Are you going to Key West this week? I thought I saw that posted at one point oh yes. in miami now. Back Sunday late morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 oh yes. in miami now. Back Sunday late morning Look at this guy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 oh yes. in miami now. Back Sunday late morning Party at Animals house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Gorgeous night out there. Got a nice extended skate in underneath the moonlight, fresh snow, and at a comfortable temperature (and no wind!). Currently at 11 degrees, down from an afternoon high of 26. Looks like a nice pack refresher Thursday morning, though the timing could be better as it looks to happen during the rush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 We all know how inaccurate long range temp forecasts can be, especially on the GFS, but this cold signal is impressive! This is for Poughkeepsie, 5 straight days in the single numbers for highs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 We all know how inaccurate long range temp forecasts can be, especially on the GFS, but this cold signal is impressive! This is for Poughkeepsie, 5 straight days in the single numbers for highs! This winter is quickly redeeming itself, I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 My inner weather weenie is enjoying that graphic. Unfortunately my wallet is beating my weenie as it thinks about heating the house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Down to 6 here now but it doesn't feel that cold since it's so still out, rather majestic I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 These are the nights that get me through the summer... lol. Just wonderful out this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 -0.6F just after midnight so I guess that counts as another day with a below-zero low. Forecast low was +12 so I guess I did ok. 24F now with very pretty snow showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 I bottomed out right at 0 before the clouds moved in last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 I'd pay an unreasonable sum of money to lock this in. Snows from 00z Sunday right through 00z Thursday... shave off a few tenths of an inch from tomorrow's snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 I'd pay an unreasonable sum of money to lock this in. Snows from 00z Sunday right through 00z Thursday... shave off a few tenths of an inch from tomorrow's snow showers. lol, I was just going to post the same map! That's the weenie run of the year right there. As depicted, that's like 2-3' of snow for most of the area, more in the mountains. (the 850 line stays south of us nearly the entire time) A lot of inconsistencies. I guess we can be fairly certain it's going to precipitate, potentially 1"+, some of it should be snow, and it might be of long duration. The GFS ensemble members are all over the place in that time frame. Will be fun to watch it play out over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 lol, I was just going to post the same map! That's the weenie run of the year right there. As depicted, that's like 2-3' of snow for most of the area, more in the mountains. (the 850 line stays south of us nearly the entire time) A lot of inconsistencies. I guess we can be fairly certain it's going to precipitate, potentially 1"+, some of it should be snow, and it might be of long duration. The GFS ensemble members are all over the place in that time frame. Will be fun to watch it play out over the next few days. Yesterday's euro snow maps weren't so bad either. Alot of runs to go, but nice eye candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 I'd pay an unreasonable sum of money to lock this in. Snows from 00z Sunday right through 00z Thursday... shave off a few tenths of an inch from tomorrow's snow showers. If this were to be all snow it reminds me of how the snow was distributed around this exact ending time frame last winter. I had Valentine's dinner in the Allamuchy region of NJ and then went to the Poconos that weekend and this was basically the depth distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Yesterday's euro snow maps weren't so bad either. Alot of runs to go, but nice eye candy. Yep. Looks good today as well. Snow moves in Sunday morning and ends Tuesday morning. 1.25-1.5" liquid precipitation across the area and plenty cold for everyone. Tomorrow morning looks kinda meh from a snow perspective. I think the ceiling is probably 2". The bigger story will be the falling temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Where's OC Snowz and snywx lately? Haven't seen them posting the last couple of days. Figured Snowz would be all over this upcoming potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Albany, on tomorrow morning: SOME MODELS SUGGEST A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS ACROSS THE REGION IMMEDIATELY IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING SFC BOUNDARY...WHICH MAY WORK IN TANDEM WITH ABUNDANT MID/UPPER LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A FEW BRIEF BURSTS OF MODERATE SNOWFALL. The RGEM was actually quite robust east of the river, though the result is a very disjointed-looking QPF map, so I'm iffy on that for now. I do think somebody could pick up a surprise 3.3" or somesuch if everything goes perfectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Where's OC Snowz and snywx lately? Haven't seen them posting the last couple of days. Figured Snowz would be all over this upcoming potential.I was wondering that myself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Albany, on tomorrow morning: SOME MODELS SUGGEST A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS ACROSS THE REGION IMMEDIATELY IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING SFC BOUNDARY...WHICH MAY WORK IN TANDEM WITH ABUNDANT MID/UPPER LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A FEW BRIEF BURSTS OF MODERATE SNOWFALL.The RGEM was actually quite robust east of the river, though the result is a very disjointed-looking QPF map, so I'm iffy on that for now. I do think somebody could pick up a surprise 3.3" or somesuch if everything goes perfectly.I know many are looking to the weekend and next week, but tomorrow looks like another classic winter day around here, snow in the air, dropping temps, blowing and drifting in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Good too see you back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Yep. Looks good today as well. Snow moves in Sunday morning and ends Tuesday morning. 1.25-1.5" liquid precipitation across the area and plenty cold for everyone. Tomorrow morning looks kinda meh from a snow perspective. I think the ceiling is probably 2". The bigger story will be the falling temperatures. True, whatever melts today will turn into a brick soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Man did Animal get some of the natives restless with his trolling sun angle comment in the main thread, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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