Juliancolton Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Feb 26th 2010 was a 20+ event in southwestern Duchess County, more west of the river. Boxing day 2010 was close to 20" at KPOU. Coastal folks have definitely had their fair share of large events this last decade.. I would think they are running way above normal in the number of events. I read somewhere that NYC averages a 12"+ snowfall once every 4 years.. It seems like that average has been crushed over the last decade. Is this the new normal? lol Wow... impressive. I settled on a total just under 11". I know there were some ~25" reports from the Pine Plains area, so I'd always figured the gradient was oriented more west to east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Feb 2013 was just an incredibly dynamic and multifaceted storm. 6"/hr snowfall rates, thundersleet, and a gorgeous satellite presentation after that mesolow formed and began interacting with the TROWAL region. The mid-Hudson Valley is kind of a tough place for big snows. We're pretty well tucked-in toward the mainland as opposed to southern Jersey, LI, and SNE, so we often miss the death bands in mature nor'easters that like to straddle the Gulf Stream. February 2006 comes to mind... the subsidence from that deform band was just brutal. I think I got like 4" or 5". Boxing Day was also a bit lackluster imby compared to other areas, but that storm was still fun to track and enjoy vicariously through earthlight and company. Then you have the redeveloping clippers whose snows often die out just to our west before going ballistic just to our east. That said, there are times when sitting landlocked in the interior can be a blessing, especially in marginal early- and late-season events like October 2011. Yes haha I remember his pictures as that megaband just rotted over him, awesome stuff. Extreme weather events are definitely the new normal. I didn't realize Boxing Day was so high here. 2/25/10 was pretty much the most painful experience of my weather life. We picked up like 6" of snow in the morning, then changed to rain and stayed rain (occasionally mixed with snow) for nearly the entire storm, while areas less than 15 miles to the south or west picked up 20" or more of snow. I know that's sny's favorite, he always brings it up, much to my dismay! Yeah that was the rare case of being just too far EAST, still one of my favorite storms from a dynamics standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Very strange to not even see a WWA posted for here with snow literally on our doorstep and I am expecting 3-6" based on the model runs starting 18z and most recently the 0z GFS which showed over 0.5" here. We'll see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 After seeing the GFS. I feel good with 4 or 5 inches in my area. Snow is mixing in with the rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I mean 2-4" up here? No? Even then, it's still something. Better than nothing. The GFS looks ok lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Extreme weather events are definitely the new normal. I didn't realize Boxing Day was so high here. 2/25/10 was pretty much the most painful experience of my weather life. We picked up like 6" of snow in the morning, then changed to rain and stayed rain (occasionally mixed with snow) for nearly the entire storm, while areas less than 15 miles to the south or west picked up 20" or more of snow. I know that's sny's favorite, he always brings it up, much to my dismay! I only had an inch or so the entire storm in 2/26/10.. Had parachute flakes though, pretty cool to watch. Flipped back and forth like 20X between rain and snow, LOL. Fortunately for me the first storm a day earlier overperformed with near 10" so it was all good. The Halloween storm was probably worse for me as far as being on the "not-so-favorable" side of the gradient, with over a foot 10 miles east near Pine Plains and like 3.5" IMBY. Also I missed 3/16/07 due to being at college, which I hear was 18" in Kingston. Pretty sure 2/13/14 made up for all of that here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Wow... impressive. I settled on a total just under 11". I know there were some ~25" reports from the Pine Plains area, so I'd always figured the gradient was oriented more west to east. Its amazing how in the last few years there have been some serious snow total differences over very short distances in Dutchess Co. 2/26/10 was the most extreme example where places 10-15 miles to my east, the other side of Hopewell Junction and the Taconic, had far less snow than me.. Boxing day is another example where the death band set up from SW (over earthlight) to NE as far as southern Dutchess and pummeled the area for hours. Back to tonight, I am not expecting anything more than 1-3.. Razor sharp cut-off looks likely to develop just south of 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The dry air must be impressive, I've been under radar echoes since late last night and nothing more than flurries falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 2 inches here. Not a flake falling past hour or so. Dry air must be killing the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Waking up to no new snow with virga overhead. lol. I just have to laugh. Even an expected scraper underperforms here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Snowing pretty well here. Wet snow though, took the dog for a walk and im soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The dry air must be impressive, I've been under radar echoes since late last night and nothing more than flurries falling. Shocking that would happen here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 All those hours of rain then a quick temp drop and this place flash froze. It was 34 at 5am with drizzle, at 6 it was 26 with light snow and now it's 24 with light blowing snow. It's sketchy out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Steady snow again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Steady virga still. The virga is ripping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 3" on the ground, snowing moderately, 26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Drove to work in Fishkill and that's about the northern extent of the accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Drove to work in Fishkill and that's about the northern extent of the accumulating snow. i live off route 28 about 3 miles north of Fishkill and i am seeing occasional bursts of snow, but it is really struggling with the dry air. Sometimes I wonder whether the high ground just south of 84 plays some sort of role in preventing moist air from getting up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Occasional light snow here with a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 i live off route 28 about 3 miles north of Fishkill and i am seeing occasional bursts of snow, but it is really struggling with the dry air. Sometimes I wonder whether the high ground just south of 84 plays some sort of role in preventing moist air from getting up here. It's certainly not heavy, but it's accumulating. Interesting point you made about 84. We had a discussion about that last year and most of us had the same feeling that you do. The topography of the area in which 84 runs definitely acts as a dividing line between lighter and heavier snows in many systems around here, and I think it probably holds true into CT as well. I'll see if I can find the posts about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 It's certainly not heavy, but it's accumulating. Interesting point you made about 84. We had a discussion about that last year and most of us had the same feeling that you do. The topography of the area in which 84 runs definitely acts as a dividing line between lighter and heavier snows in many systems around here, and I think it probably holds true into CT as well. I'll see if I can find the posts about it. Yeah I think I remember that conversation come to think of it...The only events that we seem to be immune from this effect is front-end thump SW flow type events...You would think that this particular event given it is is somewhat SW flowesque, would be ok. Maybe we are just a little too far north of the best lift this time around and it is less about the relative humidities, but it is uncanny that we suffer this dry air more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 Flurries/Lgt Snow.. Dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 About 2 inches so far. Light to occassionally moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 This is still too high for up here lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 This is still too high for up here lol.. Might end up too low here lol, itll be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Pretty epic dry layer, lol. A coating OTG... no huge surprises, but a little bit of a bummer, to be sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 Might end up too low here lol, itll be close. Rockland sucks! Hows your neighbor snowman19 doing? lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 snowing good in Highland Lakes. Snow Baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Rockland sucks! Hows your neighbor snowman19 doing? lol.. The dry air and virga created a vacuum and sucked him into the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Yeah I think I remember that conversation come to think of it...The only events that we seem to be immune from this effect is front-end thump SW flow type events...You would think that this particular event given it is is somewhat SW flowesque, would be ok. Maybe we are just a little too far north of the best lift this time around and it is less about the relative humidities, but it is uncanny that we suffer this dry air more often than not. Yeah, although I guess this is more of a post-frontal system rather than a true SWFE, and the dry air from the CAA is really affecting us. On a positive note, as I was reading through last year's thread and about a week after the 20" snowfall, most people had dropped down to 15" or so of snowpack. Here we are a full 2 weeks later than that and our pack is deeper (and likely more bulletproof). Not that it matters too much with some warmer air coming, but it definitely shows the staying power of this winter. Also interesting to note that we had a few storms last year that produced incredible snowfall rates and we haven't seen anything like that this year, yet we still are having an above average season overall. In any event, is it time to move on to spring after this? Anyone holding out hopes for one more system? The cupboard looks pretty bare to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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