UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Sounds like 21z SREFs are juiced up... Any maps? I posted Newburgh and nyc in the main thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I posted Newburgh and nyc in the main thread I think I mentioned before, but WxBell is slow to update those. 21z is the current run. Mean snow for Poughkeepsie for the second event is 6", but if you take out the amped up members, it's a couple inches lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nam just juiced up tomorrow's event quite a bit.. 6" for most of Sullivan county 3-5" area wide up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 First wave.. Includes sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nam just juiced up tomorrow's event quite a bit.. 6" for most of Sullivan county 3-5" area wide up here We'll see if it has support, I did mention earlier that if things break right, we could easily see that 2-3" turn into 4-5". Hopefully it's on to something. Btw, some interesting discussion from eduggs over in the NE forum regarding the Thursday system. He seems pretty confident that it will come north some more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 We'll see if it has support, I did mention earlier that if things break right, we could easily see that 2-3" turn into 4-5". Hopefully it's on to something. Btw, some interesting discussion from eduggs over in the NE forum regarding the Thursday system. He seems pretty confident that it will come north some more. He knows his stuff... One of the better amateur posters around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 We'll see if it has support, I did mention earlier that if things break right, we could easily see that 2-3" turn into 4-5". Hopefully it's on to something. Btw, some interesting discussion from eduggs over in the NE forum regarding the Thursday system. He seems pretty confident that it will come north some more. I saw eduggs saying that this morning, good to hear he's still thinking that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 0z NAM is a huge hit again... Hence the crickets in the NYC sub forum smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 0z NAM is a huge hit again... Hence the crickets in the NYC sub forum smhI think Ulster just owned a couple of them by posting the 18z then the 0z comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think Ulster just owned a couple of them by posting the 18z then the 0z comparison. Lol.. Had to... Nam is a 12+ Storm for most here The models owe us this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 He knows his stuff... One of the better amateur posters around I saw eduggs saying that this morning, good to hear he's still thinking that way. No doubt. It's often hard for me to understand his posts, he's like an amateur Tip. But, yeah, he's standing his ground. 0z NAM is a huge hit again... Hence the crickets in the NYC sub forum smh It looks like a good hit all around. The faster movement would have me a little concerned about temperatures as you head further south, but no worries around here. Alas, it's still the NAM beyond 48 hours, but seeing it hold steady for several runs is encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I could only pray 0z Nam would verify for us Wed night into Thursday lol, what an epic crush job to close out winter that would be. However, I know better than to trust that model. Although, it has been consistently nw of the rest of the guidance for several runs now it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 No doubt. It's often hard for me to understand his posts, he's like an amateur Tip. But, yeah, he's standing his ground. It looks like a good hit all around. The faster movement would have me a little concerned about temperatures as you head further south, but no worries around here. Alas, it's still the NAM beyond 48 hours, but seeing it hold steady for several runs is encouraging. Eduggs used to post in the NYC forum too until the weenies drove him away I'm guessing, not sure though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 0z NAM @ 60 This "model" is such a **** tease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 0z NAM @ 60 This "model" is such a **** tease Nepa to Hudson Valley crush job to end winter? Sign me up! However, I too know better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nepa to Hudson Valley crush job to end winter? Sign me up! However, I too know better. I would love to hit 70-80" seasonal, if this becomes reality that may very well be in arms reach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 I would love to hit 70-80" seasonal, if this becomes reality that may very well be in arms reach Not to mention a 30-40" snowpack for most in here.. Most of us already have 17-23" on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not to mention a 30-40" snowpack for most in here.. Most of us already have 17-23" on the ground I can't even measure mine, some areas have 10" some have 2-3'. This has been the season of drifts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I am getting a little tired of the snow at this point in the season. You guys up north can take the Wednesday night Thursday storm. Hope it is no more than a few inches. Tomorrow looks to be a few inches too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not to mention a 30-40" snowpack for most in here.. Most of us already have 17-23" on the ground Keep rubbing it in and i wont open the outgoing gate lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Let's get tomorrow out of the way first and see where that leaves us for Thursday. Going by the high res NAM, looks like snow breaks out early afternoon and we get maybe 3-4 hours of decent snow before a changeover to mixed precip. Very little rain, if any. 4-6" on the snow maps, but some of that is probably sleet, not snow, so those numbers are probably a little overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Keep rubbing it in and i wont open the outgoing gate lol lol.. get those damn spikes off the road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Let's get tomorrow out of the way first and see where that leaves us for Thursday. Going by the high res NAM, looks like snow breaks out early afternoon and we get maybe 3-4 hours of decent snow before a changeover to mixed precip. Very little rain, if any. 4-6" on the snow maps, but some of that is probably sleet, not snow, so those numbers are probably a little overdone. hires_ref_nyc_23.png hires_ptype_acc_nyc_13.png 2-4" w/ ip is prob the best call right now for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 2-4" w/ ip is prob the best call right now for tomorrow 4k nam... Nams juicing things up lately lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 4k nam... Nams juicing things up lately lol As much as I want to fall for the NAM trap i won't lol.. The GFS in 10 mins will bring us all back to reality lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 As much as I want to fall for the NAM trap i won't lol.. The GFS in 10 mins will bring us all back to reality lol It's not really on an island, the RGEM and it's hires version have 2-4", as did the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's not really on an island, the RGEM and it's hires version have 2-4", as did the 12z Euro. I see 2-4"... Not the 4-6" amounts the NAM is giving us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 As much as I want to fall for the NAM trap i won't lol.. The GFS in 10 mins will bring us all back to reality lol GGEM is gonna cave to nam you watch.... Rgem shows signs of a way juicer solution through 48 and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Just saw the new RGEM come in and it's less white and more mixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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