White Gorilla Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Looking exciting the next 5 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Good god.....if this winds up being a big rain event I'll be on suicide watch I'd feel great at this point if I were you, every single "mega front" event this season has been south of model guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'd feel great at this point if I were you, every single "mega front" event this season has been south of model guidance. Yea....I am liking where we are with this one from a "potential" point of view. That being said....Im nervous... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Saw a tweet from NWS that there is snow on the ground in every state except Florida. Quite impressive for March 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Yea....I am liking where we are with this one from a "potential" point of view. That being said....Im nervous... I hear ya, I'm nervous about being fringed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'd feel great at this point if I were you, every single "mega front" event this season has been south of model guidance. The 84 hour NAM usually tends to be amped up too, correct? I may end up being wrong, but I think closer to the coast is the place to be for that wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I hear ya, I'm nervous about being fringed again 00z GFS starting to run. I know we are still 72-84 hours out....but Im curious to see what it shows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The 84 hour NAM usually tends to be amped up too, correct? I may end up being wrong, but I think closer to the coast is the place to be for that wave. Yeah it does seem to over amplify pretty often, then again it picked up on the further north track of the recent southeast U.S. snowstorm at 72 h when the GFS had the system sliding way southeast. Either way I agree that closer to the coast is more favorable for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Well there it was... our one porn run for this upcoming "event". It can only go downhill from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 Man these flakes are huge right now! lol.. Silver dollar sized flakes falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Yup, snow growth has improved drastically. Too bad we weren't working with stuff like this all afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 And ... that's it. Another one done. 6" ought to do it. As its wrapping up the huge flakes flipped to frozen grains making it heavy all of a sudden. Driveway banks are 6'+ for all 80 feet now. I love shoveling at night, is that weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 6.3" final here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 Yeah it does seem to over amplify pretty often, then again it picked up on the further north track of the recent southeast U.S. snowstorm at 72 h when the GFS had the system sliding way southeast. Either way I agree that closer to the coast is more favorable for this one. I smell suppression city with this event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 And ... that's it. Another one done. 6" ought to do it. As its wrapping up the huge flakes flipped to frozen grains making it heavy all of a sudden. Driveway banks are 6'+ for all 80 feet now. I love shoveling at night, is that weird Same here, late at night is my favorite time to play in the snow. 3.4" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I smell suppression city with this event.. The Euro definitely jumped a bit NW with that moisture, but yeah... I'm more interested in the front-end snow and ice on Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Euro definitely jumped a bit NW with that moisture, but yeah... I'm more interested in the front-end snow and ice on Tuesday night. Tuesday night will prob be a 2-4" deal followed by ice. The following wave looks to be a 2-4" event as well with 6"+ falling south of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Euro definitely jumped a bit NW with that moisture, but yeah... I'm more interested in the front-end snow and ice on Tuesday night. Despite the best QG forcing remaining just off to our north this will be the most dynamic system in a while, hopefully we'll see a more organized precip shield so we can pull off a decent front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Tuesday night will prob be a 2-4" deal followed by ice. The following wave looks to be a 2-4" event as well with 6"+ falling south of NYC.It looks nasty as far as ice for you guys in Orange county. I'm thinking, maybe 1-2 inches for Rockland maybe but it looks like it goes to sleet then freezing rain/rain fairly quickly for us. Wednesday may hit the mid 40's down here. As for thursday, I'm getting the feeling that it's going to end up south of us. I think that arctic high in behind the cold front wednesday night is going to over perform like every other one has this winter and shunt everything south of our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 6.4" total, a little over 19" at my stake, the latest round of blowing and drifting has commenced in my hood. Season total is now 52.7", last year the emitts season total was 70.0". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Had 2.5 or so in Kingston...about 4" on the mountain where I got my car stuck in a 4 foot high snowbank on the way down and had to get it towed out. Not fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wow 0z ECM tries to make a run at getting the precip into the HV in the followup storm...probably too far north though...also had 1-2" with Tuesday nights overrunning event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Sucks about the tow Heinz. Just looked at some more stats IMBY: Last year I had a total of 12 below zero lows, which was a lot. This year I had 13 below zero lows just in Feb...throw in one in Jan and one so far in March making a total of 15 below zero lows so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Sucks about the tow Heinz. Just looked at some more stats IMBY: Last year I had a total of 12 below zero lows, which was a lot. This year I had 13 below zero lows just in Feb...throw in one in Jan and one so far in March making a total of 15 below zero lows so far. Should have no problem getting it reimbursed by AAA. It was almost like they expected it too, the tow place is right at the bottom of the hill, and they were there in like 5 minutes. I can just picture the guys in the shop like "Hey, Tom, another guy got stuck on the mountain, should we go get him?" LOL.. Been pretty cold here too, had a lot of below zero but not quite that much...my coldest was -12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Impressive blowing snow this morning out there, the refreeze tonight will cause slick spots for sure. Deep winter on 3/2, who would've thunk it this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Impressive blowing snow this morning out there, the refreeze tonight will cause slick spots for sure. Deep winter on 3/2, who would've thunk it this year... As I was driving to work this morning, I was thinking it certainly looks more like mid-winter than meteorological spring. I'm looking forward to tomorrow night, I think we may see some pretty impressive snowfall rates for a few hours. I don't think I've had legit "heavy" snow around here since the Thanksgiving storm to be honest. If we can hang on to snow for a little longer, that 2-3" could turn into 4-5". NAM sim radar at 7 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wound up with 5.0" here. There will be some icy spots around today with the blowing snow esp. on routes 17&84 in those open areas. Now onto tomorrow nite for poss. a few more inches. 06z MAN & GFS are putting out 1" of snow then rain for SWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wound up with 5.0" here. There will be some icy spots around today with the blowing snow esp. on routes 17&84 in those open areas. Now onto tomorrow nite for poss. a few more inches. 06z MAN & GFS are putting out 1" of snow then rain for SWF. I'd be shocked if your area only got 1" of snow on the front end tomorrow night. The NAM still likes our area for the wave on Thursday, but it's a tad south of 6z. I was looking over the Euro ensembles this morning and, as far as location goes, they look pretty similar to 12z yesterday, but they've definitely backed off some on amounts. We'll see what the rest of the model suite has to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 As long as the front-end thump is sufficient to negate pack loss from any subsequent torching and non-kosher p-types, I'll be content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Nam is awfully tasty for the wed/Thursday Storm.. 8-12" for most here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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