Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Atleast down here at West Point I'll see some snow, but doesn't look like i have much to clean up in ulster, wife has only seen a few snow showers here and there, 0 accumulation Guy I work with in far north md has 9. This just was not our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I'm just so fed up of underperformers and last minute dry air, snow holes. Please let us have one storm that overperforms and ends winter with a bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Everyone should realize the seasonal pattern and expect no less, we are still at average for most seasonally. But the 4-8" and 12+" just aren't happening for us this year in this progressive pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I did my numbers this morning but lost the paper I jotted it down on, LOL. I'm around 45" on this winter season with my average for the entire season of 43.3" I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It has been difficult to get a storm with an expansive precipitation shield this year. In fact, many of the SECS and MECS have featured the infamous sharp cutoff with very little QPF just west of the Delaware River since 2006. The Hudson Valley has also been a screw zone for many of the recent large events. Nonetheless, still a sold winter here with a consistent snowpack and a couple of moderate events, but still falling well short of its true potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Everyone should realize the seasonal pattern and expect no less, we are still at average for most seasonally. But the 4-8" and 12+" just aren't happening for us this year in this progressive patternDude, I am telling you that mt holly nws has not hit a snow forecast in my town as of November. They hit that forecast and nothing else. Got lucky with my 2 inch fluff last week. I need to know why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Dude, I am telling you that mt holly nws has not hit a snow forecast in my town as of November. They hit that forecast and nothing else. Got lucky with my 2 inch fluff last week. I need to know why. This has been such a difficult year, terrible pattern, extreme cold, and terrible model reliability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 This has been such a difficult year, terrible pattern, extreme cold, and terrible model reliability Can't accept ure answer. They sucked last year too Ask the poster from butler. I only think they worry about Philly area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 I did my numbers this morning but lost the paper I jotted it down on, LOL. I'm around 45" on this winter season with my average for the entire season of 43.3" I believe. Yeah I'm pretty much at 100% as well.. 51" ytd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Remember guys.. If its an all snow event on the nj coast don't expect much.. That's the rule I follow and it hasn't failed me yet.. Lets see what happens later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 This has been such a difficult year, terrible pattern, extreme cold, and terrible model reliability Every event has basically become a nowcast, it's incredible how bad the models have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Every event has basically become a nowcast, it's incredible how bad the models have been. agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Every event has basically become a nowcast, it's incredible how bad the models have been. What happen to the Good Ol' days when the euro showed a big storm 5 days out which would verify, the GFS was out to lunch till 12hrs before, and the NAM showed 168" of snow for the same storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 What happen to the Good Ol' days when the euro showed a big storm 5 days out which would verify, the GFS was out to lunch till 12hrs before, and the NAM showed 168" of snow for the same storm? Too much upgrade stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Coming down pretty good over here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 agree KeithB it's snowig like a bi*+% here at West Point, I know it's gotta be snowing in rockland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I'm seriously looking forward to Spring now if anything to rid of repeated disappointments of busting. I still love tracking and seeing potential, but usually, when it's showtime, I mostly end up feeling disappointed one way or the other, with exceptions, but that's just it.....the rule has been disappointment. The best part of this winter has been tracking and managing to keep a healthy snowpack for a long time, so I really should not complain. But, man, I just cannot get rid of the bitter taste of so many underperforming systems here and I'm getting really tired of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 What happen to the Good Ol' days when the euro showed a big storm 5 days out which would verify, the GFS was out to lunch till 12hrs before, and the NAM showed 168" of snow for the same storm? Those were the days ha, lately the gfs/ukmet seem to be sniffing out storms 3-4 days out while the euro is out to lunch. Unfortunately none of them can seem to pin down the mesoscale details even within 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 KeithB it's snowig like a bi*+% here at West Point, I know it's gotta be snowing in rockland yes. It is! Time to go outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Those were the days ha, lately the gfs/ukmet seem to be sniffing out storms 3-4 days out while the euro is out to lunch. Unfortunately none of them can seem to pin down the mesoscale details even within 24 hours. It's depressing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TopOfNJ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Wasn't it the GFS that saw the huge dry slot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Leaving soon, but decent snow in the sky in warwick ny People pissed.., where's the snow etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2015 Author Share Posted February 22, 2015 Looks like sleet/freezing rain starting to mix in down in jersey... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2015 Author Share Posted February 22, 2015 Lol.. Wow the radar looks terrible for the HV. How are conditions up there? I-84 screw zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Wasn't it the GFS that saw the huge dry slot? GFS had more of a downslope signature.. certainly not the massive precip hole that we saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Lol.. Wow the radar looks terrible for the HV. How are conditions up there? Fine. I see the radar, but slow creep north is there. But, we need rAdar to. Bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2015 Author Share Posted February 22, 2015 Fine. I see the radar, but slow creep north is there. But, we need rAdar to. Bump The problem is the cold front approaching from the west. It will shunt everything east. If things don't improve many places may not even see 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 The problem is the cold front approaching from the west. It will shunt everything east. If things don't improve many places may not even see 2" Agreed, I don't see this producing more than a couple more inches up here.. Haven't even hit a inch yet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Steady snow falling in warwick ny Best all night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Lollis to 1.3", lock it up. We await March 1... feet and feet for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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