UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I believe South Beacon is 1610. I just looked up Schnemunk and it looks like 1664? Though I saw a couple different numbers listed. It's impressive to look at from a distance, in that it's all by itself and several miles long. Is it a difficult hike? I've hunted Schnemunk for many years as well hiked In the warmer months.. There's different trails to take that area labeled by difficulty.. If your in shape, a Normal trail route is about 2-2.5 hrs to the top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 walpak nj at -12 already that's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Couldn't find any pics of my Schnemunk hiking but I found some good ones of storm king mountain, mt beacon, bear mt, and whatever mountain that is at the end of the bear mountain bridge on the eastern end lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 -1, thats 7 out of 8 days below 0, in a little over 2 hours that streak will be 8 of 9 days.The bottom starting to drop out for me, down to -4 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Anthonys nose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northwest NJ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 walpak nj at -12 already Wow! Can you link me to the site where you find the temperature info? I believe they used to have the all-time low temperature record in NJ at -32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Anthonys nose There ya go.. Couldn't think of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Mediocre 850 temps and dead calm wind, just the way we like it. Down to -4.5F, and looks to drop like a tank until those high clouds start encroaching from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Anthonys nose Great spot. 98% as glamorous as Breakneck with 0% of the overexerting oneself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Wow! Can you link me to the site where you find the temperature info? I believe they used to have the all-time low temperature record in NJ at -32 http://www.njweather.org/station/79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The love/hate relationship with models amongst people is astounding... The nam is apparently the best thing since sliced bread now that it's the snowiest solution...last week it needed to be retired, I will still stick with a GFS/RGEM blend on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Mediocre 850 temps and dead calm wind, just the way we like it. Down to -4.5F, and looks to drop like a tank until those high clouds start encroaching from the west.That is the big question for you and I, when do the clouds move in, once they get here you still have some clear skies for a while longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The love/hate relationship with models amongst people is astounding... The nam is apparently the best thing since sliced bread now that it's the snowiest solution...last week it needed to be retired, I will still stick with a GFS/RGEM blend on thisSome things are never going to change. Once the model shows what they want they all think they it's back on track and all is well with the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Some things are never going to change. Once the model shows what they want they all think they it's back on track and all is well with the world. Rgem is gonna be equally impressive but it's just the model hugging that's comical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The love/hate relationship with models amongst people is astounding... The nam is apparently the best thing since sliced bread now that it's the snowiest solution...last week it needed to be retired, I will still stick with a GFS/RGEM blend on this Perfectly stated. I've only been in this forum for 2 weeks, and although I love it, I'm pretty astounded to see so many people just go with whatever model gives them the most snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 That is the big question for you and I, when do the clouds move in, once they get here you still have some clear skies for a while longer. Indeed. It actually looks like the low-level flow is starting to gain a southerly component as well, but man... I would love to see how low we could get with a combined head-start like this evening and a morning freefall like Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Perfectly stated. I've only been in this forum for 2 weeks, and although I love it, I'm pretty astounded to see so many people just go with whatever model gives them the most snow. Yea, a word of advice; don't dare call anyone out on it...it's literally not worth it, I wanted to believe I could convince people that some of their "veteran" posters were biased wishcasters but it never worked out, always a big arguement, so now I just post the maps for ppl to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Yea, a word of advice; don't dare call anyone out on it...it's literally not worth it, I wanted to believe I could convince people that some of their "veteran" posters were biased wishcasters but it never worked out, always a big arguement, so now I just post the maps for ppl to see Probably a lot of money to be made betting the under amount of inches the average poster predicts. I wonder if Vegas takes those wagers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Yea, a word of advice; don't dare call anyone out on it...it's literally not worth it, I wanted to believe I could convince people that some of their "veteran" posters were biased wishcasters but it never worked out, always a big arguement, so now I just post the maps for ppl to see I actually might be a bit on the other end of the spectrum and am a little conservative. Just so I am disappointed a little less often and my expectations are a bit lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Probably a lot of money to be made betting the under amount of inches the average poster predicts. I wonder if Vegas takes those wagers HA... You will be right more times than not going with reasonably conservative totals... And if you bust high, who cares... It's when you call for a lot of snow and bust low that people REALLY care Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 HA... You will be right more times than not going with reasonably conservative totals... And if you bust high, who cares... It's when you call for a lot of snow and bust low that people REALLY care makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Anyone else subscribe to wxbell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Is that where those euro snow accumulation maps are from? I love those maps, and probably should subscribe to whomever puts those out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Is that where those euro snow accumulation maps are from? I love those maps, and probably should subscribe to whomever puts those out. Any map I post is WXbell, they use the blues up to pinks and whites for snow, any map that has like greens and yellows for snow is stormvista or eurowx... Stormvista uses it's own algorithm for total ratios were as all of wxbell maps are a basic 10:1 then you have to calculate.. That's why they seem different sometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Any map I post is WXbell, they use the blues up to pinks and whites for snow, any map that has like greens and yellows for snow is stormvista or eurowx... Stormvista uses it's own algorithm for total ratios were as all of wxbell maps are a basic 10:1 then you have to calculate.. That's why they seem different sometimes Same price? Which do you feel is the better of the two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Same price? Which do you feel is the better of the two? I've never been a member of anything but wxbell, I like wxbell the best personally, and I believe it's like 185$ a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Is that common in this setup? I don't recall ever seeing such drastic downslope effects in that area. As far as the mixing goes, the line has generally stayed south of Poughkeepsie for just about every similar storm this winter. I'm going to lean with persistence and say that it stays south til most, if not all, of the precipitation has ended. Yeah, it seems persistence forecasting is the way to go this winter. As the low-level winds veer to southwesterly mid-event there's gonna be some downsloping to the lee of the Catskills (as some of us know all too well), but I've never seen it verify anything like the NAM is proposing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I've never been a member of anything but wxbell, I like wxbell the best personally, and I believe it's like 185$ a year Yea...I do enjoy the maps that you post. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northwest NJ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 http://www.njweather.org/station/79 Thanks! Walpack is now -13! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I've never been a member of anything but wxbell, I like wxbell the best personally, and I believe it's like 185$ a year Yeah, I used to use stormvista but wxbell has it beat IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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