UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just went on yet another broken water pipe call which caused a sprinkler head to break.. 6th one today.. I'm so ready for the warm up, but then again it will be the same story once the pipes unfreeze so I guess FML Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Looks like we've got a red-tagger and a mod in our thread now. We're movin' up! How awesome is that?! And don't forget, we have the most snow too, lol. Too bad that 7–8" will qualify as a HV jackpot , we'll certainly welcome it after what the model consensus was two days ago. I'm a little worried about getting stuck in a downslope screw zone with the southwesterly flow aloft, gonna be a nowcast kind of thing. I saw that on the RGEM snow map and hoped it wouldn't affect any of us, forgot about you up there. My comment, though weenie-ish, was mostly tongue in cheek given some happenings earlier today on the forum. Anyhow, congrats on the red tag! I guess I'm out of touch, but is this a new thing or you just finally got the tag? Now I know why your posts are always so insightful! But seriously good call, just went out very nice Thanks! I saw it and thought it was an incredible sight worthy of sharing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 How awesome is that?! And don't forget, we have the most snow too, lol. I saw that on the RGEM snow map and hoped it wouldn't affect any of us, forgot about you up there. My comment, though weenie-ish, was mostly tongue in cheek given some happenings earlier today on the forum. Anyhow, congrats on the red tag! I guess I'm out of touch, but is this a new thing or you just finally got the tag? Now I know why your posts are always so insightful! Thanks! I saw it and thought it was an incredible sight worthy of sharing! Oh hah makes sense, I didn't read very far back in the thread. Thanks though, I guess I could have gotten a tag a few years ago but never bothered to put in a request. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Oh hah makes sense, I didn't read very far back in the thread. Thanks though, I guess I could have gotten a tag a few years ago but never bothered to put in a request.Well thanks for your contributions and I hope you stick around, but I felt that before the new tag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Well thanks for your contributions and I hope you stick around, but I felt that before the new tag. Thanks! I wish I found this thread sooner, lots of insightful posts and discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Oh hah makes sense, I didn't read very far back in the thread. Thanks though, I guess I could have gotten a tag a few years ago but never bothered to put in a request. That's great. Agree with Rob, we all appreciate your insight. Now let's celebrate our new mod and new met with a nice snowfall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Everyone ready for a nice pack refresher tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Too bad that 7–8" will qualify as a HV jackpot , we'll certainly welcome it after what the model consensus was two days ago. I'm a little worried about getting stuck in a downslope screw zone with the southwesterly flow aloft, gonna be a nowcast kind of thing. Congrats on the red tag brother.. Look forward to your thoughts on future events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Everyone ready for a nice pack refresher tomorrow? It's all gonna fall in NYC... Storm cancelled up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Everyone ready for a nice pack refresher tomorrow? Hoping to cash is at 4 inches imby. That would be the safe snow zone in the forecast. Had a high of 13. Low 10 below this morning Current temp is 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Thanks! I wish I found this thread sooner, lots of insightful posts and discussion.That's what we try to do, along with keeping it light, if it ain't fun then what's the point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It's all gonna fall in NYC... Storm cancelled up here Road trip! Just took a quick look at the indices, btw, and the possibility of losing the -EPO seems to be decreasing by the day. It also looks like there might be some signs of a -NAO developing after the first week of March. I'm not so sure that significant pattern change that some were advertising is ever going to materialize. I'd be happy with a cold first 2 weeks of March and a few more threats, then it can warm up a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I told the idiot from union that he's getting 1-2 tops I've decided 110% I'll post maps for people's viewing pleasure from now on, other than that I'll keep my thoughts in here were its safe... I can thankfully say not 1 person in this thread is a weenie by any stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 A 42 page discussion on 4-6" LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Everyone ready for a nice pack refresher tomorrow? I'm actually thinking it could be more of a pack 'builder' than a pack 'refresher'. I like Albany's 6-8" for Ulster, Dutchess, and Litchfield. 5.8" would be my third biggest event of the season, so as far as I'm concerned this has the potential to be a major event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 A 42 page discussion on 4-6" LMA 4-6 inches is a big snow for the NY metro area. NYC is at the yearly snow avg and people still complain. Some of the posters expect 50 inches of snow a year in the immediate NYC/Long Island area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 4-6 inches is a big snow for the NY metro area. NYC is at the yearly snow avg and people still complain. Some of the posters expect 50 inches of snow a year in the immediate NYC/Long Island area Yea, now they're In there argueing offshore water temps and thermal dynamics lmao. We only need tonylovessnow to create his 5th alter ego of the week to top off the weenie cake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I've decided 110% I'll post maps for people's viewing pleasure from now on, other than that I'll keep my thoughts in here were its safe... I can thankfully say not 1 person in this thread is a weenie by any stretch I might be a little bit of one. But I'm generally a realistic one at least. I'm actually thinking it could be more of a pack 'builder' than a pack 'refresher'. I like Albany's 6-8" for Ulster, Dutchess, and Litchfield. 5.8" would be my third biggest event of the season, so as far as I'm concerned this has the potential to be a major event! You're right about this thing being loaded with moisture. Take a look at the sim radar for tomorrow morning on the HRRR, it looks impressive. I am starting to dread my drive to West Point tomorrow evening. I don't like 9W on a dry, sunny day, let alone a day like tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 4-6 inches is a big snow for the NY metro area. NYC is at the yearly snow avg and people still complain. Some of the posters expect 50 inches of snow a year in the immediate NYC/Long Island area Quite comical.. I enjoy the comedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Hope you are right. We need good dynamics up here. The best dynamics seem SW of us based on modeling. I'm actually thinking it could be more of a pack 'builder' than a pack 'refresher'. I like Albany's 6-8" for Ulster, Dutchess, and Litchfield. 5.8" would be my third biggest event of the season, so as far as I'm concerned this has the potential to be a major event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Quite comical.. I enjoy the comedy. Don't hate (jealous) cause the coast has cashed in the last 15years.... Freakin northwester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 4-6" areawide up here is prob the safest call with a few weenie spots of 6-7".. My drive home from work tomorrow around 2300 should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I might be a little bit of one. But I'm generally a realistic one at least. You're right about this thing being loaded with moisture. Take a look at the sim radar for tomorrow morning on the HRRR, it looks impressive. I am starting to dread my drive to West Point tomorrow evening. I don't like 9W on a dry, sunny day, let alone a day like tomorrow. I love that road on a dry day, with snow falling...not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Don't hate (jealous) cause the coast has cashed in the last 15years.... Freakin northwester I couldn't believe he said that to you lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 I love that road on a dry day, with snow falling...not so much. Storm King ftl.. Used to dread that drive when I lived in New Windsor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I might be a little bit of one. But I'm generally a realistic one at least. You're right about this thing being loaded with moisture. Take a look at the sim radar for tomorrow morning on the HRRR, it looks impressive. I am starting to dread my drive to West Point tomorrow evening. I don't like 9W on a dry, sunny day, let alone a day like tomorrow. I work at West Point, will be there till Sunday morning. You work here too or just visiting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Storm King ftl.. Used to dread that drive when I lived in New Windsor Where n new windsor you used to live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Where n new windsor you used to live? Off Old Forge HIll.. Lived there for about 3 yrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Not for nothing but MGJ is going to give SLK a run for the money tonight for overnight lows. DP at -11 with a calm wind and already at 1 degree at 8pm is impressive for this late in the season. Ultimately, sky cover will determine how low they drop, but my money is on Montgomery. How about Penn Yan out there north of Elmira already at -11 this early in the evening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Off Old Forge HIll.. Lived there for about 3 yrs Gotcha, I used to be off 207 across from Stewart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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