Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Very cool. We only have 11 days left in February and it looks to stay cold. What are the odds we finish the month at -10 or lower? I'd say it's quite likely. The GFS is still very cold through the end of the month, and while the numbers themselves are probably too cold (the 26th would be something like 32 degrees below normal, if you believed the 6z text output), the new upgrade has done pretty well with identifying general temperature trends I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I'd say it's quite likely. The GFS is still very cold through the end of the month, and while the numbers themselves are probably too cold (the 26th would be something like 32 degrees below normal, if you believed the 6z text output), the new upgrade has done pretty well with identifying general temperature trends I think. Yeah, the GFS has been running too cold, last week it showed high temps in the single digits from me this past weekend but it was warmer than that but, its all relative, its still below normal cold for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Closer to 4" than 3.5 of pure fluff out there. Shoveling it felt like cheating It's like all you're lifting is the weight of the shovel itself. Are the ice boats out on the river yet? I have the day off and want to take the wife and kids to see them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Closer to 4" than 3.5 of pure fluff out there. Shoveling it felt like cheating It's like all you're lifting is the weight of the shovel itself. Are the ice boats out on the river yet? I have the day off and want to take the wife and kids to see them. If you're talking about the Coast Guard ice breakers then the answer is yes, they've been on the river for weeks now but there's no way to know exactly where they are operating at any given moment. If you find them, pics please ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 No the small sailing boats that scream over the ice. These https://www.google.com/search?q=hudson+river+ice+boats&rlz=1CAHPZY_enUS608US608&espv=2&biw=1366&bih=633&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ei=lFrjVOqCCIuxggSv6IGgCQ&ved=0CC4QsAQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 No the small sailing boats that scream over the ice. These https://www.google.com/search?q=hudson+river+ice+boats&rlz=1CAHPZY_enUS608US608&espv=2&biw=1366&bih=633&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ei=lFrjVOqCCIuxggSv6IGgCQ&ved=0CC4QsAQ The Hudson River Ice Yacht Club website says there's too much snow for the time being: http://www.hriyc.org/current.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Closer to 4" than 3.5 of pure fluff out there. Shoveling it felt like cheating It's like all you're lifting is the weight of the shovel itself. Are the ice boats out on the river yet? I have the day off and want to take the wife and kids to see them. The river looks pretty icky in terms of ice cover, lots of snow and slush from what I can see each morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I found the website for the Hudson Valley Ice Yacht Club and they're saying the ice is too broken up to sail. Their theory is that the extra oil tanker traffic is making a mess of things. Too bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2015 Author Share Posted February 17, 2015 0.8" here.. More than I expected... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Should we have a separate NW thread for whatever falls Thursday? Then we should have a separate NW thread for this weekend. We probably should then have a separate thread for any potential for next week. Of course we'll need separate NW OBS threads for each. Oh, wait, how could I forget the cold and the end of the week again, need another NW thread for that too....good grief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Thankfully we aren't as feeble minded as those that reside south of 287. Must have something to do with the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Thankfully we aren't as feeble minded as those that reside south of 287. Must have something to do with the water. lol. Well, after their positive bust today, they surely won't have any issue with us getting another two feet or so before month's end, per the GGEM. Seriously, I dig the weekend look. It's hard to go wrong with a long-duration overrunning event around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Very cool. We only have 11 days left in February and it looks to stay cold. What are the odds we finish the month at -10 or lower? For reference, here's the top-10 coldest Februaries at KPOU, minus the missing '93-'00 period: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 lol. Well, after their positive bust today, they surely won't have any issue with us getting another two feet or so before month's end, per the GGEM. Seriously, I dig the weekend look. It's hard to go wrong with a long-duration overrunning event around here. Still plenty of opportunities for us out there in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 ok, here is the big question....Up in Putnam County. Who would like to throw out some odds of us losing another school day before the 3rd week in march??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 ok, here is the big question....Up in Putnam County. Who would like to throw out some odds of us losing another school day before the 3rd week in march??? I'd say the real question is how many will you lose. I saw your issue over in the banter thread.. Here's my advice, leave the wife and kids home to go to school and you go have the best freaking time you've ever had! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I'd say the real question is how many will you lose. I saw your issue over in the banter thread.. Here's my advice, leave the wife and kids home to go to school and you go have the best freaking time you've ever had! I better not let her look over my shoulder and see that quote....no doubt that plane would go down one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I better not let her look over my shoulder and see that quote....no doubt that plane would go down one way or another. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2015 Author Share Posted February 17, 2015 I'd say the real question is how many will you lose. I saw your issue over in the banter thread.. Here's my advice, leave the wife and kids home to go to school and you go have the best freaking time you've ever had! This!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2015 Author Share Posted February 17, 2015 I better not let her look over my shoulder and see that quote....no doubt that plane would go down one way or another. Bringing sand to the beach sucks doesn't it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Is this Thursday am looking iffy now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Is this Thursday am looking iffy now? Thursday never looked like anything big to me. Maybe a 1" type deal as the front passes. Looks like an inverted trough might try to set up east of here, but that wouldn't affect us. I think the weekend looks like a legit threat as of now for us. These types of systems always seem to be underdone on QPF, especially this far out, but the setup as Julian mentioned looks great. And given recent trends, I wouldn't bank on any meaningful precipitation falling as liquid at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 ok, here is the big question....Up in Putnam County. Who would like to throw out some odds of us losing another school day before the 3rd week in march??? At least one is likely. We lose more on the ends of the winter when things get icy rather than in the actual heart of the activity when it's more snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 For reference, here's the top-10 coldest Februaries at KPOU, minus the missing '93-'00 period: We should easily break the top 5 then. It's interesting they don't have data for that 93-00 period. I've often wondered how they could lose data in the age of computers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Hey Rob, thanks, name change went through, says I "cant change my name for another 30,000 days" so looks like I better not move again lmao. Atleast now my name and location don't contradict. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Hey Rob, thanks, name change went through, says I "cant change my name for another 30,000 days" so looks like I better not move again lmao. Atleast now my name and location don't contradict. I don't even know who you are anymore.. Just let us know when you're reporting from work, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 About to fall into the single digits here, so I may yet have a shot at continuing my streak of below-zero daily minimums. Need to drop almost two degrees an hour until midnight, which is doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Here's a short video I captured on top of South Beacon Mountain yesterday morning. I apologize for the motion, it was very cold and windy and I had my gloves off to hold the phone more securely. It's also very loud from the wind, so if you watch it, turn the volume down a little. The fire tower is in the foreground shortly after the video starts. I wasn't going to unstrap the snowshoes to climb the fire tower. Plus I'm kinda scared of heights https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpysjaFRpw0 Here's a link to my post in the picture thread with more pics http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44993-winter-2014-15-official-picture-thread/?p=3410070 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's a short video I captured on top of South Beacon Mountain yesterday morning. I apologize for the motion, it was very cold and windy and I had my gloves off to hold the phone more securely. It's also very loud from the wind, so if you watch it, turn the volume down a little. The fire tower is in the foreground shortly after the video starts. I wasn't going to unstrap the snowshoes to climb the fire tower. Plus I'm kinda scared of heights Here's a link to my post in the picture thread with more pics http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44993-winter-2014-15-official-picture-thread/?p=3410070 Maybe you mentioned earlier, my apologies if you did, how long did it take you to get to the top? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's a short video I captured on top of South Beacon Mountain yesterday morning. I apologize for the motion, it was very cold and windy and I had my gloves off to hold the phone more securely. It's also very loud from the wind, so if you watch it, turn the volume down a little. The fire tower is in the foreground shortly after the video starts. I wasn't going to unstrap the snowshoes to climb the fire tower. Plus I'm kinda scared of heights https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpysjaFRpw0 Here's a link to my post in the picture thread with more pics http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44993-winter-2014-15-official-picture-thread/?p=3410070 Wow, I feel cold just listening to that. Great stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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