Animal Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This is one model I'm happy to have on our side.. lol Rgem says someone from Montague NJ- Port Jervis- Middletown sees 12-16" Actually looks to pound me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Could you imagine the irony sleeping through the storm after the past couple days of analysis and commentary?! Wish I could say I've never done just that. Pull a few all-nighters to watch it come together and then pass out just as the storm hits. It's a wretched feeling... lol. 27F with pixie dust falling from the low levels and the moon filtering through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Wish I could say I've never done just that. Pull a few all-nighters to watch it come together and then pass out just as the storm hits. It's a wretched feeling... lol. 27F with pixie dust falling from the low levels and the moon filtering through I wound up sleeping through most of the 93 Superstorm after working my arse off in the days leading up to the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I wound up sleeping through most of the 93 Superstorm after working my arse off in the days leading up to the storm. Eh, nobody ever talks about that storm anymore... you didn't miss much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Is it gonna be wrong when we post how hard it's snowing in the OBS thread while everyone's raining lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I used to routinely sleep through storms in Buffalo where they are a dime a dozen in the winter. Here, not so much. Sleep be damned! That's what the other 9 months of the year are for. I didn't see anyone mention the GFS, it looks to keep Dutchess and Orange and everyone north and west of there all snow. Looks like a little mixed stuff in Rockland and Putnam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I used to routinely sleep through storms in Buffalo where they are a dime a dozen in the winter. Here, not so much. Sleep be damned! That's what the other 9 months of the year are for. I didn't see anyone mention the GFS, it looks to keep Dutchess and Orange and everyone north and west of there all snow. Looks like a little mixed stuff in Rockland and Putnam. Rgem runs, as the storm is knocking on our door is almost ALWAYS correct so I'm glad to see the GFS verifys that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Eh, nobody ever talks about that storm anymore... you didn't miss much. LOL, and 93-94 was one of the best winters ever around here but how many remember that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 LOL, and 93-94 was one of the best winters ever around here but how mamy remember that... lol.. I moved upstate in 93! What a pleasant surprise for a 16 yr old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 lol.. I moved upstate in 93! What a pleasant surprise for a 16 yr old You made it just in time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 What's up with that snow hole heading right for us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 What's up with that snow hole heading right for us lol Relax dude.. Please please I beg you! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 What's up with that snow hole heading right for us lol Storm cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Relax dude.. Please please I beg you! lol.. It was clearly a joke.. why u guys so edgy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Pete Carroll just made a final call for tonight. Sunny & 85 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 It was clearly a joke.. why u guys so edgy lol.. Was it? I honestly couldn't tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Pete Carroll just made a final call for tonight. Sunny & 85 degrees. Don't get me started. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 lol.. Was it? I honestly couldn't tell. ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Pete Carroll just made a final call for tonight. Sunny & 85 degrees. I don't really follow the Seahawks, though I was rooting for them, was that his call or that came from the OC? What a disaster. I'm a lifelong Bills fan and I still think the most heartbreaking moment in my life was losing Super Bowl 25 on wide right. If I was a Seahawks fan, tonight might be worse. Anyhow, we have light to moderate snow here with a coating, temp has dropped to 23 with the onset of the snow. Took the dog for a walk, nice peaceful night out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Question for you guys, what's the HRRR seeing here with the QPF minima in the valleys? Is that a downsloping effect? It does look like the wind is easterly for a time, though it doesn't appear to be particularly strong. I also thought that having a decent amount of low level cold air would help to shield against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Question for you guys, what's the HRRR seeing here with the QPF minima in the valleys? Is that a downsloping effect? It does look like the wind is easterly for a time, though it doesn't appear to be particularly strong. I also thought that having a decent amount of low level cold air would help to shield against it. hrrr_snow_nyc_16.png I've noticed that the HRRR almost always overdoes downslope drying when there is low-level easterly flow involved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 nice band moving through already with great snow growth, looks like half an inch already. With these ratios I wouldn't be surprised if someone sees 16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 nice band moving through already with great snow growth, looks like half an inch already. With these ratios I wouldn't be surprised if someone sees 16". Looks like a nice band might be trying to set up over the 90 corridor. I think you're in a great spot for this one. In a little bit of a lull here, but the radar is beginning to fill in nicely over NJ and PA. Nice temp gradient btw, I see some spots near Albany are around 5, most places around here are mid 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 Snow intensity has picked up a good bit.. 23.6/ Moderate Snow 1.4" on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 0z GFS MGJ -- 1.12" SWF -- 1.10" POU -- 1.00" Some sleet possible but overall colder.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Newest HRRR never mixes above 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Looks like a nice band might be trying to set up over the 90 corridor. I think you're in a great spot for this one. In a little bit of a lull here, but the radar is beginning to fill in nicely over NJ and PA. Nice temp gradient btw, I see some spots near Albany are around 5, most places around here are mid 20's. As soon as I typed that the band fell apart hah, the ways it's looking now I think we should all do pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Question for you guys, what's the HRRR seeing here with the QPF minima in the valleys? Is that a downsloping effect? It does look like the wind is easterly for a time, though it doesn't appear to be particularly strong. I also thought that having a decent amount of low level cold air would help to shield against it. hrrr_snow_nyc_16.png I've noticed that the HRRR almost always overdoes downslope drying when there is low-level easterly flow involved Yea its definately downsloping... shows up nicely event in the 10 m winds. I agree the mesoscale models tend to overdo this, but something to keep in mind in the counties that border the Berkshires. nice band moving through already with great snow growth, looks like half an inch already. With these ratios I wouldn't be surprised if someone sees 16". Yea we have about 1/2" here in guilderland too. Temp down to 9F... should see good ratios tonight before stronger WAA kicks in between 850-700 hPa and snow growth becomes more focused above 700 hPa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Mod snow 27f 1.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Newest HRRR is impressive, suggest coastal redevelopment and has many back in HEAVY snow till 3pm Rap looks identical as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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