Juliancolton Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 4" of powder with rampant ground blizzards is more interesting than 8" of snow that just sits there, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 4" of powder with rampant ground blizzards is more interesting than 8" of snow that just sits there, anyway. Agreed, I'm expecting whiteout conditions at times along the open fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Don't look at the latest GFS, RGEM and NAM runs, just God awful for us nw of NYC WxBell is great because you can toggle the last two model runs very easy. The GFS increased amounts for most of the Hudson Valley. Do yourself a favor and try to look at a model before buying into what everyone has to say in the main forum. There's a reason that many of us are approaching 50" of snow while parts of NJ have less than 15-20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 WxBell is great because you can toggle the last two model runs very easy. The GFS increased amounts for most of the Hudson Valley. Do yourself a favor and try to look at a model before buying into what everyone has to say in the main forum. There's a reason that many of us are approaching 50" of snow while parts of NJ have less than 15-20".0z runs tonight will settle this I think. Late tomorrow morning becomes hrrr and rap time. Honestly this may actually come down to a total nowcast with the radars given the bouncing around of the global and mesoscale models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 WxBell is great because you can toggle the last two model runs very easy. The GFS increased amounts for most of the Hudson Valley. Do yourself a favor and try to look at a model before buying into what everyone has to say in the main forum. There's a reason that many of us are approaching 50" of snow while parts of NJ have less than 15-20". Thank you! Every single piece of data I'm looking at is showing the HV in the trough zone also w/ the potential for some areas E of the river to receive upwards of 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Timing?Snow starts around 2:00 give or take tomorrow afternoon, over before midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Snow starts around 2:00 give or take tomorrow afternoon, over before midnightOver before midnight? Not so sure about that, could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 On a side note, how much stock do you guys put into the euro weeklies? If you look in the february thread at the link bluewave posted to the new euro weeklies, they are ugly for March, above normal temps from the beginning of the month right through mid month and by mid month they are showing the beginnings of a major shift to a trough on the west coast. Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 A few local Mets have me In 5-8" Doubtful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 On a side note, how much stock do you guys put into the euro weeklies? If you look in the february thread at the link bluewave posted to the new euro weeklies, they are ugly for March, above normal temps from the beginning of the month right through mid month and by mid month they are showing the beginnings of a major shift to a trough on the west coast. Any thoughts? You worry too much. Chill out and enjoy the wintry weather, it's the only weather you've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 You worry too much. Chill out and enjoy the wintry weather, it's the only weather you've got. Oh that's a classic right there, enjoy it, it's the only weather you've got! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Oh that's a classic right there, enjoy it, it's the only weather you've got! Copyrite it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Copyrite it Oh it's old school on these boards, I forget who said it first, any 'old timers' recall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 Oh it's old school on these boards, I forget who said it first, any 'old timers' recall? I remember watching JB videos 10 yrs ago and hearing him use it all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I remember watching JB videos 10 yrs ago and hearing him use it all the timeThat explains it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I remember watching JB videos 10 yrs ago and hearing him use it all the time Yeah, I've always attributed that to JB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Just looked at the GFS, and I have no idea why people were/are reacting so negatively to it. It puts most of us in the game for clipper snows, a distinct inverted trough, and maybe even some TROWAL enhancement on the back-end. That's the best run from a global model that the interior has seen in days IMO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Good day weather fans, Current temp is 6F High was 14F Low - 3F I reviewed the Mt Holly NWS forecast discussion. Seems we have an impressive event starting tomorrow into Sunday. WWA for 3-5 inches of snow. Talk of thundersnow and very high winds. This event looks to add a few inches of snow to the season total. Assumption is they are going with 15 or 20:1 snow ratios. I am hopeful that we hit the 3 inch mark with the event. Maybe my area gets some sort of epic snow band late tomorrow and I go to pound town and get 6 inches of fluff. Hoping the 0 z runs beef up the qpf a little. Best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Just looked at the GFS, and I have no idea why people were/are reacting so negatively to it. It puts most of us in the game for clipper snows, a distinct inverted trough, and maybe even some TROWAL enhancement on the back-end. That's the best run from a global model that the interior has seen in days IMO... knowing the NYC weenie, they are holding out hope that they some how get 8 to 12 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 6.5F currently, just took my dogs for a walk, so cold the lungs ache after a while lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 6.5F currently, just took my dogs for a walk, so cold the lungs ache after a while lol down to 3F. this cold snap is impressive. the recent cold spell feels more impressive than the polar vortex 1 & 2 last year. If Monday drops below -7 F, it will be more impressive. During the polar vortex #2 last year, there was elevation cold that got me to -7F one night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 down to 3F. this cold snap is impressive. the recent cold spell feels more impressive than the polar vortex 1 & 2 last year. If Monday drops below -7 F, it will be more impressive. During the polar vortex #2 last year, there was elevation cold that got me to -7F one night. I think many of us get close to that Sunday night/Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Already -4 here... craziness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Down to 6 . Woodstove in high gear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 A balmy 8 degrees down here in Denville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 5f here... Should get below 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 looks like the cold is below estimates tonight. Not sure what time the clouds roll in, but cold is cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 3 degrees, definitely the coldest reading of the year for this time of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 down to 3F. this cold snap is impressive. the recent cold spell feels more impressive than the polar vortex 1 & 2 last year. If Monday drops below -7 F, it will be more impressive. During the polar vortex #2 last year, there was elevation cold that got me to -7F one night. That was the coldest you got last year? I'd have to check, but I think I got to around -13 or so for the lowest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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