HeinzGuy Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I must have had somewhere near 5.5...not too far north of me in Saugerties there were reports of over 10. Season total so far 35" with 13-15" OTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Albany honking about the cold that we've been mentioning over the past several days THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY BRUTALLY COLD AIR ANDDANGEROUSLY LOW AND LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS THAT WILL SET UPTHE COLDEST AIRMASS IN THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS. HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLEDIGITS TO MID TEENS. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL RANGE FROM 5 BELOW ZERO TOTHE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS VALLEY AREAS. WITH THE DEEP SNOWPACK INPLACE AND THE STRENGTH OF THE COLD AIR ADVECTION THAT WILL BE TAKINGPLACE ACROSS THE REGION AS THE COASTAL STORM TAKES SHAPE WELLOFFSHORE...HIGHS SUNDAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO NOT EVEN MAKE IT ABOVEZERO IN MOST LOCATIONS. HIGHS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL SLOWLY BEGINTO MODERATE...WITH HIGHS MONDAY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO MID TEENSAND HIGHS TUESDAY IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S.LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 20BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND LAKE GEORGE/SARATOGA REGIONSTO ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. SUNDAY NIGHTLOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST NIGHT IN SOME TIME...WITH LOWS 20 TO 30BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND AROUND 10 TO 20 BELOW ZEROACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL SLIGHTLYIMPROVE...BUT WILL BE BELOW ZERO AGAIN FOR MOST OF THE REGION.IF THE TEMPERATURES WERE NOT ALREADY COLD ENOUGH...DANGEROUSLY LOWAND LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE ENTIREREGION FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. CURRENT FORECAST WINDCHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY RANGE FROM 20 TO 40 BELOWZERO...WITH WIND CHILLS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY POTENTIALLY AS LOWAS 50 BELOW ZERO IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND WIDESPREAD 30 BELOW ZEROACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND WITH THEREGION SANDWICHED BETWEEN THE SUB-990 HPA COASTAL LOW TO THE EASTAND A 1040 HPA HIGH TO THE WEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Albany honking about the cold that we've been mentioning over the past several days I love it when the AFDs talk dirty! Hopefully we can squeeze some fluff out of that inverted trough thing over the weekend. It hasn't snowed in well over a day and I'm feeling withdrawal symptoms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 I love it when the AFDs talk dirty! Hopefully we can squeeze some fluff out of that inverted trough thing over the weekend. It hasn't snowed in well over a day and I'm feeling withdrawal symptoms... Well there certainly won't be a lack of instability with that cold pool aloft hah, maybe there will be some surprises. After the next two clipper/redevelopers it looks like there's a shot at some type of overrunning event early next week.. nice to have such an active pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2015 Author Share Posted February 11, 2015 0z Euro, GFS & to some extent the GGEM give the area some inverted trough love this weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 I love it when the AFDs talk dirty! Hopefully we can squeeze some fluff out of that inverted trough thing over the weekend. It hasn't snowed in well over a day and I'm feeling withdrawal symptoms... Agreed and I noticed the snow is getting dirty already, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 I am really looking forward to the weekend. We may not get a ton of snow, but the cold may be the worst in 20 years. Combine that with some fluffy snow and high winds, and it will look like the arctic around here. I'm probably in the minority, but I'd prefer a day or two of extreme record breaking cold to 10" of snow every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Can we have both? LOL, I'm with you, exciting times for winter weather enthusiasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Can we have both? LOL, I'm with you, exciting times for winter weather enthusiasts. Don't get me wrong, I'd take both in a heartbeat! Given a choice of the two, I'd go record breaking cold. Let's hope for both. I certainly think we're in the game for a decent snowfall still. I wouldn't write it off like most seem to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 The extreme cold will be another piece of the puzzle falling falling into place to bring this to an A winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Don't get me wrong, I'd take both in a heartbeat! Given a choice of the two, I'd go record breaking cold. Let's hope for both. I certainly think we're in the game for a decent snowfall still. I wouldn't write it off like most seem to be.I just need a few fresh inches to get the blowing and drifting going again out by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Wow... the GFS is bitterly cold right through the last days of the month. They just don't make winters like this anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 I hate the extreme cold. Give me 20s and heavy snow instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Took this picture down by the docks at west point this morning while doing morning PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Wow, that's beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Great pic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2015 Author Share Posted February 11, 2015 Awesome pic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2015 Author Share Posted February 11, 2015 Of course I'm not buying the GGEM but damn it has the INV parked overhead for hours lol.. 0z will most likely have it in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Good afternoon all! I'm getting very confused reading the threads for the three possible threats and the amounts they're suggesting possible. What is each one's total amount looking like for zip code 10952? I feel derp-a-derp asking in there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Yeah, they get a little thread crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Yeah, they get a little thread crazy.Lol yeah, way too much going on at once for my eyes or brain to follow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2015 Author Share Posted February 11, 2015 Always a good thing to see if you want cold temps and snowfall in this part of the nation http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2015/02/11/iditarod-race-alaska-snow-fairbanks/23247145/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Always a good thing to see if you want cold temps and snowfall in this part of the nation http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2015/02/11/iditarod-race-alaska-snow-fairbanks/23247145/ Ahhh, 2003, another good winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I really don't think the weekend storm is a lost cause. Doubtful we jackpot but if we can nab a few inches with temps in the teens and 40 kt gusts, that'd be just fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 What do you think our chances in this region to get a 2 foot snowstorm before winter ends given our pattern and what may lie ahead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I really don't think the weekend storm is a lost cause. Doubtful we jackpot but if we can nab a few inches with temps in the teens and 40 kt gusts, that'd be just fine with me. That was my thought all along. I think a few inches is totally doable, as are the winds. Add in the falling temperatures and it should be a fun meteorological day. Btw, it's probably alone right now among the guidance, but the NAM is putting out LE of 0.2"+ for parts of the region tomorrow. The Cobb method site I use is generating over 3" of snow for KPOU on 20:1 ratios (or higher). Maybe we'll get lucky and score a couple bonus inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Btw, it's probably alone right now among the guidance, but the NAM is putting out LE of 0.2"+ for parts of the region tomorrow. The Cobb method site I use is generating over 3" of snow for KPOU on 20:1 ratios (or higher). Maybe we'll get lucky and score a couple bonus inches. Yeah, this is a pretty nice look for capitalizing on any moisture. Lift, saturation, and the DGZ are all pretty shallow, but they intersect nicely on the NAM. Unfortunately, you're right... I can't find any other model that gets more than a trace or so of precip into the area. Maybe we'll get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Yeah, this is a pretty nice look for capitalizing on any moisture. Lift, saturation, and the DGZ are all pretty shallow, but they intersect nicely on the NAM. Unfortunately, you're right... I can't find any other model that gets more than a trace or so of precip into the area. Maybe we'll get lucky. If I'm reading that right the Omega is stronger for that than Saturday nights "storm" on the NAM. Would be easy to overlook that with all the focus on the weekend right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 If I'm reading that right the Omega is stronger for that than Saturday nights "storm" on the NAM. Would be easy to overlook that with all the focus on the weekend right now. There's a brief but hefty burst of UVVs tomorrow, but ascent associated with the weekend storm is much deeper and more prolonged, so peak omega values themselves don't tell the whole story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 What do you think our chances in this region to get a 2 foot snowstorm before winter ends given our pattern and what may lie ahead?I'd say there still a chance and that's about all you can ask for. I remember the 09-10 winter missing out on all the big storms and then getting punched in the face at the end of Feb. This winter is a different setup but we've seen it produce big storms so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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